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I feel good with my 2.5” for Harrisburg call.

I am still baffled at no warnings, 5-11" is a big range 18 hours out Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

@wxmeddler did a thing for us!

Hi-Res models coming in a little juiced/phased... Looks like things may bump north a bit with a more neutral trough. We shall see!

You guys in Sullivan should do very well with this. Rock Hill, MSV areas are prob a lock for 6-8". As long as we dont see any sneaky warmth in the mid levels here in northern orange we should be good for 4"+

Where is the pic of Ray dropping the toaster into Kevin‘s bathtub? Is that possible?

They issued that before this last minute model do over

Strange for NWS to expand WWA into northern moco given the model trends. They giving credence to HRRR? .

Looking pretty much set for folks like you and I. An 8-12 hour snow blitz and out by the end of tomorrow.

At the very least, There is some systems in the pipeline.

GYX 90/50/10 percents for Farmington (and here) are 0.5"/7"/14". Guessing that the models remain far apart. P&C forecast is 3-5 tomorrow and 2-4 tomorrow night.

Yeah looked a bit better with those clippers post 12/8

Nope. Read the links I posted for actual numbers. As of 2022 renewable energy comprised 53 percent of all energy subsidies. This includes tax incentives. And this despite renewables only being 21% of production. https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/fossil-fuels/renewable-energy-still-dominates-energy-subsidies-in-fy-2022/ You can keep repeating the "when all financial factors" canard all you want, but it doesn't make it true.

You can only name one? This storm reminds me of every storm...

If by several you mean 22 then yeah.

Well, not looking so good now. They've all lost it. We shall see!

It would be hard any time of year for this to be snow at the coast when we have strong onshore flow to deal with as the storm comes in, maybe if we had a significantly colder leading airmass. You can see clearly how the fairly marginal cold retreats as the storm moves in. If the high could hang on we would have a chance but again the fast progressive pattern bites us. Storm is also gone before it can fully mature at the mid levels, so we don’t get a CCB to form and cold air to work back in.

Wxbell model Spire only because it says it on the lower left corner

Models barely holding on to snow here, with no breathing room left. Morning runs for my yard: 6Z ECMWF- 2.0” (10:1) 12Z GFS- 3.5” (Kuchera) 12Z CMC- 5.5” (10:1) 12Z RGEM- 5” (10:1) 12Z UKMET- 3.5” (10:1) 12Z NAM 12km- 2.5” (10:1) 12Z NAM 3km- 1.5” (10:1)

Still thinking 6 to 9 unless this warms more

Welp, this aged poorly :/

At this point I’m tracking Friday’s cold temps. Looks like mid-upper teens for the area Friday morning, with highs possibly below freezing.

Something that has been missing over the past several years are the alberta clippers but the GFS has some modeled going forward.

Ya…he thought 2-4” anyway. Heh, these models can jump back the other way a tad too..so it ain’t a done deal yet.