Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

East of the river stein baby

Solid inch so far 

[Damage In Tolland]

I woke up around 3:00 to thunder and was psyched. Looked at radar and went back to bed. Thank you Mr. Steiner. When you hit, you hit hard 

[moneypitmike]

I'll be headed to Mattapoisett tomorrow night....hoping the water will mitigate the temp.  Any wind direction  that does not includes a north component is coming from the water, so that'll help.  Running (ha) a race there on Saturday, too.

 

Meanwhile, it was really cool at Pit2 yesterday, at least in the later afternoon/evening.  Temp was in the 70's as I drove from Waterville toward Gardner and it was all of 72* when I pulled into the house here.

[dendrite]

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I woke up around 3:00 to thunder and was psyched. Looked at radar and went back to bed. Thank you Mr. Steiner. When you hit, you hit hard 

Mista Steinolina Mista Dave Steinolina

You thought you could precipitate you thought you could fool me

[vortex95]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

East of the river stein baby

Scott mad.

Highest measured total was 21" at Darkhorse Lake MT elevation 8700 ft. 

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Scott mad.

Highest measured total was 21" at Darkhorse Lake MT elevation 8700 ft. 

Nah it’s just why nobody cares about convection around here except for a few poor souls. 

[CoastalWx]

Clouds seem to dissipating fairly quickly. Might be a bunch of cirrus through late morning.

[dendrite]

The 3 hot days are in the plym mav mos plotting window now.

[Lava Rock]

0.32". Nice surprise

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[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Clouds seem to dissipating fairly quickly. Might be a bunch of cirrus through late morning.

I always remember Jul 95…mid level clouds until 9-10am and then it was off to the races. But yeah, clouds are collapsing pretty well on IR. 

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I always remember Jul 95…mid level clouds until 9-10am and then it was off to the races. But yeah, clouds are collapsing pretty well on IR. 

Gonna roast at Winni. 

[BrianW]

34 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I'll be headed to Mattapoisett tomorrow night....hoping the water will mitigate the temp.  Any wind direction that includes that does not includes a north component is coming from the water, so that'll help.  Running (ha) a race there on Saturday, too.

 

Meanwhile, it was really cool at Pit2 yesterday, at least in the later afternoon/evening.  Temp was in the 70's as I drove from Waterville toward Gardner and it was all of 72* when I pulled into the house here.

I am heading to my sister's beach house in Narragansett out on Pt Judith today. Same thing there where only a north wind will bring in any heat. Its absolutely wild to leave there when its like 72 degrees and you get to Providence and its 102.

I setup a wunderground station there a few years back. High was 72 yesterday and its only briefly touched 80 3 times this year. 

Probably one of the coolest locations outside of an island in New England.

 

[wx_observer]

Beautiful pre-heat morning here in central MA!  68F with partial cloud cover, and still comfortable humidity.  The breeze still feels cool, but since it's coming from the south I expect that will change soon.  

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, wx_observer said:

Beautiful pre-heat morning here in central MA!  68F with partial cloud cover, and still comfortable humidity.  The breeze still feels cool, but since it's coming from the south I expect that will change soon.  

Last natural AC for a bit.

[Damage In Tolland]

55 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Mista Steinolina Mista Dave Steinolina

You thought you could precipitate you thought you could fool me

lol. I took two of his full webbed hands up the hiney yesterday and last night. Literally missing by 1-2 miles . And then he moved them all around while he was up in there. 

[Modfan2]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

lol. I took two of his full webbed hands up the hiney yesterday and last night. Literally missing by 1-2 miles . And then he moved them all around while he was up in there. 

I missed just to my north ( had sprinkles) last evening and nothing over night 

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

I missed just to my north ( had sprinkles) last evening and nothing over night 

Yeah but you had near or over an inch Sunday 

[Damage In Tolland]

Wonder how we’ll get Steined with the MCS tonight ? Probably will hit Ginx down to the cape 

[dendrite]

Had 0.34” early last night…just enough to keep the surface wet a couple more days. 

[Chrisrotary12]

37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Wonder how we’ll get Steined with the MCS tonight ? Probably will hit Ginx down to the cape 

What MCS?

[Damage In Tolland]

17 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

What MCS?

The one modeled 

[CoastalWx]

Clouds clearing out quicker than hair on Kevin’s head.

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

The 3 hot days are in the plym mav mos plotting window now.

Shows me with one day in the 90’s….race day FTL.

[CT Valley Snowman]

Steined again last night.  Not expecting anything today.  

[weatherwiz]

NBM has EWR got to 84 tomorrow night  

BOS may get get below 80 either 

[Damage In Tolland]

14 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

NBM has EWR got to 84 tomorrow night  

BOS may get get below 80 either 

BDL too

[Typhoon Tip]

9 hours ago, dendrite said:

Can't plot MaxT for 18z for whatever reason, but a few for Thu...

MHT 102
CON 101

BAF 103
OWD 103
BED 102
BOS 101
ORH 97

BDL 103
HFD 101

EWR 104
LGA 103
PHL 103
BWI 104
DCA 103

I know this post is 9 hours old ... and what I'm about to wonder is incredibly tedious but, I always think of BOS as being climate tainted in these west wind dragon tongue patterns.     Logan AP, being basically right outside the Boston urban anus, isn't likely to be cooler than BAF.   Probably it would be more like OWD...

But like ..who cares.   right

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

BDL too

BDL will probably get down to 77-78

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

BDL will probably get down to 77-78

Guidance shows 80-81

[Typhoon Tip]

no ... I think you're gonna find that no amount of distaste for heat, hot patterns, or those that like to rhetorically emphasize the significance of it... will change the reality that these are not very interfering, typical nocturnally enhance cloud types that are in the process ( like normal ...) of melting away with the diurnal processing of the sun -  already evidence on high res sat.

Heights are rising.  That's intrinsically a DVM exertion. This will be a suppressive cloud factor as the day goes forward.  Probably there will be mainly sunny conditions from 11 ... 11:30 on if not sooner.  Should expect full realization of at least machine numbers.

Probably a mean of 94 with outliers higher. 

Given the thrust of ridge bulging for the next 36 or so hours .. this will neg interfere with MCS mechanisms.  I believe that MCS is not as much of a risk going forward until  the other side, when we see the evolution of this ridge receding over the weekend.  Perhaps Friday night?