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May 2026 Obs/Discussion


weatherwiz
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12 hours ago, vortex95 said:

A waterspout also occurred not far offshore from Rye Beach.

When I saw this and the radar loop, I said, "you've GOT to be kidding me, since when in New England does a tornadic supercell form on a edge of a gust from from a decaying squall line?!"  And SSTs on the NH coast are still pretty cold in mid-May, yet that did not impede things at all.

I think the only other time I was flabbergasted like this was the two mini-supercell tornadoes occurred in the Brunswick ME area on Thanksgiving in 2005.  This was after a couple of inches of snow has just fallen here in the previous several hours!
 

The Brunswick tornado was a brief ER-0 event about 4 miles SW from town center, and did minor damage.  The Phippsburg tornado formed just past noon about 15 miles SE from the first one.  It was an EF-1 with winds to 100 mph, tracking 3.8 miles with width to 75 yards.  Many trees were blown down and several buildings damaged, but no injuries were reported.
Meanwhile 65 miles north, we had moderate snow and 20s at the same time. 
Day's data:   27°   14°   0.39"   3.8"     The snow fell straight down, barely a breath of wind.

The official report:

A pair of waterspouts/tornadoes moved northward from the Gulf of Maine during the early afternoon of Thanksgiving Day. The waterspouts/tornadoes formed along a warm frontal boundary that was associated with an area of low pressure which was bringing snow to much of the state of Maine.

The first waterspout/tornado moved ashore over the southern tip of the Phippsburg peninsula near Bald Head, crossed Small Point, moved over The Branch, went ashore again on Hermit Island, lifted, reformed over Tottman Cove, and then went ashore once again near West Point.

The second tornado/waterspout reportedly touched down as a waterspout south of Brunswick in Middle Bay, then moved ashore near the northern end of Mere Point Neck, moved back over water at the northern end of Maquoit Bay, then moved back over land and crossed Bunganug Road before dissipating.

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7 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI getting wetter this weekend 

High stakes weekend...

EPS/GEFS and EC are wettest models, but if anything maybe ticking drier

AI-GFS/EC and GFS driest...

12z AI-GFS still a shutout until late Monday, but ticking less suppressed

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