October 2026

[dmillz25]

43 here

[ForestHillWx]

32/26… looking around other stations, not as uniformed in terms of lows. Local inversions happening with the cold sinks? 

[bluewave]

The next week to perhaps 10 days looks like a northeast flow special with low pressure sitting just offshore and high pressure to the north.

 

[MJO812]

38 here

[cmillzz]

10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The next week to perhaps 10 days looks like a northeast flow special with low pressure sitting just offshore and high pressure to the north.

 

very warm look for the Midwest

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

very warm look for the Midwest

Same pattern since last year

[cmillzz]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Same pattern since last year

it’s been fairly mild for most of Northeast this fall, though not a complete blowtorch like the Midwest/Plains has been seeing. The Northeast may cash in on that warmth toward the end of the month though, just in time for Halloween.

[Snowlover11]

32 for a low.

[MarcmmKU]

36 this morning. coldest night so far by a long shot.

[bluewave]

8 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

very warm look for the Midwest

This developing historic El Niño has had a much stronger ridge sitting to our west in the means since last spring than we have seen before for the early development time period. Toward the end of the month the ridge begins shift eastward closer to the Northeast. The further east ridge axis is typically what we see from super El Niño events in the past heading into later fall and the winter. 
 

 

 

[MarcmmKU]

The dry sunny days this upcoming week with the cooler overnight lows relative to earlier this fall should do wonders for the fall colors for the burbs and even the city.

[TWCCraig]

Still no 30's here. 40.0 for the low on this part of LI. Winds stayed up most of the night

Should see widespread 30's tonight outside urban areas with calm winds.

[FPizz]

32.4

[rclab]

Central Park managed a drop to 41 with calm winds. The temperature is now starting to climb. I guess in our concrete asphalt UHI domain with limited radiational cooling, calm winds are less of a factor. As always ….

 

[SACRUS]

from 33 to 37.  Coolest since April 21st. Cooler the next 1-2 days then the onshore barrage keeps it overall near - above normal and outside of the cut off /low and storm pushing clouds / light rain to the coast Tue, it looks generally dry / partly - mostly sunny highs mid 60s - low 70s in the warmest inland areas.  Ridge pushes east towards 10/26 so overall warmer to clsoe the month looks likely.

 

10/18-10/19 : Cooler than normal - freeze/frost inland
10/19 - 10/26: Overall near - above normal prolonged onshore E-ENE-NE flow , storm stays offshore but may bring clouds/rain coast ELI-ENJ
10/27 - beyond : Ridge into the east overall above normal 

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 85 (2016)
NYC: 82 (1928)
LGA: 82 (2016)
JFK: 77 (1964)



Lows:

EWR: 32 (1982)
NYC: 35 (1974)
LGA: 35 (1939)
JFK: 37 (1978)

HIstorical:

 

1906 - A hurricane struck South Florida drowning 124 persons stranded in the Florida Keys. (David Ludlum)

1910 - Northeasterly winds as high as 70 mph (from a hurricane moving northward up the Florida peninsula) carried water out of Tampa Bay and the Hillsboro River. The water level lowered to nine feet below mean low water. Forty ships were grounded. (The Weather Channel)

1916: A tropical depression organized to a tropical storm on October 11 in the western Caribbean. It moved westward, reaching hurricane strength on the 13th before hitting the Yucatán Peninsula on the 15th as a 110 mph hurricane. It weakened over land, and it emerged over the southern Gulf of Mexico as a tropical storm. It quickly re-strengthened to a Category 3 hurricane, hitting Pensacola on October 18. The maximum wind velocity at Mobile was 115 mph from the east at 8:25 am. Pensacola had winds of 120 mph at 10:13 am when the wind instrument tower was blown down.

1930 - A big early season lake effect snowburst on the lee shores of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario produced 47 inches at Governeur NY and 48 inches just south of Buffalo. (David Ludlum)

1948: Birmingham, AL had its earliest freeze. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1984: Heavy snow began falling late on the 17th at Salt Lake City, UT and by the time it ended on this date, 18.4 inches had piled up to set a new all-time 24 hour snowfall record. 40 inches of snow fell at Alta in the Wasatch Range. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)
 

1987 - Thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced golf ball size hail at Atlanta, along with wind gusts to 86 mph, and four inches of rain. Damage from the storm was estimated at more than a million dollars. Sunny and mild weather continued across much of the rest of the nation. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Eight cities in the southwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Red Bluff CA with a reading of 96 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Unseasonably cold air began to invade the central and eastern U.S. Light snow fell across northern Maine, and snow was also reported in the Great Lakes Region, including the Chicago area. Bismarck ND was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 9 degrees above zero. Five cities in Florida reported record high readings for the date, as temperatures warmed above 80 degrees. Miami FL reported a record high of 90 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

2005 - With the formation of Hurricane Wilma, the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season tied the record for the most named storms for any season (21 storms in 1933), and also tied the record for the most hurricanes in a single season (12 in 1969). Wilma peaked at category-5 intensity on the 19th, with a minimum central pressure falling to 882 millibars (26.05 inches of mercury), the lowest pressure ever recorded in the Atlantic Basin. Wilma also became the most rapidly-intensifying storm on record, with a maximum-sustained surface wind speed increase of 105 mph in a 24-hour period.

1991: Nearly four inches of snow fell at Rochester, NY, the largest snowfall ever recorded so early in the season there. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1994: Massive flooding came to a close in southeast Texas. Up to 20 inches of rain fell over a widespread area. The maximum amount recorded was over thirty inches at Liberty Texas. 18 people were killed. 13,000 people had to flee their homes and 22,000 homes were damaged or destroyed. Total damage: $900 million. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)
 

 

2005: Hurricane Wilma developed a tiny, well-defined eye and began intensifying rapidly, reaching Category 5 strength with a record-setting pressure of 882 millibars by October 19. The rapid intensification from a tropical storm to Category 5 hurricane in 24 hours was the fastest ever recorded in the Atlantic Ocean, and the second-fastest worldwide, after Super Typhoon Forrest.

[snywx]

28° for a low here 

[SACRUS]

Looks like EWR with a few 4 * 79 degree readings will hold second place tied with 2024, with not much likelihood of more 80s with the ridge going up north and  west of us next week.

 

Year	Rank	Days ≥ 80°F
2015	1	118
2026	2	117
2024	2	117
2021	3	116
1994	4	114
2016	5	113
1993	5	113
1991	5	113
2011	6	111
2010	6	111
2023	7	110
2022	8	109
1959	9	108

[sussexcountyobs]

29.2 for a low this morning. Saw a couple 26's around Lafayette and Blairstown.

[MarcmmKU]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

Looks like EWR with a few 4 * 79 degree readings will hold second place tied with 2024, with not much likelihood of more 80s with the ridge going up north and  west of us next week.

 

Year	Rank	Days ≥ 80°F
2015	1	118
2026	2	117
2024	2	117
2021	3	116
1994	4	114
2016	5	113
1993	5	113
1991	5	113
2011	6	111
2010	6	111
2023	7	110
2022	8	109
1959	9	108

Pulling 80 in late October is challenging period, even if theres a stout ridge right over us. Mid 70s we should achieve easily though.

[SnoSki14]

3 hours ago, cmillzz said:

it’s been fairly mild for most of Northeast this fall, though not a complete blowtorch like the Midwest/Plains has been seeing. The Northeast may cash in on that warmth toward the end of the month though, just in time for Halloween.

I wonder if the drought out in plains and west is causing a feedback loop too. 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

3 hours ago, cmillzz said:

it’s been fairly mild for most of Northeast this fall, though not a complete blowtorch like the Midwest/Plains has been seeing. The Northeast may cash in on that warmth toward the end of the month though, just in time for Halloween.

I think the record warmth will be in the early part of November, like the other even years this decade (2020, 2022, and 2024).

[WestBabylonWeather]

What a nice day. Down at the west end of jones beach 

 

Extremely clear