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Yea, think the AIEPS is still correcting...

18 for my low this morning. Still looking like and Advisory event Wednesday night and Thursday morning. I noticed the NAM models where a bit juicier overnight at the end of their runs. Next weekend is still worth monitoring. It's going to be very cold late this work week with windchill indices at or below zero!

Dont look at the surface. It leads to nothing but frustration. Look at the upper levels and you will see that we are going to chances. And we are heading into our prime climo. I am not really concerned at this point.

CPC is ending up with a disagreement out there toward the 20th

In Knox Co… I know this is Captain obvious but it’s a must to live at or north of a line from Powell to Halls to Gibbs to get snow that the majority of Knox Co won’t see. The temp difference between Ft City to Halls is very unique. In a couple of mile span, it is normal for Halls to be 5-8 degrees colder than Ft City. Hard to explain. .

18 and heavy frost this morning. Glad the the winds have settled down.

From here on out, I will follow the sage, "Ji". His word is always true! "The model that shows the least snow always wins." I will only focus on the model with the least, then I will not be disappointed!

This month is going to average below normal.

18th isnt done yet. 16th is.

Undershot guidance a little and bottomed out at 25.2 this morning. Felt good to feel winter again after waking up to 60s past two days

It's hard to believe that they are so horrible on offense. Having a top receiver in AJ and a top running back in Barkley and can't do squat. And the play calling is just horrible. So damn vanilla. Lane may retire or in a year or so. Howie likes drafting offensive lineman so that's probably on his list. Overall, a real drag of a season. It seemed like they could never get their shit together...

And we are staying in Wears Valley this weekend .

What has happened to the weather has been really ironic, since I moved to Knoxville from the Cleveland Area around 2006. I was very excited because I love snow, so I assumed I would get much more snow than I did when I lived in Cleveland. That has turned out to be very untrue. Since moving to Knoxville, Cleveland has managed to get about the same amount or even more snowfall, and it just so happens that the area that I moved to in Knoxville never scores any snow from northern terrain generated events. It has become so frustrating that I have found myself just wanting warm weather so I can get out on the river and fish. For me, this is pretty significant because as a kid a snowfall always seemed like such a magical thing that it carried over into my adulthood.

The problem I have is, there's ALWAYS lots of chances, then slowly as we close in on the dates..... *poof*. This is true with 90% of all the models. I'd rather they show nothing and then hone in on an idea 5-7 days out, a LOT less exhausting. Maybe I (we) need to just watch the first 1/4-1/2 of the model runs and go from there.

You keep waiting on that cold. This is a warm January that no one on this board wanted to see. We are not waiting for a brief warm up to end. We are in a warm month waiting for a brief cool down. And that is a big difference in expectations

Tried to tell them to wait until today. And I’m not talking about the bullshit superstition thing, I meant because the models were janky with every single run. It’s fine, it could come back!

We are in the grieving phase. Damn you GFS!

Two weeks before the 93’ blizzard, an F3 tracked through Oak Ridge, Powell, to Halls. Strongest tornado on record for Knox Co. .

Lmao did this storm thread even survive one model run?

CLE only reported 1.3" yesterday. Seems like that area specifically always comes in with the lowest totals. Looking at the PNS reports areas right around there reported more.

Picked up 0.5" on the back end last night. We'll see what friday brings.

Looks like we are going to hit phase 8 again. So much for getting stuck in phases 4,5,6 due to the warm pool in the western pacific. Reasons to be optimistic: Warm pool causing repeated 4,5,6 seams to have stopped. Clippers being extinct no longer the case. SE ridge always linking with the MJO not always occurring. SE ridge being an unstoppable force is no longer the case. Next up - fast flow.

6z GEFS suggests 1-2" for a good chunk of the area for "my" storm.

Most winters have a January thaw. This mild pattern will be 10 to 15 days. Colder than average starting the 18th.

They stopped the chemtrails.