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March 2026 Mid-Long Range


stormtracker
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3 hours ago, stormtracker said:

Once you see the models with a 979 bomb off of Hatteras with a well below normal airmass mid March, you'll be right back.

Mid Morch snow is fun. 2014 was incredible. I got 8 inches of snow in mid Morch that year, in Dale City.

But this mid Morch Cleveland Park will get 20 inches from a rare mid-Morch blizzard that somehow manages to stall off the equivalent of the DC Benchmark and the TROWAL will pour torrential snow for 30 hours straight.

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Potential around St Patty's day. Pretty good h5 look esp for mid March. A lot would have to break in our favor, but probably the next(last?) chance.

1773770400-OfDfDKhUnZA.png

1773792000-cZe6nUaOADA.png

1773727200-ZSKCYzoMUgg.png

As advertised, the Pacific is quite favorable. WPO ridge, lower heights around the Aleutians, and a +PNA. That in combination with a Southward displaced TPV can bring enough cold southward. Just need a wave to ride along the boundary.

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13 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Has there ever been a snowstorm in mid-March with a +2std NAO? 

I know 1993 had +nao, but don't think it was a strong as +2

With a favorable  Pacific and the TPV in that position, I think a moderate storm is possible. +NAO or not this isnt likely a 1993 type deal- which I wouldn't want anyway as it sucked here.

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2 hours ago, Cobalt said:

The audacity of "Weather Decision Solutions" trying to plop their copyright onto an AI-Generated graphic is laughable. 

Really incredible AI map of the country there...

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2 hours ago, Interstate said:

Only really shows up like that on the GFS op. All the ensembles, Euro, GEM, show a toasty Saturday.   
 

This post aged poorly from the other long range thread. All hail the GFS. 
 


     
 


     
 
 

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GFS has DC at 73 at 1pm Saturday 

image.thumb.png.958d1945980a56a0393f915df3f52261.png

Euro and GEM even warmer. image.thumb.png.5b8f89fba768302c08ca5959fbdd0a02.pngimage.thumb.png.1a02c59fbe95b70406313dd1fc37fbe3.png

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