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May 2026 Obs/Discussion


weatherwiz
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58 minutes ago, mreaves said:

1.55” since about noon. The batteries died in my weather station yesterday and I didn’t replace until today. I don’t know how much fell before then. 
 

Edit: Looks like my neighbor has 2.08” for the event. Seems about right. 

You guys have been in the radar firehose all day.  Pivot point.

IMG_8474.gif.f25164f141e19dc7c2a4c210b442aac9.gif
 

Here it’s been 1.00-1.50”… the Worcester Range and SE has been 1.50”+.

IMG_8473.jpeg.be46dc3ff076ef90cd4b43315adab986.jpeg

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looks like after Tuesday and Wednesday that’s it for the good warmth for a little while. 
 

Maybe  comes back after Memorial Day, but core of The heat over the Great Lakes means intrusions of cooler possible in New England. Although could still average above normal.

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:


looks like after Tuesday and Wednesday that’s it for the good warmth for a little while. 
 

Maybe  comes back after Memorial Day, but core of The heat over the Great Lakes means intrusions of cooler possible in New England. Although could still average above normal.

Looks like a nice stretch.

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Nearly 2.5 inches overnight. Gyx issued its most recent drought update for Maine and NH, discouraging as usual. What caught my eye was this historical five year map of drought, and the coastal strip of high drought. To my experience in recent years, this lines up with what seems to be increasing phenomenon of a really strong marine layer due to stout south/southeast winds in summer shredding frontal thunderstorms that approach the coastm from the mountains. Is that possible, that we're seeing fewer coastal t-storms in summer due?

Screenshot 2026-05-15 at 7.11.38 AM.jpg

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:


looks like after Tuesday and Wednesday that’s it for the good warmth for a little while. 
 

Maybe  comes back after Memorial Day, but core of The heat over the Great Lakes means intrusions of cooler possible in New England. Although could still average above normal.

It's going to be nothing but bare napes and hairy arms out the window up here if we can just get a stretch of normal temps.

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8 minutes ago, 1985 Polar Bear said:

Nearly 2.5 inches overnight. Gyx issued its most recent drought update for Maine and NH, discouraging as usual. What caught my eye was this historical five year map of drought, and the coastal strip of high drought. To my experience in recent years, this lines up with what seems to be increasing phenomenon of a really strong marine layer due to stout south/southeast winds in summer shredding frontal thunderstorms that approach the coastm from the mountains. Is that possible, that we're seeing fewer coastal t-storms in summer due?

Screenshot 2026-05-15 at 7.11.38 AM.jpg

I think the thunder thing is just climo. Storms are naturally going to fall apart as they near the colder water. One thing we have seemingly trended towards though is more rain in shorter periods of time. So while yearly precip could be normal or above normal, when we get rain it is too much too fast and it doesn't actually alleviate drought conditions.

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12 minutes ago, 1985 Polar Bear said:

Nearly 2.5 inches overnight. Gyx issued its most recent drought update for Maine and NH, discouraging as usual. What caught my eye was this historical five year map of drought, and the coastal strip of high drought. To my experience in recent years, this lines up with what seems to be increasing phenomenon of a really strong marine layer due to stout south/southeast winds in summer shredding frontal thunderstorms that approach the coastm from the mountains. Is that possible, that we're seeing fewer coastal t-storms in summer due?

Screenshot 2026-05-15 at 7.11.38 AM.jpg

I know it feels like 90% of connective storms fizzle by the time they reach the coast, but I don't think that's a new thing, or that it's gotten worse in recent years.  Missing 0.20" on a single cell a dozen times a year isn't going to make that much of a difference, I don't think.

But your overall point is clearly accurate - the coastal has experienced more dry conditions than most places in the state.

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5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I think the thunder thing is just climo. Storms are naturally going to fall apart as they near the colder water. One thing we have seemingly trended towards though is more rain in shorter periods of time. So while yearly precip could be normal or above normal, when we get rain it is too much too fast and it doesn't actually alleviate drought conditions.

Got to imagine the rivers in the white mountains draining to the east and southeast are raging pretty good right now after last night.

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2 minutes ago, tunafish said:

I know it feels like 90% of connective storms fizzle by the time they reach the coast, but I don't think that's a new thing, or that it's gotten worse in recent years.  Missing 0.20" on a single cell a dozen times a year isn't going to make that much of a difference, I don't think.

But your overall point is clearly accurate - the coastal has experienced more dry conditions than most places in the state.

We make our hay other times of the year, the problem lately has definitely been relying on summer to catch us up to normal precip. That just isn't likely to happen.

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35 minutes ago, tunafish said:

I know it feels like 90% of connective storms fizzle by the time they reach the coast, but I don't think that's a new thing, or that it's gotten worse in recent years. 

Yeah, it's probably just more noticeable now since one can now easily see it on phone radar apps, and before you'd never know that Sebago to Augusta was being hammered and you'd miss out.

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46 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I think the thunder thing is just climo. Storms are naturally going to fall apart as they near the colder water. One thing we have seemingly trended towards though is more rain in shorter periods of time. So while yearly precip could be normal or above normal, when we get rain it is too much too fast and it doesn't actually alleviate drought conditions.

I live on a small hill, and usually can see evidence of rain runoff down to the roadside ditch when we get something like last night's 2.5. It was heartening that I didn't see too much of that this time. A "good" rain.

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