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Euro dry af over n il, summer doldrums incoming

Looks low end

Nice

Noticed last week around Narragansett RI they had water ban signs up all over town. They also had all the beach showers and water turned off. I think Narragansett uses groundwater wells and they are exceptionally low. The Providence Journal just published an article yesterday but its paywalled. Here is the headline. To understand why Gov. Dan McKee, in June, declared a drought watch for only the second time in Rhode Island in 24 years, you need only look at the precipitation numbers over the last 12 months. In nearly every month since June 2025, the state has fallen short of the historical average, leading to a cumulative deficit of 13.4 inches for the year and a total that’s at only 80% of where it should be.

Overall a big model bust on rain today. MRX new afd seems pretty skeptical of the heavy rain delivering Saturday as well, which leads them to doubt flooding. Models are handling everything very poorly, which has been a theme all spring and summer.

Yeah, there definitely was some positive feedback over Lake Erie that night with the convection helping to develop a mesolow, which in turn then kept the convection relatively stationary and intense.

Central Park was 85, not sure where the 82 came from.

Today's Highs: LGA: 89 JFK: 88 EWR: 87 TEB: 87 PHL: 87 BLM: 86 New Brnswck: 86 TTN: 86 ACY: 86 ISP: 85 NYC: 82

Some of these tornado videos are beautiful. They kept saying a stove top tornado could be an EF-5. I'm like no it's not. Turned out to be an EF-3 165 MPH winds.

Doesn't sound like nearly as hot as they were hyping a few days ago though.

I also love how everyone has to say, "we're doing this to save lives." No, you're tornado junkies.

I love how a certified weather spotter is a thing. You take a two hour class and you're given a speech. Here's your diploma!

Not sure if this has been seen, they're doing another show about Tornado Chasing and some of these kids are probably going to get killed. Season 1 for the 2025 season, zero fatalities. Randomly crossed it in my Amazon Prime account. In the Eye of the Storm: Chasers (TV Series 2026– ) - IMDb

0.25" from a robust but quick a moving cell. 1.50" for the week and month.

The chart implies that the mix of stations is different depending on the year. Changing mix, alone, means one is not consistently calculating the same mean across time.

I mean, ball kind of don’t lie. Ponds and streams are easily the lowest I’ve seen them in my area in the 7 years I’ve been where I’m at.

Amazing with Sandy, we couldnt get gas in city. Drove up 95 and crossed into CT. First exit, gas for everyone. That really opened my eyes to the disfunction and regulation of the NY government…even in a crisis.

Certainly solve the problem. I'd have a coronary before I got too hot

Looking at that heatwave I happened to look at the normals out there this time of year. Salt Lake City averages 93° and Denver 90° on July 10. That’s as warm as Miami (90°)!

I hope it snows tomorrow.

Haven’t had many wins like this one this year so I’m making an old fashioned.

We had a snow in December 1982 too 7-10 inches but like cape about 82/83 ir didn’t stay on the ground long. That storm came on a Saturday night and was supposed to stay south. Was a big surprise,

0.8”, 1.6” over the last two days.

Again it looks like a nice thunderstorm pattern.

I feel like we’ve said this a bunch lately