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Typhoon I comprehend a slight cyclical warming world that is not scary or an existential threat. Climate is and remains an inexact science when trying to model the past before 1750....climate that occurred before on earth will of course come again.....simply cyclical no denying that!!

Approaching 1.5". Perfect event. Boy, the rubber band has snapped back. Might be an 8" month.

To say that was needed for our area is an understatement. Really grateful we have gotten this in May ahead of summer.

The problem always remains you cannot prove a National Weather Cooperative certified at the time record as wrong unless you find another station outside of the area (like here in Chester County Pa) and use that as a proxy to then validate the adjustment. That is clearly not science in this man's worldview.

I’ve forgotten what good storms are like. Makes me want to return to the plains.

Where was this cold, wet pattern all winter?

Based on RONI, 2023-4’s peak was only a borderline moderate/strong +1.50 (OND) vs 2015-6’s super RONI peak of +2.038. Even 2009-10’s peak was slightly stronger with +1.56. 2023-24’s DJF RONI then fell to just +1.21. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/RONI.ascii.txt

This weekend or next?

We are in uncharted waters this May with an historic Nor'Easter earlier this month, and then this coastal low as a follow up. The last several year High pressure configuration to our North is setting up a bit different so far and wondering what this will entail for the hurrucane season. Early thoughts are more home grown, closer to the coast development versus the MDR. The active period continues on Friday afternoon and Saturdaty as well, with more energy moving in.

Yo long island sucks. Why you all drive like youre from jersey? Christ. Get me off this permanent traffic jam.

The coastal is getting going now. Heavier rain moving up from the S/SW in the next few hours. 0.62" so far.

Fully selfish but in the past 5 I’ve had the microburst and the Arlington EF1 - which isn’t a terrible half decade. I guess general I’d say the storms feel a little wimpier, though.

0.38" so far with some rain still coming down. Enough to get us over 3" for the month now.

Over 0.5" in the 24 hours to 7AM... and a lot more to come after that. Looking forward to a green June

I don't disagree, but wow, that came out of left field.

We had a strong/super El Nino just 2 years ago and wasn't able to break it. So what you would be suggesting is a higher than 2015/16 scenario given the WPAC has still warmed during that time frame which would mean an ONI above ~2.6C probably closer to 3C consistently over several months to reset the system? Honestly I feel that is not reasonable if 2 El Nino, as strong as what we have seen one being nearly the strongest we have physically recorded, can not cool the WPAC having a stronger one won't change that fact. I feel we need to give it time to see how this all plays out and feel it is too early to draw conclusions on something to say permanence has set in. Im not trying to play a gotcha moment if it does in fact change up over the next few years to decade or stays exactly the same. Would rather let it play out and get better understandings versus making such claims one way or the other. It would be awfully weird to make these claims that things have changed for the worst and then we get another 5-10 year block of crushing snows again.

Been pretty uneventful for years it seems?

Yeah. Our region was in the light stuff most of the night. It started coming down harder around 3am here. I'm up to .87" so far and it's coming down pretty hard.

Other than using black garbage bags to cover up and kill mugwort, which apparently can take up to a year, is my only option Roundup?

Looks like installs finally happening this weekend.

Any updates ? Im counting down

It is 2025. Should we be using the most recent 30 year average temperatures from 1994 through 2024 instead of 1991-2020, if we are really concerned about comparing our daily averages to a "representative" trend? I sense many inconsistencies with not using the full history of data to calculate the daily average temperature instead of some "arbitrary" set of years. I mean, if you want to emphasize recent trends, why are you discounting the most recent 4 years?

39F for the low again and ready to launch another 40+ degrees.

Just the Tip

Fn... ALEET!