Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,618
    Total Members
    14,841
    Most Online
    BroadWing3544
    Newest Member
    BroadWing3544
    Joined

“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco


TheSnowman
 Share

Recommended Posts

What an unmitigated, lights-out, absolute coup for the GFS / AI-GFS.
I can't remember another case where the stakes were this big, the camps were initially so stubbornly dissimilar, the GFS was on its own... and the GFS schooled everyone.
Assuming the big hit verifies, but I have zero doubt it will.
19z NBM (48h ending 7pm Monday):
NBM_Feb_20_19z.jpg.4f933289370de4dadc378175c0010848.jpg
That CTRV snow shadow goddamn...

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

  • yes 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, MuddyWx said:

BOX can't meh much longer

I have been surprised at how much BOX has been pooh-poohing this, and a lot of other media, too. Rather than communicating uncertainty, they're doing the "no big impact but it could come north maybe." Even at their 1834Z AFD was "it's just going to hit the Cape and South Coast nbd." They must be furiously typing out the next AFD now, I hope?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Like I said earlier, if you are pre planning for east ticks, prob want to be east of ORH for best stuff 
Problem is where I am in the valley I am either too far north, too far south, or (in the last few cases) get skunked by virga and dry air and lose moisture to moisten the column

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, dryslot said:

It’s possible, At some point it has to end, There’s only so much room it can go.

I know this is a miss or 1-3 inch max for up here, but just hoping the GFS is more right about later next week and not that ugly Euro I saw. School vacation week has literally wore the snow off the trails, we need 6 inches bad, but probably realistically a foot to start battling the March sun

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Fozz said:

If the Cape manages to remain snow, it’s going to be a brutal blizzard there.

I imagine those spots there are currently in a watch are going straight to Blizzard warnings.

Could be a top 5er on the Cape when you include the wind potential too. If they get 18”+ with hurricane force wind gusts…not too many can match that. 
 

Jan ‘05 of course…Feb 1952…Jan 2015…then maybe Feb ‘87. Not sure ‘87 and ‘15 had the winds quite as strong but the snow was epic and it’s not like it was a gentle breeze either. 

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, ariof said:

I have been surprised at how much BOX has been pooh-poohing this, and a lot of other media, too. Rather than communicating uncertainty, they're doing the "no big impact but it could come north maybe." Even at their 1834Z AFD was "it's just going to hit the Cape and South Coast nbd." They must be furiously typing out the next AFD now, I hope?

Unfortunately there's been a general downward trend in the quality of AFD's.  I think it's a combination of a lot of younger talent at BOX and organizational changes from above.  In the past when a warning level storm was brewing, AFD's would come out more often as data rolled in.  Now they only follow the schedule of 3 or 4 per day and sometimes the changes are very minor.  It's sad, IMO, they used to be great reads in most cases, and very educational.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, bristolri_wx said:

Unfortunately there's been a general downward trend in the quality of AFD's.  I think it's a combination of a lot of younger talent at BOX and organizational changes from above.  In the past when a warning level storm was brewing, AFD's would come out more often as data rolled in.  Now they only follow the schedule of 3 or 4 per day and sometimes the changes are very minor.  It's sad, IMO, they used to be great reads in most cases, and very educational.

I blame the administration in DC.

  • Like 2
  • Crap 1
  • Disagree 1
  • 100% 5
  • omg 1
  • clap 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, ariof said:

I have been surprised at how much BOX has been pooh-poohing this, and a lot of other media, too. Rather than communicating uncertainty, they're doing the "no big impact but it could come north maybe." Even at their 1834Z AFD was "it's just going to hit the Cape and South Coast nbd." They must be furiously typing out the next AFD now, I hope?

Earlier today I mentioned that BOX seemed to be completely ignoring the GFS...

  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...