SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 hours ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 18z Summary Total QPF NYC / Snow 10:1 NYC SREF: 2.1 / 19.6 NAM: 2.8 / 27.6 NAM 3K: 2.2 / 21.6 ICON: 1.3 / 12.9 RGEM: 1.1 / 11 GFS: 1.7 / 17.1 GFS AI AIGFS: 1.3 / 12.7 UKMET: 1.7 . 15.2 Updated UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 18 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Switching to mesos soon. That's where the real intricacies will lie. An explosive storm like this will want to tuck further west. Nam might be closer than we think Is the ridge in the west where we would want it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 when do they send that alert that makes all the phones start blasting with a loud sound? Havent got one yet. Not officially a blizzard until I get that alert. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Couldn't get much work done today due to the storm lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, David-LI said: when do they send that alert that makes all the phones start blasting with a loud sound? Havent got one yet. Not officially a blizzard until I get that alert. The Blizzard Warning goes into effect at 1 pm tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 22 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Switching to mesos soon. That's where the real intricacies will lie. An explosive storm like this will want to tuck further west. Nam might be closer than we think Why do you think the EURO is so far off-base? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 27 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: Not going to get dry snow with temps in mid 30s More like 30-32 at the height of storm but still yes more wet than dry if think although upper levels very cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 21 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 GFS AI AIGFS Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 Snow 10:1 Do you have the snow map for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 25 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Lee Goldberg Honestly this is the best forecast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Instructor at work canceled classes for Monday. Snow day for me! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 9 minutes ago, TriPol said: I think what's at issue here is A: How much precip falls B: How much of that preceip is frozen I've seen anywhere from 1 inch to 3.5 inches of precip over NYC. May lose an inch or two during daytime. After dark it’s game on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Prue11 said: May lose an inch or two during daytime. After dark it’s game on he talking about total precip not a inch or 2 of snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: Honestly this is the best forecast. really cant go wrong with that...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Updated UKMETI'd like to point out there's about .8 qpf diff between nyc and 15 miles south and it doesn't like a southern adjustment, just some randomness from this run. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Pix 11 forecast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Do you have the snow map for thisX10. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 18z UKMET Total QPF 2/22-2/23-24 Snow 1:1This is a tremendous cave to the GFS. To those saying they needed non-US models on board. Here you go... and it's possibly underdone based on Ukies bias. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Wheres Lonnie Quinn these days? hes gotta be all jacked up with his sleeves rolled up somewhere! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 How accurate is the HDRPS?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, Jt17 said: This is a tremendous cave to the GFS. To those saying they needed non-US models on board. Here you go... and it's possibly underdone based on Ukies bias. . Wow. Love to see UKMET on board. Going out for the night and hoping I don’t come back to any major swings lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 my point and click!!!! holy.... Sunday Snow, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 3pm. High near 37. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 31. Windy, with a north wind 20 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Monday Snow, mainly before 1pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow between 9am and noon. High near 35. Windy, with a northwest wind 25 to 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Start time down in Ocean City NJ? 10am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, Blizzardo said: Wheres Lonnie Quinn these days? hes gotta be all jacked up with his sleeves rolled up somewhere! we have a professional weather met craig allen doing the weekend weather on wcbs 2. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, Mail Man said: How accurate is the HDRPS?? Wouldn't give it weight for another 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 HECS 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GEFS slightly snowier at 18z over 12z lol . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Does the NWS afd now not do coastal flooding details? They used to do tides section near hydrology stufg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 mirrors 1978 blizzard 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: mirrors 1978 blizzard High is almost identical at 1046-48, Low should be stronger at 984 vs 968-70 for this one! 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boxingdayblizzard Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just want to say…it’s been a pleasure tracking this one with all of you. Tracking (and NAM’ing) is one of my favorite parts of the storm experience. When we’re all shoveling and annoyingly digging out, I’ll remember the fun of the tracking! 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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