June 2026

[psv88]

9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Sunday looking wet now

Horrific. 

[uofmiami]

13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Sunday looking wet now

Yep, we can’t get a weekend with both days having nice weather of late.  Have to enjoy Saturday before it goes to hell again. 

[qg_omega]

No drought here

[Brian5671]

25 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

Yep, we can’t get a weekend with both days having nice weather of late.  Have to enjoy Saturday before it goes to hell again. 

WE will see-alot of these wet solutions have busted outside of Memorial day weekend disaster.

[uofmiami]

22 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

WE will see-alot of these wet solutions have busted outside of Memorial day weekend disaster.

It's not the wet, it's the temps too.

[bluewave]

1 hour ago, doncat said:

Last 12 month precip here was 33.03". That's a good 15" below normal.

The last two years have been very dry across much of the CONUS. It will be interesting to see how things go with the developing super El Niño.

The current pattern has been alternating between surges of Niña-like warmth and cooler El Niño-like intervals from the spring into early summer so far.  But we have still been averaging out warmer than is typical this time of year for such a strong developing El Niño.

So not sure if the precipitation will fully shift into a more Nino-like wet pattern or we still hold onto some reflection this Niña-like drought pattern. Ridges have been significantly stronger than usual across much of North America in recent years. So the more expansive high pressure has tended to really dry things out. 

[NEG NAO]

A review of the hurricanes 1950 -2022

[NEG NAO]

9 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

It's not the wet, it's the temps too.

only thing growing on my lawn that is exposed to the sunlight is weeds - ground is dry as a bone here in central NJ and after the hot sunny temps this week the weeds will stop growing too....

[Brian5671]

21 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

only thing growing on my lawn that is exposed to the sunlight is weeds - ground is dry as a bone here in central NJ and after the hot sunny temps this week the weeds will stop growing too....

Dries out fast this time of year with peak sun angle.   

[Brian5671]

18 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

I just figured Isaias was retired

Surprised it wasn't.  Granted it was only a CAT 1 but it caused 5 billion in damage in a heavily populated area.

[winterwx21]

53 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

only thing growing on my lawn that is exposed to the sunlight is weeds - ground is dry as a bone here in central NJ and after the hot sunny temps this week the weeds will stop growing too....

Yeah we really need the rain. I hope Sunday works out, even though it would be bad timing with the rain being on a weekend day. Before then a lot of watering will be needed this week. 

[MANDA]

4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Sunday looking wet now

I think the difference between this rain threat coming up for Sunday and the Memorial Day weekend event is that the Memorial Day weekend event brought meaningful rain.  The potential rainfall this coming Sunday will be more meaningless but just enough to F up a weekend day.  Looks like 1/2" or less for most spots based on the more reliable model guidance.  We'll see how it plays out but it does not look overly wet IMO.

[FPizz]

[Stormlover74]

1 hour ago, MANDA said:

I think the difference between this rain threat coming up for Sunday and the Memorial Day weekend event is that the Memorial Day weekend event brought meaningful rain.  The potential rainfall this coming Sunday will be more meaningless but just enough to F up a weekend day.  Looks like 1/2" or less for most spots based on the more reliable model guidance.  We'll see how it plays out but it does not look overly wet IMO.

Yeah we'll see as we get closer but a total washout seems unlikely 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Surprised it wasn't.  Granted it was only a CAT 1 but it caused 5 billion in damage in a heavily populated area.

Idalia (in 2023) should have been retired as well. I guess there must be a shortage of I names that they need to keep them in there unless there is a truly historic storm.

[Brian5671]

57 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Hartford too-40 breaks the previous low of 42 in 2020.     

[NEG NAO]

[Cygnus X-1]

This Spring is nuts. Looking at the GOES NE satellite it seems the Jetstream is going backwards for days on end.

Stupid clouds *shakes fist at sky*. 

[donsutherland1]

This morning was unseasonably cool. It may well go on to be the coolest morning of the summer. Lows included:

Atlantic City: 45°
Bridgeport: 48°
Islip: 46°
New York City-Central Park: 52°
New York City-JFK Airport: 50° (old record: 51°, 1997, 2003, 2015)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 55°
Newark: 51°
Philadelphia: 53°
Poughkeepsie: 41°
Westhampton: 35° (old record: 39°, 2020)
White Plains: 46° (old record: 47°, 1971, 1984, 1988, 1993)

A warming trend will commence tomorrow with highs in the upper 70s to perhaps lower 80s. Thursday should see temperatures top out in lower 80s. Friday and Saturday will be very warm days with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Saturday will remain warm before somewhat cooler air arrives to conclude the weekend.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -16.87 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.714 today.