Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[Maestrobjwa]

Well that just raised an eyebrow!

[Jake Wx]

3k nam working in heavier snow 

[ravensrule]

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

You would not like it, I just lay there.

Please don’t talk dirty to virgins. 

[jayyy]

The NAM just triple phased this bad boy and stalled it

[Paleocene]

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

At 30 LP stalled at 978 of Delmarva 

kuchera doesn't look as pretty as this, but where do I sign lol? still a lot to come especially for the east.

[Solution Man]

Still light to moderate snow at 33 and LP moving to north

[mitchnick]

Just now, jayyy said:

The NAM just triple phased this bad boy and stalled it

It loves sludge, with Jersey sludge being the tastiest. 

[Scraff]

Just now, Solution Man said:

Watch your language

“Triple Phaser” How dare he! “Mother fucking”—oh that’s fine though. The 14 year old has earned his place on our wall of fame. Bitchin Nachos! You do you.

[Wxtrix]

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 3K NAM 10pm.

 

the Norlun trough out here is on all those maps so how is it drier to the west?

[T. August]

3k is kind of dry but I feel like it does this 24 hours out

[Solution Man]

Still holding on to light snow for the region at 36

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Backside bands still rolling through at 7am on NAM, I like this run!!!

[bncho]

10 minutes ago, bncho said:

It's not as good for the western folks though. Terpeast and SnowenOutThere mentioned this as a risk if the alberta vort phased... much stronger CCB but less western precip as the low is so wound up

@Wxtrix

[Solution Man]

Still light to moderate snow at 39 as she continues to bomb out to the north at 970

[IUsedToHateCold]

10 minutes ago, bncho said:

You know why this happened? The Alberta vort phased! It's a mother fucking TRIPLE PHASER

This thing is a true HECS....

[Maestrobjwa]

5 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

kuchera doesn't look as pretty as this, but where do I sign lol? still a lot to come especially for the east.

Would take this in a MILLISECOND

[IronTy]

14 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

I am posting this for posterity because it is HILARIOUS

 

NAM has ingested i-95 emissions and they create SNOW

Triple phaser plus all the extra lift imparted by the I95 exhaust emissions. 

[Wxtrix]

3 minutes ago, bncho said:

@Wxtrix

except that’s not what those maps show.

[MillvilleWx]

6 minutes ago, T. August said:

3k is kind of dry but I feel like it does this 24 hours out

Not so sure about that my man. Here’s through 38 hrs….

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

Not so sure about that my man. Here’s through 38 hrs….

Ya I’m going to ask for at least a 25 mile push west. 

[Paleocene]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

Not so sure about that my man. Here’s through 38 hrs….

 

Even the "dry" 3k drops close to 3" QPF on parts of central Jersey.  12k has those 4" totals again. Jeeby weebies.

[Solution Man]

Clearly a Raleigh’d zone here, no need to mention 

[T. August]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

Not so sure about that my man. Here’s through 38 hrs….

Yeah I spoke a little too soon, it seemed it slowed down by a few frames this run. End result pretty close to 18z.

[wasnow215]

23 minutes ago, jayyy said:

No. Because the 12k is trash.

Actually this is about the only time it is good and it was good for the suppressed storm that hit North Carolina also at this range

[Maestrobjwa]

3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Not so sure about that my man. Here’s through 38 hrs….

I was gonna say...I think that's the best QPF it's shown so far!

[Paleocene]

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

Clearly a Raleigh’d zone here, no need to mention 

Deathbands are coming west, Prince William is gonna get 1.0" QPF too. Godspeed. I'm off to bed believing this high note. Nearly time to nowcast anyway. Sweet dreams weenies

[ravensrule]

Just now, Paleocene said:

Deathbands are coming west, Prince William is gonna get 1.0" QPF too. Godspeed. I'm off to bed believing this high note. Nearly time to nowcast anyway. Sweet dreams weenies

Going to sleep?. Have you relocated to a nursing home?. 

[Weather Will]

0Z 3K NAM was a drier run for the western burbs compared to 18Z. I see no sign of the IVT east of the mountains this run.  Reality is setting in that this is a major storm for the eastern DC burbs and the shore. I will be happy with 3-5 inches of snow blowing around in 40 mph gusts Monday am. Maybe I will get a miracle burst from the IVT to jack my totals but not counting on it.

[LeesburgWx]

Radar is really blossoming out west in Kentucky and West VA way more than models initially showing. Almost go time

[MillvilleWx]

If you take 80% of Kuchera, this is a bonafide MECS for areas east of I-95 and a SECS for those west except northeastern MD. HECS for Delaware and points northeast. Absolutely insane consistency right now on these mega outputs.