Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 12 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Hello? Anyone? In 3 days we lose this current polar-tilting ridge across Alaska (-EPO) to a Polar Vortex placement over northern Greenland and Alaska (+NAO/+EPO). That warms the CONUS pattern very quickly. A ridge starts building in the Mid Atlantic the last day of February and the GEFS has that persisting really through the 2nd week of March. Seasonal trend has been to cool the Northeast, US, so maybe the warm temps will be confined to the Southeast and Midwest, but it's not really a cold pattern that we need at this time of the year for snow.. Best case scenario is something like today again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 I'm ready for spring after this week of tracking 2 inches of snow. But of course I hope we have 1 more decent shot at a real storm. I will say, it's actually nice walking on legit snow instead of ice encased snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 19 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: In 3 days we lose this current polar-tilting ridge across Alaska (-EPO) to a Polar Vortex placement over northern Greenland and Alaska (+NAO/+EPO). That warms the CONUS pattern very quickly. A ridge starts building in the Mid Atlantic the last day of February and the GEFS has that persisting really through the 2nd week of March. Seasonal trend has been to cool the Northeast, US, so maybe the warm temps will be confined to the Southeast and Midwest, but it's not really a cold pattern that we need at this time of the year for snow.. Best case scenario is something like today again. In other words, check back in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Hello? Anyone? I think we’ve got a real shot or two in March whether we want them or not. Trackable, at least. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Lets track this then! Reel it home! Have a look at the ensembles. Where is Bncho or SnowinOutThere? I know Tracker is in Houston. Don't. Tell. Me. You. Are. Too. Tired. To. Track. If you think you are tired, you can sleep when you DIE. C'mon Guys, you gotta have the proper attitude! Attitude is 90 percent of Life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 I can’t do this shit again… lol 2 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 36 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: I can’t do this shit again… lol Only 90 hours out?! Any other model support? I’m too drained to go look myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: Only 90 hours out?! Any other model support? I’m too drained to go look myself It’s there on other models just in different positions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Gosh, please. Really seems like it could come down to overnight vs day passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Euro get me @psuhoffman and @mitchnick land 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Euro get me @psuhoffman and @mitchnick land Yeah this is y'all's. Completely ignoring this one, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 FWIW euro ai came south a bit but it’s faster than other guidance and it is during the day. May have worked out south of the M/D if it happened 6-12 hours later, and it is by a bit the fastest guidance right now it seems. edit: actually it’s about the same result, but marginally better look at 540. Just need some better timing and a little colder. Confidence in this is low here, screams something that will be for NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 10 minutes ago, baltosquid said: FWIW euro ai came south a bit but it’s faster than other guidance and it is during the day. May have worked out south of the M/D if it happened 6-12 hours later, and it is by a bit the fastest guidance right now it seems. edit: actually it’s about the same result, but marginally better look at 540. Just need some better timing and a little colder. Confidence in this is low here, screams something that will be for NW It’s an event where @psuhoffman has best luck and is why climo is higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 27 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: It’s an event where @psuhoffman has best luck and is why climo is higher If this was 30 years ago he would get 10” from this. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Give me what the gfs has on Thursday night and that gets me a respectable winter. Then it's March and bring on spring. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 If this was 30 years ago he would get 10” from this. That’s what she said 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 I can't do this shit again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Just bring on the torch at this point. A decade of failure has me salty as hell. 2 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Latest WB EURO weeklies indicate could be cold enough through first week of March to support wintry precipitation. Temps then go above normal second week of March. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Bring it on. It don't bother me a lick. No hysteria, no whining, no drama. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Ain’t happening in these parts, we’re cooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 NAM is a rainer on Thursday. for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: NAM is a rainer on Thursday. for all of us. Pretty poor performance for the NAM this weekend, tho no model did that great. RGEM was off by a foot for most people northeast of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Pretty poor performance for the NAM this weekend, tho no model did that great. RGEM was off by a foot for most people northeast of us. Speaking of the RGEM, it came well south with the Thursday SLP placement from the 0Z GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Pretty poor performance for the NAM this weekend, tho no model did that great. RGEM was off by a foot for most people northeast of us. RGEM is a rainer too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 56 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Latest WB EURO weeklies indicate could be cold enough through first week of March to support wintry precipitation. Temps then go above normal second week of March. Bring on spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Speaking of the RGEM, it came well south with the Thursday SLP placement from the 0Z GGEM. It did indeed. N/w crew is definitely in the game. @clskinsfan it would come on Thursday night. I hope you’re getting plastered with fatties while you enjoy a jebwalk and a brew 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Also @Bubbler86 it is a pretty potent little wave, models have beefed up on qpf since a day or two ago. Just need to be on the right side of trends inside d3… oh great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: NAM is a rainer on Thursday. for all of us. Let's just hope it is significant rain out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Also @Bubbler86 it is a pretty potent little wave, models have beefed up on qpf since a day or two ago. Just need to be on the right side of trends inside d3… oh great It is a pretty strong wave. We really just need it 50 miles south of what is being modelled. Although the ICON is right in line with the meso's right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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