dryslot Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago We will have tonight if we can't get Monday far enough to the west, Still like 3-5". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I’m taking the under on this one. It’s evolved from the 6” type scenario with good coastal transfer, and mostly a SWFE with weak players all around - surface high, primary, secondary are all weak… It’s also a much more progressive scenario — short duration. Ratios look 10:1 at best also. I’m going 3” here and calling it a day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago looking at maybe an inch here and maybe a glaze to boot, meh, I'd sacrifice today for a better Monday outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Radar looking like it starts around 1pm here Earlier than progged start times do happen with these but jeeze… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The best rates look at onset and some of the short term guidance is flagging a loss to rain or white rain before transition to accumulating snow. Another reason to hedge against the 5”+ amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Glad I went lean for CT probably would go down further but not gonna bother for that sliver in N CT Maybe 1 or 2 tonight and another 1 in morning? I think we might have a lot of sleet too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe 1 or 2 tonight and another 1 in morning? I think we might have a lot of sleet too. ill be lucky if i see a few flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 39 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: ill be lucky if i see a few flakes Wouldn’t be shocked if its mostly pellets and a few drops here too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe 1 or 2 tonight and another 1 in morning? I think we might have a lot of sleet too. My area can be sneaky for sleet. Kind of looks like that sort of setup somewhere around the MA/CT border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This could end up pretty flaccid for anybody under 1000’ elevation. Hoping for 2” here, but not holding my breath. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, dryslot said: We will have tonight if we can't get Monday far enough to the west, Still like 3-5". https://youtu.be/iKlD0fOg-sc?si=nGKgj9nXTig6ogHB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Dendy mentioned it yesterday, but the biggest issue I see for the MA/NH border region is the dgz dries out pretty fast after the initial thump. It does stay saturated 700 and below, but well see if thats crappy flakes or fzdz for a while before the upper levels moisten up again. Thinking 3-5" here south of MHT. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I just be leery of the pivot point tho. This thing's going to move east but as it on whole crosses ~75 W longitude, it starts pivoting cyclonically... that's not a "stall" per se, but it does lengthen the time that a would-be moderate, albeit narrow band of production is caused to momentarily situate closer to the axis of rotation... probably southern VT/NH, then slides south while fading kind of thing. The sounding stuff is valid, but I see that drying aspect as being gradate steeply S of that W east oriented band. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I just be leery of the pivot point tho. This thing's going to move east but as it on whole crosses ~75 W longitude, it starts pivoting cyclonically... that's not a "stall" per se, but it does lengthen the time that a would-be moderate, albeit narrow band of production is caused to momentarily situate closer to the axis of rotation... probably southern VT/NH, then slides south while fading kind of thing. The sounding stuff is valid, but I see that drying aspect as being gradate steeply S of that W east oriented band. Yeah I see what your saying. Nams are both pretty solid, uptick in qpf on both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago NAM is close to.all snow here.. wouldn't mind a bit of mixing though to get some more meat into the pack.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe 1 or 2 tonight and another 1 in morning? I think we might have a lot of sleet too. That seems pretty bold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Need that SE flow at 850 to slacken some. Models trying to put me in a screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 100% rain here a few sleet pellets mixed in 34 degrees.. sacrificing this storm being warm to get Sunday night better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: NAM is close to.all snow here.. wouldn't mind a bit of mixing though to get some more meat into the pack.. I call bullshit. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago DXR started as snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: DXR started as snow No way. They are at least sleet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No way. They are at least sleet now. I looked at their 9 AM ob it said light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I looked at their 9 AM ob it said light snow Maybe a mix but no way all snow. Sometimes those ASOS stations can mistake ptype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No way. They are at least sleet now. 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I looked at their 9 AM ob it said light snow They're rain now, but did have a period of light snow reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: They're rain now, but did have a period of light snow reported. CC was dirty over them so I’m assuming some mix at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Looks like vis got down to 1 and a quarter briefly so they might have been mostly snow for a brief time or at least a lot of large aggies mixed in to drop the vis....but it was like 10 minutes of vis under 2 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago Massive Sleet Fest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago Won’t be more than an hour of snow here before sleet . Maybe get an inch of sleet before zr ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago Winter storm warning here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago This could end up pretty flaccid for anybody under 1000’ elevation. Hoping for 2” here, but not holding my breath.Yep, another system that looks good on paper but me and you get hosed by elevation Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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