deathstar9 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 RGEM a bit worrisome! Only like a 10-16 type event area wide haha. 1 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: RGEM is being stubborn RGEM, UKMET and others are also quicker than NAm/GFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, deathstar9 said: RGEM a bit worrisome! Only like a 10-15 type event area wide haha. Feedback issues.... We toss! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, deathstar9 said: RGEM a bit worrisome! Only like a 10-15 type event area wide haha. It’s normally to dry in event like this like previously stated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Also with marginal temps and higher sun angle would prefer not to waste much qpf prior to 3-4pm! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Prue11 said: It’s normally to dry in event like this like previously stated Also globals are used in more for the mid and long range not short range like where we are now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Also with marginal temps and higher sun angle would prefer not to waste much qpf prior to 3-4pm!We need to be concerned about moon angles overnight Sunday . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 hours ago, weatherpruf said: i heard people this morning saying they were all sick of the snow already....it's only snowed a handful of times! i heard an official from nyc saying it too, we are all tired of the snow.....that's what happens when it doesn't melt i guess. here in nj people complain about the snow anytime, no matter how little we get, its too much for them......they all want to wake up in san diego. People in New Jersey complain if you sneeze to loud or cough.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Question I’ll pose, albeit may be too early: does this have some hallmarks of the granddaddies of the past, some that some of us have been alive for, some that we’ve only heard about?My initial thoughts:March 1888February 1978January 1996Of course there are others, but those three are some inner-circle, first ballot HoFers.Thanks. I’ll hang up and listen.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, North and West said: Question I’ll pose, albeit may be too early: does this have some hallmarks of the granddaddies of the past, some that some of us have been alive for, some that we’ve only heard about? My initial thoughts: March 1888 February 1978 January 1996 Of course there are others, but those three are some inner-circle, first ballot HoFers. Thanks. I’ll hang up and listen. . A sub 980 low on or close to the benchmark in mid-late February in NYC always delivers. Once we're talking about 18-24 inch snowstorms, 1888, 1978, 2006, 2016... they're all in the conversation. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 37 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Dear GFS, We owe you an apology. When you first showed this blizzard days ago, we laughed, doubted you, and even called you “Goofus.” Turns out… you saw it coming before the rest of us. The snow is piling up, and you were right. Respectfully, A very humbled crew Dear GFS, You still suck. You owed us one...or a hundred. Disrespectfully, The Wx Community 6 11 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 21 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Updated with ICON kudos to you for these updates. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said: People in New Jersey complain if you sneeze to loud or cough.... its a tough crowd, but philly is tougher... i mean they threw snowballs at santa claus..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasperk99 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 So what can go wrong with this storm for the tristate from a meteorological point of view. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, jasperk99 said: So what can go wrong with this storm for the tristate from a meteorological point of view . Curious as well. Any Mets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 https://dtwxrisk.medium.com/first-call-snow-map-blizzard-possible-for-nyc-long-island-southeast-25-of-new-england-06741b0b8185 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, jasperk99 said: So what can go wrong with this storm for the tristate from a meteorological point of view . one thing-if you end up near a band but not in it-you can get skunked from subsidence around the band. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Y'all are gonna get walloped. Enjoy! Make a snowman.. or 19 of them. 5 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T5403CG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 So what can go wrong with this storm for the tristate from a meteorological point of view.Phases later than depicted... pushes heavy snows east...That is the only thing I would be worried about ..At this point nothing like that is being depicted... but that could change... although not likely... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Y'all are gonna get walloped. Enjoy! Make a snowman.. or 19 of them. To his credit he did say this was either out to sea or a big storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Y'all are gonna get walloped. Enjoy! Make a snowman.. or 19 of them. He’s been quiet . Still fantasizing about the La Niña. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 10 minutes ago, North and West said: Question I’ll pose, albeit may be too early: does this have some hallmarks of the granddaddies of the past, some that some of us have been alive for, some that we’ve only heard about? My initial thoughts: March 1888 February 1978 January 1996 Of course there are others, but those three are some inner-circle, first ballot HoFers. Thanks. I’ll hang up and listen. . Feb 1983 for me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: one thing-if you end up near a band but not in it-you can get skunked from subsidence around the band. that and also like a 12/09 or 2/2013 where it ends up sneaking more east than expected, even if its 30-40 miles that could be difference of 8-9 inches vs 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKO36 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, winterwarlock said: Feb 1983 for me You guys are in luck. Let me tell you about what I saw with blizzard of '88... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Feb 1983 for meMy thought in posing this question is could this push into the question where normal people know about the storm just from mentioning it? Those three are the ones regular people know.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 WABC TV in NYC updated their amounts 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, Neblizzard said: He’s been quiet . Still fantasizing about the La Niña. The second this storm ends he'll be back in the La Nina thread. That or forecasting a Super El Nino next year. Book it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T5403CG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 one thing-if you end up near a band but not in it-you can get skunked from subsidence around the band.Yep, the Boxer Day storm for most of Long Island was an experience of looking at the radar and seeing the mega band over Jersey just sit and dump snow as we experienced light to moderate...24+ in those parts while we got 12-15"...Those are hard to sit through ...Sent from my motorola edge 2024 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, weathermedic said: WABC TV in NYC updated their amounts This is very safe and an accurate forecast. They should leave it alone and let it rock 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 16 minutes ago, North and West said: Question I’ll pose, albeit may be too early: does this have some hallmarks of the granddaddies of the past, some that some of us have been alive for, some that we’ve only heard about? My initial thoughts: March 1888 February 1978 January 1996 Of course there are others, but those three are some inner-circle, first ballot HoFers. Thanks. I’ll hang up and listen. . I don't think we'll know for sure until we're in it. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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