2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion

[SnowenOutThere]

Could tomorrow be a possible severe weather day?

We have strong low level lapse rates, good CAPE and some turning of winds with height - though next to no increase with height. Seems like some sort of thunderstorms should be likely along anything that could trigger forcing. 

[yoda]

Maybe?  Afternoon day 2 SPC disco

.Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic...
   Along/south of a stalled surface front, ample diurnal heating amid 
   upper 50s/lower 60s dewpoints and limited inhibition should promote
   widely scattered thunderstorms from the middle OH Valley into the
   Mid-Atlantic during the day. While midlevel flow will be modest, a
   subtle speed max glancing the area should contribute to around 25-30
   kt of effective shear. This should promote a couple loosely
   organized clusters capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
   isolated, marginally severe hail. A relatively higher corridor of
   severe potential is possible over northern VA and vicinity, though
   confidence in storm coverage and overall intensity was too low to
   upgrade at this time.

[yoda]

SLGT risk for the region on 13z OTLK from SPC... 0/5/15

[SnowenOutThere]

Severe warned storms down around Roanoke. Seems more active than forecasted so far. 

[jmk]

Heavy storm in Gainesville. Heavy rain and pea sized hail. Lots of lightning as well

[Bob Chill]

Second tstorm of the day for my yard. Nothing severe but some good gusts with the first one. One right now is pretty noisy but looks like the severe stuff will stay to my NW. Enjoying the booms and rumbles either way 

[MDSnow93]

Heard a couple nice rumbles of thunder in Germantown. Light showers, but the drops look massive

[clueless]

Some thunder but pouring here - just west of IAD in Sterling.