CCHurricane Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Nuke for the Cape...widespread 8-12 for most of SE New England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, CoastalWx said: Cape is oblitterated. I'll take my deform band. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago And why did some folks give up on this yesterday and this morning ? Riddle me that 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, CT Rain said: I'll take my deform band. LOL wtf did it do in the Delmarva? 70" for the blue crabs? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just need a Canadian curling push to the NW about 50 miles 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, Damage In Tolland said: And why did some folks give up on this yesterday and this morning ? Diddle me now Um what? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, SouthCoastMA said: Play the Rocky IV fight song before euro and euro ai? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, CoastalWx said: Um what? You and they know who they are 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago This is where the old Dr No would come in and end the party in 90 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Strong run-to-run consistency out of Canada. 25mb change...barely perceptible... Looks the same. On a serious note, with complex phasing/capturing storms it's probably not that unusual to see changes at this timeframe since the most subtle changes earlier in the forecast period can have massive ramifications on the downstream forecast. This is a workable setup, and on top of the phasing/timing we'd want to see the ridge axis a hair further west and the closed H5 a little north than currently depicted. Along the same lines, a more northerly trajectory along the coast instead of it heading ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12z ICON seems significantly less progressive than 00z. yeah... I was mentioning to Scott earlier, I don't believe the problems haunting this Monday event are fundamentally fast flow related. As I put it earlier ( heh, I like this sentence ...), "there something else guiding this system's demise" - sounds haunting, huh. haha. No but seriously, I think this may be a bona fide complexity issue in having so much to iron out in a bag of ass trough in the west. Otherwise, I don't ( personally) see where the other sensitivities could be lurking that are fucking around with this thing. It is entirely possible that a bag of asses gets ejected E and it ends up under performing in a s/w fight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Need to get the confluence over canada to lift out a bit sooner and a bit more ridging out ahead of this system on approach would get us a decent event. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago It won’t take much to move it another 50 miles… 1 16 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago CMC!!! shes back!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago UKIE a beast but mostly OTS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Mm.. the GFS is hugely trended guys - that should be the take away. I realize the dose spilled before it got in the syringe on this run ... get over it. Seriously, needless ( or should be ...) to remind that at 120 hours away, heh. I think until we are safely, technologically unlimited to where 2010 Boxing Day type corrections can't happen anymore, 120 hours is an eternity. Plenty of model runs to fumble around and either fuck this up or bring it back. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL wtf did it do in the Delmarva? 70" for the blue crabs? 70" plus 90 mph winds that would be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 70" plus 90 mph winds that would be fun Eff would I give to see sub 970 near the BM. It can deform the teets off CT for all I care, that would be incredible. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 29 minutes ago, CCHurricane said: Nuke for the Cape...widespread 8-12 for most of SE New England. One more time on the fringe? Or like today with breezy blue sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Eff would I give to see sub 970 near the BM. It can deform the teets off CT for all I care, that would be incredible. Ya I was thinking just to see a bomb at the BM would be a massive win for us - after all this talk about it not being possible anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago GEFS mean is ~50-100 mile improvement. If the ECMWF + EPS look better at 12z, I'll feel more enthusiastic about this event.nt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago As modeled is this storm as intense as the blizzard we missed over a week ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago this feels to me like one that is going to keep trending for most of us. dunno why, maybe because so many runs a few days ago had big solutions, crawlers along the NE coast. This could really start to get a lot better over the next 2-3 cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 36 minutes ago, CCHurricane said: Nuke for the Cape...widespread 8-12 for most of SE New England. that's a lot of QPF from the Delmarva ots, damn... I'll take a half inch of QPF as snow tho and not complain vs a whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: this feels to me like one that is going to keep trending for most of us. dunno why, maybe because so many runs a few days ago had big solutions, crawlers along the NE coast. This could really start to get a lot better over the next 2-3 cycles. I have a good feeling about this one.. Small favorable shifts at 500mb can take this from a glancing blow to a major blizzard .. We shall see, I've gotten played many times before.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I have a good feeling about this one.. Small favorable shifts at 500mb can take this from a glancing blow to a major blizzard .. We shall see, I've gotten played many times before.. Waiting for euro suite to rip off weenie. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Waiting for euro suite to rip off weenie. Curious if we'll see a Dong of Destiny or if the Bag of Asses will prevail. Just trying to leverage some of my new-found meteorological jargon I've picked up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I have a good feeling about this one.. Small favorable shifts at 500mb can take this from a glancing blow to a major blizzard .. We shall see, I've gotten played many times before.. i’ll be shocked if this turns back into a sne blizzard. I’ve thought from the get go this should be plowable but not memorable. It will feel great to be wrong though… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Waiting for euro suite to rip off weenie. According to some on here, It doesn't matter anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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