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18 hours ago, JerseyWx said:

You can see how the deficit got erased in NW Jersey since end of Feb.  Been pretty good here.

It has been mostly a brown lawn issue here since late 2024. But we did have our local reservoirs running low at times. Thankfully nothing as extreme as the water restrictions areawide back in 2002.

The biggest issue for agriculture this spring has been the record temperature swing. While spring record warmth is arriving earlier these days, the last freeze date has held more steady. This has resulted in the big local crop losses. 

 

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5 hours ago, bluewave said:

It has been mostly a brown lawn issue here since late 2024. But we did have our local reservoirs running low at times. Thankfully nothing as extreme as the water restrictions areawide back in 2002.

The biggest issue for agriculture this spring has been the record temperature swing. While spring record warmth is arriving earlier these days, the last freeze date has held more steady. This has resulted in the big local crop losses. 

 

Believe a lot of apple orchards in Sussex county and ny got hit hard too. 

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3 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Looks like the bleak long range forecast of clouds cool and showers has evaporated

Mild actually this week with clouds but rainfall cut way back and sure a cool weekend coming up but 70s aplenty with a nice spring week to follow

Yeah big changes last couple days.  We need the rain but even tonight's has been chopped back to .25-.50

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4 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

Looks like the bleak long range forecast of clouds cool and showers has evaporated

Mild actually this week with clouds but rainfall cut way back and sure a cool weekend coming up but 70s aplenty with a nice spring week to follow

It's May in the CC era, it doesn't take much to get above normal. 

The pattern is more about keeping the 90+ heat away than enforcing a cool pattern 

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It will be rainy tonight into tomorrow morning. A general 0.50"-1.00" rainfall appears likely. Following the rainfall, temperatures will top out in the lower to perhaps middle 60s through Saturday. 

May will likely open with cooler than normal conditions. Sunday could be especially cool with highs only in the upper 50s despite partly sunny skies.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.7°C for the week centered around April 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.27°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer.

The SOI was -5.41 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.224 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.2° (1.5° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 91 (1974)
NYC: 89 (1974)
LGA: 88 (2017)
JFk: 85 (2017)


Lows:

EWR: 35 (1947)
NYC: 32 (1874)
LGA: 39 (1977)
JFK: 36 (1968)

Historical:

 

1905 - The town of Taylor, in southeastern Texas, was deluged with 2.4 inches of rain in fifteen minutes. (The Weather Channel)

1910 - The temperature at Kansas City, MO, soared to 95 degrees to establish a record for the month of April. Four days earlier the afternoon high in Kansas City was 44 degrees, following a record cold morning low of 34 degrees. (The Weather Channel) (The Kansas City Weather Almanac)

1963 - A tornado, as much as 100 yards in width, touched down south of Shannon, MS. The tornado destroyed twenty-seven homes along its eighteen mile path, killing three persons. Asphalt was torn from Highway 45 and thrown hundreds of yards away. Little rain or snow accompanied the tornado, so it was visible for miles. (The Weather Channel)

1973 - The Mississippi River reached a crest of 43.4 feet, breaking the prevous record of 42 feet established in 1785. (David Ludlum)

1987 - A storm off the southeast coast of Massachusetts blanketed southern New England with heavy snow. Totals of three inches at Boston MA, 11 inches at Milton MA, and 17 inches at Worcester MA, were records for so late in the season. Princeton MA was buried under 25 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced large hail and high winds in central Texas. Baseball size hail was reported at Nixon, and wind gusts to 70 mph were reported at Cotulla. Heavy rain in Maine caused flooding along the Pemigewassett and Ammonoosuc Rivers. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Arkansas, Louisiana and eastern Texas, with more than 70 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Softball size hail was reported at Palestine TX. Hail as large as tennis balls caused ten million dollars damage around Pine Bluff AR. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - A storm system crossing northern New Mexico blanketed parts of the Rocky Mountain Region and the Northern High Plains with heavy snow, and produced blizzard conditions in central Montana. Much of southern Colorado was buried under one to three feet of snow. Pueblo tied an April record with 16.8 inches of snow in 24 hours. Strong canyon winds in New Mexico, enhanced by local showers, gusted to 65 mph at Albuquerque. Afternoon temperatures across the Great Plains Region ranged from the 20s in North Dakota to 107 degrees at Laredo TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

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This was the 8th warmest March 1st to April 29th for NYC at 50.8°.

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Warmest March 1 April 29
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1945-04-29 53.2 0
2 2012-04-29 52.8 0
3 2010-04-29 52.7 0
4 1921-04-29 52.1 0
5 2024-04-29 51.7 0
6 2016-04-29 51.0 0
7 2023-04-29 50.9 0
8 2026-04-29 50.8 0
9 2025-04-29 50.7 0
10 1985-04-29 50.2 0
11 1946-04-29 50.1 0
12 2021-04-29 50.0 0
- 2002-04-29 50.0 0
- 1977-04-29 50.0 0
13 1991-04-29 49.9 0
- 1903-04-29 49.9 0
14 1973-04-29 49.7 0
15 1979-04-29 49.5 0
16 1998-04-29 49.4 0
- 1986-04-29 49.4 0
- 1976-04-29 49.4 0
17 1910-04-29 49.2 0
18 2020-04-29 49.1 0
- 2006-04-29 49.1 0
- 1990-04-29 49.1 0
- 1987-04-29 49.1 0
19 1968-04-29 49.0 0
20 2000-04-29 48.9 0
- 1981-04-29 48.9 0
21 2022-04-29 48.8 0
22 2008-04-29 48.7 0
- 1938-04-29 48.7 0
- 1878-04-29 48.7 0
23 1963-04-29 48.5 0
24 2019-04-29 48.4 0
- 1913-04-29 48.4 0
25 2009-04-29 48.3 0
- 1995-04-29 48.3 0
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

This was the 8th warmest March 1st to April 29th for NYC at 50.8°.

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Warmest March 1 April 29
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1945-04-29 53.2 0
2 2012-04-29 52.8 0
3 2010-04-29 52.7 0
4 1921-04-29 52.1 0
5 2024-04-29 51.7 0
6 2016-04-29 51.0 0
7 2023-04-29 50.9 0
8 2026-04-29 50.8 0
9 2025-04-29 50.7 0
10 1985-04-29 50.2 0
11 1946-04-29 50.1 0
12 2021-04-29 50.0 0
- 2002-04-29 50.0 0
- 1977-04-29 50.0 0
13 1991-04-29 49.9 0
- 1903-04-29 49.9 0
14 1973-04-29 49.7 0
15 1979-04-29 49.5 0
16 1998-04-29 49.4 0
- 1986-04-29 49.4 0
- 1976-04-29 49.4 0
17 1910-04-29 49.2 0
18 2020-04-29 49.1 0
- 2006-04-29 49.1 0
- 1990-04-29 49.1 0
- 1987-04-29 49.1 0
19 1968-04-29 49.0 0
20 2000-04-29 48.9 0
- 1981-04-29 48.9 0
21 2022-04-29 48.8 0
22 2008-04-29 48.7 0
- 1938-04-29 48.7 0
- 1878-04-29 48.7 0
23 1963-04-29 48.5 0
24 2019-04-29 48.4 0
- 1913-04-29 48.4 0
25 2009-04-29 48.3 0
- 1995-04-29 48.3 0

How does this spring rank on LI?  Do you have stats for Farmingdale?

 

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58 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

How does this spring rank on LI?  Do you have stats for Farmingdale?

 

Farmingdale only starts in 1999 so several warmer rankings prior to that would be missing. Islip finished 12th warmest. The strong onshore flow kept LI cooler in the rankings than NYC.
 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2012-04-29 49.8 0
2 2010-04-29 49.0 0
3 2025-04-29 48.6 0
4 2024-04-29 47.9 0
5 1973-04-29 47.5 0
6 2023-04-29 47.3 0
- 2016-04-29 47.3 0
7 1991-04-29 47.1 0
8 2002-04-29 47.0 0
9 2021-04-29 46.4 0
- 1977-04-29 46.4 0
10 1976-04-29 46.3 0
11 1985-04-29 46.1 0
12 2026-04-29 46.0 0
- 2022-04-29 46.0 0
13 2020-04-29 45.8 0
- 1998-04-29 45.8 0
- 1995-04-29 45.8 0
14 2008-04-29 45.7 0
15 1999-04-29 45.6 0
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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Farmingdale only starts in 1999 so several warmer rankings prior to that would be missing. Islip finished 12th warmest. The strong onshore flow kept LI cooler in the rankings than NYC.
 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2012-04-29 49.8 0
2 2010-04-29 49.0 0
3 2025-04-29 48.6 0
4 2024-04-29 47.9 0
5 1973-04-29 47.5 0
6 2023-04-29 47.3 0
- 2016-04-29 47.3 0
7 1991-04-29 47.1 0
8 2002-04-29 47.0 0
9 2021-04-29 46.4 0
- 1977-04-29 46.4 0
10 1976-04-29 46.3 0
11 1985-04-29 46.1 0
12 2026-04-29 46.0 0
- 2022-04-29 46.0 0
13 2020-04-29 45.8 0
- 1998-04-29 45.8 0
- 1995-04-29 45.8 0
14 2008-04-29 45.7 0
15 1999-04-29 45.6 0

Thank you!

 

 

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April is finishing with a mean temperature of 55.0° (1.3° above normal/2.0° above the earlier 1981-2010 baseline).

May will open with cooler than normal conditions. A shower is possible on Saturday as cooler air moves into the region. Sunday could be especially cool with highs only in the upper 50s to near 60° despite partly sunny skies. It could turn more springlike early next week with readings reaching the lower 70s on Tuesday and Wednesday. However the first 7-10 days of May will likely see temperatures average below normal overall.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.7°C for the week centered around April 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.27°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer.

The SOI was -10.17 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.224 today. 

 

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Records:

Highs:

 

EWR: 91 (1942)
NYC: 91 (1942)
LGA: 89 (1942)
JFK: 81 (2007)


Lows:

EWR: 34 (1931)
NYC: 32 (1874)
LGA: 42 (20140
JFK: 40 (1975)


Historical:

 

1852 - A tornado, following the same track as the famous "Tri-state Tornado" of 1925, struck the town of New Harmony IND. Just sixteen persons were killed by the twister, due to the sparse settlement. The "Tri-state Tornado" killed 695 persons. (David Ludlum)

 

1888: 246 people died in the world's deadliest hailstorm in India. Hailstones were reportedly the size of baseballs. 1600 domesticated animals at Moradabad perished.

 

1924: A significant tornado outbreak occurred from Alabama to Virginia on the 29 through the 30th. 26 tornadoes were of F2 intensity or greater. A total of 111 people were killed, and over 1,100 injured. An estimated F4 tornado tore through Steedman and Horrell Hill, SC. This tornado killed 55 people.

1953 - A tornado 300 yards in width leveled homes on the north side of Warner-Robins GA, and barracks on the south side of the Warner-Robins Air Force Base. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in Idaho, Utah, Wyoming and Montana. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph in Lincoln, Mineral and Sanders counties. Twenty-three cities in the central and southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Memphis TN was the hot spot in the nation with a record high of 94 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A cold front produced high winds in the southwestern U.S. Winds gusting to 90 mph in southwestern Utah downed power lines, and damaged trees and outbuildings. The high winds also downed power lines in Nevada, completely knocking out power in the town of Henderson. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in central and eastern Texas. Hail three inches in diameter was reported at Cool, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Hillsboro. For the first time of record Oklahoma City went through the entire month of April without a single thunderstorm. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) (The Weather Channel)

1990 - Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in southern Virginia and the Carolinas, with tennis ball size hail reported southeast of Chesnee SC. Thunderstorms moving over the Chesapeake Bay flooded U.S. Highway 50 on Kent Island MD with several inches of water resulting in a seventeen-mile long traffic jam. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1994: Kaneohe Ranch, Oahu, Hawaii: It finally stops raining on the Kaneohe Ranch on the island of Oahu ending a streak of 247 consecutive days of rain which began 27 August 1993. (Ref. WxDoctor)

1996: All-time snow records fall around the Great Lakes in late snow: Cleveland, OH 101 inches, Marquette, MI 248.7 inches with a record 42 inches in April (Bob Ryan's 2000 Almanac)

1997: In the town of Fairview, IL several homes were damaged, with two people injured. In Middle Grove, the tornado destroyed two mobile homes and damaged 25 houses. The tornado then took an intermittent northeast path across Fulton, southeast Knox, western Peoria, and Stark Counties. Other tornadoes touched down in Macon, McLean, Adams, Hancock, and Montgomery Counties. Baseball sized hail fell at the Ballpark in Arlington, TX as the Texas Rangers played the Cleveland Indians. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2011: Chicago has its GLOOMIEST April ever! The frequent precipitation led to persistent cloud cover for much of April. According to Midway Airport observer Frank Wachowski`s monthly records of percentage of possible sunshine experienced was the cloudiest April on record with only 32 percent of possible sunshine. (Records since 1893). (Ref. NWS Chicago, IL Weather Forecast Office 333 West University Drive)

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