SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 18z Summary Total QPF NYC / Snow 10:1 NYC SREF: 2.1 / 19.6 NAM: 2.8 / 27.6 NAM 3K: 2.2 / 21.6 ICON: 1.3 / 12.9 Updated with ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, weatherpruf said: it ain't just the weather, hombre... For real, it makes you really question how most of these folks live like sheep believing everything, but the real data and the facts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 ICON west but amts about the same for the rest of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Rgem jackpots 95 and eastern LI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 18z RGEM Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 V Snow 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 14 minutes ago, Nibor said: Can someone enlighten me quickly on what the darker orange spots are here ? Its stronger bands correct ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 18z Summary Total QPF NYC / Snow 10:1 NYC SREF: 2.1 / 19.6 NAM: 2.8 / 27.6 NAM 3K: 2.2 / 21.6 ICON: 1.3 / 12.9 RGEM: 1.1 / 11 Updated with RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 15 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: Because its more in line with majority of models not the 2-3 ft gfs and nam The 3k nam is still 2 feet in some places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Aircraft recon scheduled for today for ingestion into the 00Z model suite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Rgem jackpots 95 and eastern LI For whatever reason the RGEM has been stubborn with this storm. I think it’s suffering from convective feedback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 8 minutes ago, North and West said: . Looks like our exact area is where the deathband in Northeastish NJ sets up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 18z RGEM Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 V Snow 10:1 RGEM is being stubborn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Snowman92 said: Can someone enlighten me quickly on what the darker orange spots are here ? Its stronger bands correct ? You’re looking at the jet stream and pieces of energy traveling a long it in the mid levels of the atmosphere. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: For whatever reason the RGEM has been stubborn with this storm. I think it’s suffering from convective feedback. The RGEM is usually too dry in these big storm scenarios, same with most of the globals. They don't generally pick up on the dynamics and banding as well as the short range, hi-res models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: just soak it in What is that second piece of energy over the Mississippi River doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 RGEM a bit worrisome! Only like a 10-16 type event area wide haha. 1 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: RGEM is being stubborn RGEM, UKMET and others are also quicker than NAm/GFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, deathstar9 said: RGEM a bit worrisome! Only like a 10-15 type event area wide haha. Feedback issues.... We toss! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, deathstar9 said: RGEM a bit worrisome! Only like a 10-15 type event area wide haha. It’s normally to dry in event like this like previously stated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Also with marginal temps and higher sun angle would prefer not to waste much qpf prior to 3-4pm! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Prue11 said: It’s normally to dry in event like this like previously stated Also globals are used in more for the mid and long range not short range like where we are now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Also with marginal temps and higher sun angle would prefer not to waste much qpf prior to 3-4pm!We need to be concerned about moon angles overnight Sunday . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 hours ago, weatherpruf said: i heard people this morning saying they were all sick of the snow already....it's only snowed a handful of times! i heard an official from nyc saying it too, we are all tired of the snow.....that's what happens when it doesn't melt i guess. here in nj people complain about the snow anytime, no matter how little we get, its too much for them......they all want to wake up in san diego. People in New Jersey complain if you sneeze to loud or cough.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Question I’ll pose, albeit may be too early: does this have some hallmarks of the granddaddies of the past, some that some of us have been alive for, some that we’ve only heard about?My initial thoughts:March 1888February 1978January 1996Of course there are others, but those three are some inner-circle, first ballot HoFers.Thanks. I’ll hang up and listen.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, North and West said: Question I’ll pose, albeit may be too early: does this have some hallmarks of the granddaddies of the past, some that some of us have been alive for, some that we’ve only heard about? My initial thoughts: March 1888 February 1978 January 1996 Of course there are others, but those three are some inner-circle, first ballot HoFers. Thanks. I’ll hang up and listen. . A sub 980 low on or close to the benchmark in mid-late February in NYC always delivers. Once we're talking about 18-24 inch snowstorms, 1888, 1978, 2006, 2016... they're all in the conversation. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 37 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Dear GFS, We owe you an apology. When you first showed this blizzard days ago, we laughed, doubted you, and even called you “Goofus.” Turns out… you saw it coming before the rest of us. The snow is piling up, and you were right. Respectfully, A very humbled crew Dear GFS, You still suck. You owed us one...or a hundred. Disrespectfully, The Wx Community 6 11 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 21 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Updated with ICON kudos to you for these updates. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said: People in New Jersey complain if you sneeze to loud or cough.... its a tough crowd, but philly is tougher... i mean they threw snowballs at santa claus..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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