Winter 2026-2027 Speculation

[FXWX]

4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

If we get some sustained -AO periods, I think we'll have some good chances for big events....I'm def favoring a warm winter, but we know El Ninos can also be really schizophrenic....you could have obscene warmth for 3-4 weeks and then get pummeled for 2-3 weeks too (this happened in the '82-'83 winter). 

I think the best hope for big snow this winter will be to get into a super juiced Nino pattern while we have a favorable AO....and then you end up cleaning up for a 3 week period. 

Agree, and think there is decent multi modeling suggestions that we will see several periods when +PNA / - AO will work in tandem with a juiced up El Nino to present us with some big potential.  Wall to wall snow cover? NO! Above normal Temp? YES... But solid opportunities for disruptive snow periods.

[klw]

10 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

I have read (from semi-reliable sources) that the very high arctic...above 80N....has been freakishly cold this summer.

What's up with that?  Is it a super +AO?

Reading the Neven Sea Ice Board there has been a low entrenched over the pole most of the sun keeping warmth and sun at bay.

[MJO812]

11 hours ago, forkyfork said:

warm and rainy

Another screenshot