July 2026

[Stormlover74]

6 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Why isn't tomorrow's storm generating more buzz on here? 3-6 inches of rain can be catastrophic.

Because most of the models are showing anywhere from a quarter inch to half a foot. high bust potential 

[Voyager]

27 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Why isn't tomorrow's storm generating more buzz on here? 3-6 inches of rain can be catastrophic.

It's not generating buzz on any of the forums.

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Because most of the models are showing anywhere from a quarter inch to half a foot. high bust potential 

yeah it's not a widespread event-it's hit or miss for most of us

[jm1220]

4 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

WPIX trying to increase their ratings or decrease them ?

I have no clue why they show these maps on TV. TV mets should be a little more responsible than Twitter "mets" and hypesters. Yet here we are. 

[winterwx21]

6 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

And nam is mostly Wednesday morning

Which is obviously wrong. It continues to appear that there will be a smaller round for late morning and midday, and then the potential major round for early evening. We could get hit hard around 5 to 7pm, but we'll have to see if there's enough sunshine during the afternoon break to really fire up the atmosphere and increase the risk of the early evening storms being severe. 

[weatheruser]

50 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I have no clue why they show these maps on TV. TV mets should be a little more responsible than Twitter "mets" and hypesters. Yet here we are. 

I also didn't realize Edison renamed themselves Newark

[Stormlover74]

37 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Which is obviously wrong. It continues to appear that there will be a smaller round for late morning and midday, and then the potential major round for early evening. We could get hit hard around 5 to 7pm, but we'll have to see if there's enough sunshine during the afternoon break to really fire up the atmosphere and increase the risk of the early evening storms being severe. 

Now it shifted to tomorrow 

[qg_omega]

[donsutherland1]

The overnight HREF:

[donsutherland1]

8 hours ago, jm1220 said:

I have no clue why they show these maps on TV. TV mets should be a little more responsible than Twitter "mets" and hypesters. Yet here we are. 

The futurecast is essentially useless at 36-48 hours. It's akin to a 120-hour NAM run (NAM ends at 84 hours, just so one has context for my analogy). Not surprisingly, last night's figures were dramatically lowered and are now in line with the guidance.

https://pix11.com/news/local-news/projected-rainfall-totals-in-ny-nj-ahead-of-storms/

[NEG NAO]

45 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

The futurecast is essentially useless at 36-48 hours. It's akin to a 120-hour NAM run (NAM ends at 84 hours, just so one has context for my analogy). Not surprisingly, last night's figures were dramatically lowered and are now in line with the guidance.

https://pix11.com/news/local-news/projected-rainfall-totals-in-ny-nj-ahead-of-storms/

someone should tell them Newark isn't located in Middlesex County - as for todays precip the flow is southwesterly and so far nothing has developed to our southwest but its still very early - another question is - how unstable is the atmosphere going to actually get later today to produce any watches and where exactly is this all going to setup - favored areas in central NJ and NYC??? or can that change ?

[jm1220]

4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

someone should tell them Newark isn't located in Middlesex County - as for todays precip the flow is southwesterly and so far nothing has developed to our southwest but its still very early - another question is - how unstable is the atmosphere going to actually get later today to produce any watches and where exactly is this all going to setup - favored areas in central NJ and NYC??? or can that change ?

Looking like N NJ and Hudson Valley are favored for heavy rain then some zone south of there with a split screw zone in the middle. You can already see a good bit of rain headed for the favored N NJ/Hudson Valley area. 

[NEG NAO]

6 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Looking like N NJ and Hudson Valley are favored for heavy rain then some zone south of there with a split screw zone in the middle. You can already see a good bit of rain headed for the favored N NJ/Hudson Valley area. 

Yes and there is some clearing to our west - but how much of that is going to reach us ? Also today is not going to be a complete washout like Saturday was - the Upton forecast makes it sound more like a overall rainy - stormy day