red Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I believe will will have higher ratios. I'm giving a first call for the mid coast from Brunswick to Rockland of 12" to 16" for both events. 16" toward Brunswick and 12" toward Rockland. Looks like I'm on the northern edge of the better snow and the best of it slides it a little too far east for me but still I think I get a decent snowfall out of this. Maybe a 6-10 deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Now that the Groundhog Day Storm(s) is past do we come back to this thread or start a new one? I am curious if this clipper dropping south drops a little something on us tonight or in the morning. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=ONT Seems to have a bit more juice than advertised. Or is it just going to wait and be sucked into Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Looks like a lot of snow potential for all of us on the horizon. Hopefully it pans out. 13.5F and clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Had a rare burst of HIE/BML style radiational cooling... down to 1.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Down to -2.5F, but it may drop more. We'll see. When I woke up 30 mins ago I was above 0F with a peky wind here on the hillside. I see CON is down to -11F...nice. BML -21F EC/Ukie look decent for us on the weekend. Maybe we'll have a little fun Sat night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
red Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 -10 this morning. Local Met on TV is hugging the GFS for this weekend's event forecasting a little light snow. He's got me in the Dusting - 1" graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Beautiful sunrise going on here at the moment. Really nice light with the clear skies and the snow on everything. At 4f after being down to 1f about a half hour ago. St. J at -12. It looks like the cold air is at the bottom of my hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hvysnow79 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 -12F when I left house at 0600, I am guessing it will drop a couple more for the actual low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The town has been carting the Snow outta here like it was crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 what's the consensus with tomorrow's event? looks to be sliding to the east. maybe 2-4"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 what's the consensus with tomorrow's event? looks to be sliding to the east. maybe 2-4"? I saw WGME give us 2-4 and WCSH give us 3-6. Models are in heavy heavy disagreement. My 5-8 call is looking too heavy, was thinking maybe 3-5 might do it but I want to see today's guidance. I'm thinking it may trend positively for us, but I'm a snow weenie so of course I'd think that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Cold morning. Sunk to -8F. Fresh snow, clearl skies & no wind! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Perfect night for radiational cooling, calm, clear, deep fresh snowpack. I had -1 at 9 last night, low for the day, and near -20 this morning. (Didn't look at the recording instrument, but the slightly warm-reading indoor-outdoor 10' above it had -17.) This will be our first 40+ diurnal range for the year, a sign of the sun's increasing strength. Tomorrow night's event is looking less and less impressive. Yest GYX hinted at 6-10" in their morning AFD. Today they suggest maybe 3-4" at the coast, and the p.o.p. for the foothills has been lowered from categorical to chance, skipping right past likely. Whiff or dusting this far inland? 06z gfs isn't too kind for us concerning the two subsequent events, either, though I think the earlier run had a 965 LP in a perfect spot Thurs night. Lots of time for lots of changes, but at this point most of us are playing with house money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 funny to see all the below zero's woke up to our warmest in a few days, 10F with light winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I saw WGME give us 2-4 and WCSH give us 3-6. Models are in heavy heavy disagreement. My 5-8 call is looking too heavy, was thinking maybe 3-5 might do it but I want to see today's guidance. I'm thinking it may trend positively for us, but I'm a snow weenie so of course I'd think that. It did, Still a low end warning for some and advisory "maybe" to the foothills tops.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 If there aren't WSW for this area at afternoon update, I'd be a little surprised... A clear shift to the western models on the 12z NAM and GFS... GGEM held solid... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 If there aren't WSW for this area at afternoon update, I'd be a little surprised... A clear shift to the western models on the 12z NAM and GFS... GGEM held solid... I was just sitting here thinking about that. I figure if the Euro says we snow, the WSWs will be posted with the pm update. My 5-8 call is looking decent right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I was just sitting here thinking about that. I figure if the Euro says we snow, the WSWs will be posted with the pm update. My 5-8 call is looking decent right now. I agree. It's storms like this that allow us to keep pace with or exceed SNE snowfall over the long term: a marginal setup with borderline temps, where a little latitude can go a long way (both because of the temp gradient and the fact that the late intensification favors areas further NE). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I agree. It's storms like this that allow us to keep pace with or exceed SNE snowfall over the long term: a marginal setup with borderline temps, where a little latitude can go a long way (both because of the temp gradient and the fact that the late intensification favors areas further NE). No kidding about the marginal temps. I just checked out the GFS soundings for SFM and PWM. Right at or just above 0C aloft at 42 hours. Close call per GFS but I'm thinking it'll be colder than that. Why? I'm a snow weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 funny to see all the below zero's woke up to our warmest in a few days, 10F with light winds. I was surprised. It was 1.4° when I went to bed and I was sure we were going below zero but it was 5° when I woke up at 6:00. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 funny to see all the below zero's woke up to our warmest in a few days, 10F with light winds. Yeah, I had -8F and the other coop person only five or so miles away to the west was +2F! Go figure. This morning's lows based on coop obs, etc.: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Great Euro run for central VT. Mostly snow for Sat night with maybe some ice or sleet mixing in briefly, but otherwise a nice 6-10" of high water content snow...looks like bullseye might be near Killington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Great Euro run for central VT. Mostly snow for Sat night with maybe some ice or sleet mixing in briefly, but otherwise a nice 6-10" of high water content snow...looks like bullseye might be near Killington. Hmmm....25 miles from here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Great Euro run for central VT. Mostly snow for Sat night with maybe some ice or sleet mixing in briefly, but otherwise a nice 6-10" of high water content snow...looks like bullseye might be near Killington. whats the deal for the NEK of VT, Will? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 whats the deal for the NEK of VT, Will? About half of what Killington gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Here is the BTV forcast for me at the moment. Curious to see what it will look like at 4 this afternoon. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.32648836117249&lon=-72.17146396636963&site=btv&smap=1&marine=0&unit=0&lg=en Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 1. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Saturday: Light snow likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Wind chill values as low as -7. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night: Light snow likely before 1am, then a chance for flurries. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday: A slight chance of flurries before 7am, then a slight chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 30. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 About half of what Killington gets. not too bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 http://forecast.weat...FD&issuedby=BTV BTV issuing Winter Storm Watches for part of VT. SHORT TERM /7 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...AS OF 312 PM EST FRIDAY...COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN THEN DEVELOPS BY LATER SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TRACKS FROM THE SRN OHIO VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS SRN NY/SRN NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL LIKELY SPREAD A LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL ACROSS OUR CENTRAL/SRN COUNTIES DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ACROSS OUR FAR SRN VT COUNTIES WHERE WINTER STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED. THERMAL PROFILES FAIRLY MILD AND COULD EVEN SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH DURING A FEW HOURS OVERNIGHT SATURDAY...BUT WITH CONTINUED MODEL DISPARITY IN THERMAL PROFILES HAVE LEANED TOWARD AN ALL SNOW EVENT AT THIS TIME. ADDITIONALLY... HAVE TRENDED TOWARD A MODEL BLENDED QPF SOLN WHICH SEEMS THE BEST COURSE GIVEN SUCH HIGH VARIABILITY AMONG OPERATIONAL/ENSEMBLE MEAN PROGS. THIS WOULD OFFER MUCH LIGHTER PCPN AMOUNTS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES WITH ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS INTO THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY/FAR NORTHERN VT. MAX/MIN TEMPS A BLEND OF MOS AND BIAS CORRECTED DATA HERE WHICH WOULD OFFER FAIRLY MILD READINGS AREA WIDE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
red Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 NICE ..... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW, POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN ALONG THE COAST SATURDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 8 INCHES WITH THE LOWEST AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST AND THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ALONG A LINE FROM BANGOR TO CALAIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Great Euro run for central VT. Mostly snow for Sat night with maybe some ice or sleet mixing in briefly, but otherwise a nice 6-10" of high water content snow...looks like bullseye might be near Killington. Do not want right now! Plow truck still broken down! F*************!! It'll do what it'll do. BTV's snowfall map has 4.5" in Chelsea just to my west. That's not too bad, I reckon. 10" of "high water content", no thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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