SnowenOutThere Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 19 minutes ago, TSG said: That's a great idea... I might do that too. You think the Afton Mtn overlook on 64 has enough elevation? Or need to be up in the park? I’m up in nova for break right now so I’ll be on the north side of Shenandoah. I need to take a better look this evening but I’ll @ you. Though honestly i plan to nowcast using https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-W_Virginia-truecolor-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined and for you the Charlottesville airport has ceiling height (though not ceiling top). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 49 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I’m up in nova for break right now so I’ll be on the north side of Shenandoah. I need to take a better look this evening but I’ll @ you. Though honestly i plan to nowcast using https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-W_Virginia-truecolor-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined and for you the Charlottesville airport has ceiling height (though not ceiling top). I'll be using that and the HRRR/NAM soundings to try and figure that out. This morning in Ablemarle the saturated layer looked to end around 950mb so I would think 2000ft is enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 16 hours ago, Interstate said: Welcome to Seattle Reason why I have no desire to live there. Or England for that matter. I just cannot do it anymore. Grew up in NW Ohio and left for a lot of reasons. One being a winter full of gray skies day after day. I think what really is bad is a lot of the time areas within 20-30 miles around here are under full sun. As the gloom seems to be all stuck over this area and Northern Loudoun County. It is 52 and cloudy with 91 percent humidity. So cold, damp and gray. I feel like I need to double up on my Vitamin D pills just to have a sunny disposition. ETA guess what just kind of came out… through the clouds but still will take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 4 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said: What sort of convection is it? Elevated I assume since the temp inversion near the surface Yes, completely elevated, but the forecast soundings do indicate some instability for parcels originating well above the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago CHO 79/55 at 3pm. Back down to 75 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Are those thunder showers out west? Or just heavy rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 5 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Pretty amazing short term forecast differences. 6z euro gets much of NoVA and southern MD into the low 70s this afternoon!! 12z 3k NAM is 15-20F colder! Reality was sort of a blend? Wedge wasn’t as strong as the NAM suggested, but euro was too aggressive eroding it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 20 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Reality was sort of a blend? Wedge wasn’t as strong as the NAM suggested, but euro was too aggressive eroding it. 54F at my house right now. Cloudy and in the wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 28 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: Are those thunder showers out west? Or just heavy rain? There are lightning strikes to our west, and there is good agreement in guidance for convection this evening into the overnight for at least the northern half of the region. Forecast soundings suggest enough instability for a continued threat of thunder. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 52 and dreary. Looking forward to next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago A couple days ago, it looked like tomorrow was gonna be low 70s. Now looking at 50 and dreary 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago First shower slid just east, second split apart just west and went completely around us. Drizzle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Dreary and muggy out in the mountains. We've received 1.56" of precip the last few days and the line that just moved through had an early summer feel...large rain drops, super humid and distant rumbles of thunder. You know, late winter kinda stuff lol. My poor hubby is working the second shift at Wisp. He said there's been one guy he's seen since about 4 PM. Talk about a diehard out there - I love winter but skiing in a thunderstorm sucks. Feels kinda like the week after Christmas...time to wrap things up for the season, put away the lights and take the skis to the basement. We might get a surprise in a week, but the writing is obviously on the wall. But, in just 6 months, we'll be starting football and pumpkin spice season anew! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Under a decent bit of rain. Just told the kid up in PA she may get some noise with that little line coming at her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Had some heavy rain in the last hour. Now getting thunder and lightning with the next batch about to move in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago the first batch brought a little thunder and lighting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago First time of the season hearing spring peepers in the yard. So I guess that's something. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago T-storm! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 41 minutes ago, IronTy said: First time of the season hearing spring peepers in the yard. So I guess that's something. They are very loud tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago First thunder and lightning of the year. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Wow this line is electric. Two close strikes, thunder shook the whole house. I am in an interior TH so takes a lot to shake the house. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago that line wasn't as impressive in the flesh as it looked on radar. but it had some deep thunder rolls and 15 minutes of good rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 56 minutes ago, Mrs.J said: First thunder and lightning of the year. Nice! So ready for spring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3k backed off on the wedge Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The t-storm dropped about .6". Lots of lightning. Good downpour. That was summer-level. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago So looking at my rainfall data so far. Event, so rain from that line is 0.69” Day is at 0.71” Week 1.25”. and so far for the month is 3.69”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 18 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: The t-storm dropped about .6". Lots of lightning. Good downpour. That was summer-level. You're welcome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 33 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: The t-storm dropped about .6". Lots of lightning. Good downpour. That was summer-level. Impossible. It precipitated in the desert? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago At the national harbor for a 2 day work thing. Raining here but haven’t heard thunder. Of course I’d miss Frederick’s first thunder of the year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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