CAPE Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Figures I would get a storm on a low pops day after the failure of a high probability of "heavy rain" yesterday. Lots of thunder on the back edge of this. 0.58" and still raining. Much needed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Beautiful sunset here. Final days of post 8pm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Pouring again with booming thunder. Enjoyable storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Rain done. Still impressive thunder. 0.85" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 0.47" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 I didn't get shit 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I didn't get shit That's good to hear. What about rain? 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Congrats guys. This is but a point to what remains. In other words, welcome to a record Nino. You'll get storm cycle after storm cycle after storm cycle. By the time this puppy (the record Nino) really gets going with the North American 500 millibar pressure surface, your grounds will already be hypersaturated and you get to see floods galore! Texas is way too far west for this one. This record Nino is so far east-based that Austin will actually miss out on 70 percent of the hydrometeor output thru at least September 2027. But there should be other Ninos in the next 10-20 years (If I manage to live that long ha ha ha). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Seeing the lightning off of those storms to the South all the way up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 55 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I didn't get shit I say that almost everyday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Got about 0.45 with a thunderstorm last evening. We had lots of close lightning strikes and lost power for three and a half hours. The RainDrop app was accurate this time. We've lost power more times in five months at this new house than in 25 years at the Germantown house. I'm shopping for generators LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 There has been measurable rain here for 9 of 18 August days. 4.15” for August. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 73 degree dewpoint at 9 am. nasty. Bring back the drought. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 0.02" from yesterday's event. So stupid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Hmm, forecast looks like a Nino, and it feels like a Nino out there. oday Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Tonight Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 67. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind. Thursday A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 86. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Thursday Night Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers. Low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Friday A chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Friday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Saturday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday Night A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 MIA hit 100F for only the 2nd time ever today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 NAM 3k runs have been really bullish for Thursday. Kiss of death? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 I might officially declare the drought over. The question now is are we gonna get our once every 5-10 yr blizzard. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 2 hours ago, 87storms said: I might officially declare the drought over. The question now is are we gonna get our once every 5-10 yr blizzard. seems like the moisture part of the equation won't be an issue. Just need a well-timed airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 10 hours ago, pazzo83 said: seems like the moisture part of the equation won't be an issue. Just need a well-timed airmass. That's the game we play. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 Finally a nice morning for coffee on the porch! 63. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 Mount Holly going bullish again for heavy rain tomorrow/tomorrow night, with 1.5-2" forecast for an event that will have hits and misses. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 20 minutes ago, CAPE said: Mount Holly going bullish again for heavy rain tomorrow/tomorrow night, with 1.5-2" forecast for an event that will have hits and misses. Huge range on the mesos from a total whiff to that type of event. Euro was bullish and now seems to be bailing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Huge range on the mesos from a total whiff to that type of event. Euro was bullish and now seems to be bailing. After the weekend debacle, I’m not sure if that means much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 44 minutes ago, CAPE said: Mount Holly going bullish again for heavy rain tomorrow/tomorrow night, with 1.5-2" forecast for an event that will have hits and misses. I wonder who will win. Frederick Glen Burnie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 3 minutes ago, dailylurker said: I wonder who will win. Frederick Glen Burnie White Marsh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 57 years ago this week, 124 people died in Nelson County from the remnants of Camille. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Huge range on the mesos from a total whiff to that type of event. Euro was bullish and now seems to be bailing. The old Euro mid range high QPF bias strikes again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 2 hours ago, stormy said: 57 years ago this week, 124 people died in Nelson County from the remnants of Camille. 30 plus inches in roughly 5 hours in 1 night... Luckily the Madison county event in 95 occurred during the day with similar 30 inch totals - or the death toll there would have been extreme... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted August 19 Share Posted August 19 Looking at Mt Holly and the models watch this be a reverse June 27th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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