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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, he is 100% making fun of all the X and bluesky posters being overly dramatic about everything -
The first 5 days of August only produced .28" of rain. The GFAF model gives Waynesboro a 55% chance of thunderstorms this afternoon between 3 - 6.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
40/70 Benchmark replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Okay. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
40/70 Benchmark replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Fun fact: as of yesterday afternoon I have recorded more rain in the first 5 days of August than I did in the entire month of July. -
Summer 2026 Med/Long Range Discussion
BeastFromTheEast replied to Brian D's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Not really seeing any 80 degree dews on any model runs boss. Maybe over by you near the cornfields and points west. GLOV looks to avoid anything extreme. Will def hit low 70s but we had that this week already, nothing noteworthy. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Instability pretty large tomorrow. Shear certainly doesn't look great so probably looking at some pulse type. Will probably see a ton of lightning in any storms and a localized FF risk where storms occur. -
Was this @dendrite's siting recommendation for you? I was going to ask for the link but may pass...I can probably find an old couch or washing machine on the side of the road to bring home and get setup properly
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wide range of precip totals yesterday region wide - some spots received inches others 0. I can see why this can prevent drought conditions from getting much better sooner then later.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Matching all the summers since 2012 the extent falls significantly behind 2012 during the 1st week of August. Much lower pressures this summer than even the 2013-2025 lower means resulted in the Jaxa extent falling into 12th place behind 2012. Plus we didn’t get the early season preconditioning. But since most of the older MYI has melted over the years, the volume is still very low.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We have had quite a wet start to August with most spots seeing between 1.8" to around 3 inches of rain over the last 5 days. Some additional shower chances are possible later today and again on Friday night. We should finally dry out by Sunday. Early next week it starts hot with a chance for some of our valley locations to possibly reach 90 degrees both Monday and Tuesday. Could those be the last chances of a 90-degree reading till next spring? -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
We have had quite a wet start to August with most spots seeing between 1.8" to around 3 inches of rain over the last 5 days. Some additional shower chances are possible later today and again on Friday night. We should finally dry out by Sunday. Early next week it starts hot with a chance for some of our valley locations to possibly reach 90 degrees both Monday and Tuesday. Could those be the last chances of a 90-degree reading till next spring? -
Turns out it just skimmed my. Probably Bridgewater got it pretty good and points just north of me. .24" on the day
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Low level clouds burning off under some high cirrus. Then a quick jump up to upper 80s / low 90s
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$ 1 needed to read that article -lol
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
vortex95 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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23 out of the last 26 months in NJ takes time to resolve. https://www.northjersey.com/story/weather/2026/07/30/nj-drought-warning-remains-after-severe-july-storms-heres-why/91091896007/?gnt-cfr=1&gca-cat=p&gca-uir=false&gca-epti=z115227p116850n00----l003450c00----e1117xxv115227&gca-ft=71&gca-ds=sophi
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Very humid out this morning. Currently at 9 am it is 84/80, feels like 96.
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Euro and EuroAI ensembles both hinting at some development towards the end of next week with the next wave moving off Africa. Conditions will be very hostile in the Caribbean, as one would expect in a Nino year. Should a brief TS develop, it won't last past the Lesser Antilles. Not much going for the Atlantic.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
ineedsnow replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Usually you can by then.. sun gets higher cars feel warmer getting in them.. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
BombsAway1288 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I think everyone’s excepted that this winter is lost and will likely be very mild. That will probably make it more enjoyable, the few small snow events we get -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
May have to turn the page on 1/12 this winter -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Torch Tiger replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
silliness
