steve392 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 1/2" of rain yesterday. Parts of my area just got destroyed. Seeing lots of pics this and videos this morning. Crazy rainfall amounts. Anyone able to post those maps with totals from home sites? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 28 Author Share Posted July 28 Surprised they issued a severe thunderstorm watch for all of NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Steamy 82 / 71 between building storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj08822 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Drought buster in eastern PA. Already up to 1 inch today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 59 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: HRRR bullseyes philly area now Each model has a different jackpot area which is typical in convective setups. It’s very hard to pinpoint exact locations. Most of the rain today and tonight will fall in a relatively short period. There’s also quite a high risk of microbursts today, like what we saw yesterday, hence the watch. Could also see an isolated tornado. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Looks like everything will be too far west. NW NJ looks like the spot to be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks like everything will be too far west. NW NJ looks like the spot to be You do realize that line will intensify and build East right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Almost all of Central NJ is under a severe thunderstorm warning now. 60mph wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 10 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You do realize that line will intensify and build East right? The stuff by state college could eventually get here in a weakened state later this evening otherwise things look tame for eastern sections. Flood outlook did a good job at highlighting eastern PA, central west and NW Jersey. Anyone east of 287 and south of 78 won't get much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Pouring in Flemington on my way back home from Camden. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 13 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You do realize that line will intensify and build East right? The low will form later as well and more will develop further south-long way to go on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The stuff by state college could eventually get here in a weakened state later this evening otherwise things look tame for eastern sections. Agree. Expect LI to get a quick hit from whatever is left over as the front slides east. Sorta like a transitioning tropical cyclone where the center passes west of LI, and we end up with very little rain, while inland gets crushed. Better dynamics, and terrain lift. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 50 minutes ago, Poker2015 said: I'll believe it when I see it. My town has a dome over it, right FPizz!! Totally fine with that. I never want those flooding rains. Looks like we should get a quick heavy downpour in a few. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Some of the takes here are just profoundly ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Finishing up lawn in warned storm lots of thunder..moderate rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 In Summit, NI currently. Radar is impressive southwest of here. Expecting heavy downpours within 60-90 minutes tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redsox91 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Tornado warning for parts of SW Sussex County and Northern Warren County WWA Summary for Tornado Warning Issued by PHI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Some of the takes here are just profoundly ridiculous. Agreed! Sometimes better to remain quiet and appear the fool than to speak and remove all doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Tornado Warning NW NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Just now, MANDA said: Agreed! Sometimes better to remain quiet and appear the fool than to speak and remove all doubt. It’s the same people that call bust before an event even starts every time. They over analyze the radar instead of just letting things play out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It’s the same people that call bust before an event even starts every time. They over analyze the radar instead of just letting things play out. I think relative to what models showed yesterday this is more W-NW overall. I think this initial around stays mostly Newark west now, its the activity post 22Z that may be more of a factor to the east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 13 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Agree. Expect LI to get a quick hit from whatever is left over as the front slides east. Sorta like a transitioning tropical cyclone where the center passes west of LI, and we end up with very little rain, while inland gets crushed. Better dynamics, and terrain lift. I think our chance here is largely with whatever coastal storm develops. For today I agree the vast majority will be for NJ and Hudson Valley. Some of the modeling did get wetter east of the city today so we have to wait and see. But I’m not too optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Eastern part of that line in CNJ may clip me or just miss me to the west here in Morristown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 22 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The stuff by state college could eventually get here in a weakened state later this evening otherwise things look tame for eastern sections. Flood outlook did a good job at highlighting eastern PA, central west and NW Jersey. Anyone east of 287 and south of 78 won't get much You love speaking in absolutes lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: I think relative to what models showed yesterday this is more W-NW overall. I think this initial around stays mostly Newark west now, its the activity post 22Z that may be more of a factor to the east. This always looked to me like the max would be near Passaic/Bergen/Rockland Counties and I still feel that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juturna Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Sun finally out here in Suffolk county, hopefully can fuel a good storm or two this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: This always looked to me like the max would be near Passaic/Bergen/Rockland Counties and I still feel that way. I agree , the southern portion of the line isn’t expanding much and will probably miss NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 HRRR looks very dry outside of NW NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 .11" from that one. Tried its best to split right around me, but still got grazed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 Radar not very promising despite the warning for northern Middlesex County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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