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  2. Day two risk is out for 5-15% damaging wind and 2% tornado that is a hair thin but there in TN .
  3. My sister was born July 18, 1991. I was 8 years old and I remember how brutally hot and humid it was. My mom always talks about how it was so hot when she was born.
  4. The 23/24 Nino was supposed to be very favorable for snows but it ended up being one the warmest/least snowiest. ENSO is still just one factor
  5. How about we look at *all* areas: Africa: Americas: Asia: Europe: Oceania:
  6. Great summary, and TY for sharing this. I'm brand new to learning SE climatology, after having lived in the Mid Atlantic for the past 30 years...and there are some definite differences.
  7. One way or another I’m going to witness a hurricane in person. Once I retire I’m definitely taking a quick trip to FL or the Carolina’s. But shhhh! Don’t tell my wife because she doesn’t know this yet!
  8. So you're saying CC's effect are somehow limited to the EU, and do not include Russia? Sorry - that's still cherry picking data. The more data you include, the better picture you get. Stop excluding data that doesn't fit your narrative. (Also Nature isn't exactly an unbiased reliable source. Also - "is expected to"? Since CC is already here - if it results in wildfire growth - shouldn't this already be happening? Why would this need to be a prediction, rather than an observation?)
  9. Guest

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  10. So it appears we are now at 5 confirmed TORs in the local area from the other day. This, after a well known local weather personality questioned spc issuing the tor watch. Gotta love it
  11. A low of 51 degrees this morning! Absolutely beautiful!
  12. Would track for our area's luck of late.
  13. Helene Documentary available today https://www.angel.com/watch/shared/c39477ce-431a-479f-a0a9-27bf60199691at https://www.facebook.com/share/p/194WCRZcbU/?mibextid=wwXIfr
  14. Today
  15. The shear over the Caribbean is nuts so nothing gonna come through there. I'd watch 20-30N and west of 50-55W for anything to get going beyond 10 days. Big plume of dust coming across over the next week or so. Climo ramping up as we move through August so will be interesting to see what can get going with developing and already strong El-Nino.
  16. Enjoy the sunshine today clouds look to build back Saturday afternoon and linger throughout much of the Sun - Wed period with next rain from southerly flow and cut off low to our west Mon-Tue. Hot/Humid beyond there.
  17. Nothing on the 7 day horizon but that may change by 8/8 with the Atlantic ridge established could increase FL- EC risk
  18. Last of the showers finally rotated through here about 10:30 last night. Picked up an additional .04". July ended up with 8.99" here and that is on the lower side for my area. Looks like another general 1" of rainfall next week. Locally higher amounts possible. Nice day today!
  19. DCA: +1.5 NYC: +0.9 BOS: +1.1 ORD: +0.6 ATL: +1.2 IAH: +1.1 DEN: +1.6 PHX: +1.3 SEA: +1.1
  20. I have some awesome pics of mammatus that I snapped in NoVA, from over the past 1-2 decades when we lived there...my favorite wx phenomenon to photograph.
  21. Yeah I don’t care too much about the backyard…especially the back half of the back by the woods where all of the fruit and nut trees are. I cut it early in the spring back there and that has been it. It’s a meadow around the pawpaws. Lots of crickets and tree frogs with the field grass and clover going to see. The wife gets what she wants out front with the biweekly mowings. Although it has slowed way down this past month from that lack of rain.
  22. These are INCREDIBLE pics, TY for sharing!!!!
  23. More of the same....every week has featured a big rain event going back to early July
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