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Junorch obs and discussion 2026


Damage In Tolland
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4 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Holy disgusting pollen batman. F this

Imagine people that open windows in homes and cars with all this pollen . If they rubbed hands across window sill and floors below would be completely yellowed. Folks with window fans at night blowing it all over their faces and sheets. And car dashboards with enough folks can make letters and pictures with fingers in it . Not to mention breathing it all in. 

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Chase rain showers in NNE?

I've been thinking the over the last 2-3 days the potential would be more western/central NY and PA and maybe SNE Sunday. However, looks like Saturday may end up being centra/eastern NY and PA into SNE. There are still timing differences but the NAM seems to be speeding up a bit. Good wind shear and solid height falls. Would like to see higher dewpoints and mid-level lapse rates but that's more pertinent if you're looking for outbreak type stuff. Just looking for thunder/lightning and a shelf cloud. Anything beyond is a bonus 

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2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I've been thinking the over the last 2-3 days the potential would be more western/central NY and PA and maybe SNE Sunday. However, looks like Saturday may end up being centra/eastern NY and PA into SNE. There are still timing differences but the NAM seems to be speeding up a bit. Good wind shear and solid height falls. Would like to see higher dewpoints and mid-level lapse rates but that's more pertinent if you're looking for outbreak type stuff. Just looking for thunder/lightning and a shelf cloud. Anything beyond is a bonus 

There doesn’t look to be any convection with this and it’s all centered on Sunday morning to midday . SNE is just sunny and hot Saturday. NBM total qpf in SNE is very meh generally under .25

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There doesn’t look to be any convection with this and it’s all centered on Sunday morning to midday . SNE is just sunny and hot Saturday. NBM total qpf in SNE is very meh generally under .25

I'd watch for models to continue speeding up with the timing. There certainly could be a bit cutoff though within SNE where WOR is favored. Seeing the 18z NAM come in even quicker is something to watch...typically the NAM can be too slow. 

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11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I'd watch for models to continue speeding up with the timing. There certainly could be a bit cutoff though within SNE where WOR is favored. Seeing the 18z NAM come in even quicker is something to watch...typically the NAM can be too slow. 

Well the NAM is discontinued 

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30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I've been thinking the over the last 2-3 days the potential would be more western/central NY and PA and maybe SNE Sunday. However, looks like Saturday may end up being centra/eastern NY and PA into SNE. There are still timing differences but the NAM seems to be speeding up a bit. Good wind shear and solid height falls. Would like to see higher dewpoints and mid-level lapse rates but that's more pertinent if you're looking for outbreak type stuff. Just looking for thunder/lightning and a shelf cloud. Anything beyond is a bonus 

Where's my invite? :weep:

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