Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[Stormchaserchuck1]

12 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Hello?  Anyone? 

In 3 days we lose this current polar-tilting ridge across Alaska (-EPO) to a Polar Vortex placement over northern Greenland and Alaska (+NAO/+EPO). That warms the CONUS pattern very quickly. A ridge starts building in the Mid Atlantic the last day of February and the GEFS has that persisting really through the 2nd week of March. Seasonal trend has been to cool the Northeast, US, so maybe the warm temps will be confined to the Southeast and Midwest, but it's not really a cold pattern that we need at this time of the year for snow.. Best case scenario is something like today again. 

[LeesburgWx]

I'm ready for spring after this week of tracking 2 inches of snow. But of course I hope we have 1 more decent shot at a real storm. I will say, it's actually nice walking on legit snow instead of ice encased snow.

[EastCoast NPZ]

19 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

In 3 days we lose this current polar-tilting ridge across Alaska (-EPO) to a Polar Vortex placement over northern Greenland and Alaska (+NAO/+EPO). That warms the CONUS pattern very quickly. A ridge starts building in the Mid Atlantic the last day of February and the GEFS has that persisting really through the 2nd week of March. Seasonal trend has been to cool the Northeast, US, so maybe the warm temps will be confined to the Southeast and Midwest, but it's not really a cold pattern that we need at this time of the year for snow.. Best case scenario is something like today again. 

In other words, check back in December. 

[NorthArlington101]

Hello?  Anyone? 

I think we’ve got a real shot or two in March whether we want them or not. Trackable, at least.

[Jebman]

Lets track this then! Reel it home! Have a look at the ensembles. Where is Bncho or SnowinOutThere? I know Tracker is in Houston.

Don't.  Tell.  Me. You.  Are. Too. Tired. To. Track.          If you think you are tired, you can sleep when you DIE.

C'mon Guys, you gotta have the proper attitude! Attitude is 90 percent of Life.

[TSSN+]

I can’t do this shit again… lol

 

[LeesburgWx]

36 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I can’t do this shit again… lol

 

Only 90 hours out?! Any other model support? I’m too drained to go look myself

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said:

Only 90 hours out?! Any other model support? I’m too drained to go look myself

It’s there on other models just in different positions 

[baltosquid]

Gosh, please. Really seems like it could come down to overnight vs day passage.

[TSSN+]

Euro get me @psuhoffman and @mitchnick land 

[Maestrobjwa]

3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Euro get me @psuhoffman and @mitchnick land 

Yeah this is y'all's. Completely ignoring this one, lol

[baltosquid]

FWIW euro ai came south a bit but it’s faster than other guidance and it is during the day. May have worked out south of the M/D if it happened 6-12 hours later, and it is by a bit the fastest guidance right now it seems.

edit: actually it’s about the same result, but marginally better look at 540. Just need some better timing and a little colder. Confidence in this is low here, screams something that will be for NW

[DDweatherman]

10 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

FWIW euro ai came south a bit but it’s faster than other guidance and it is during the day. May have worked out south of the M/D if it happened 6-12 hours later, and it is by a bit the fastest guidance right now it seems.

edit: actually it’s about the same result, but marginally better look at 540. Just need some better timing and a little colder. Confidence in this is low here, screams something that will be for NW

It’s an event where @psuhoffman has best luck and is why climo is higher

[ravensrule]

27 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

It’s an event where @psuhoffman has best luck and is why climo is higher

If this was 30 years ago he would get 10” from this. 

[nw baltimore wx]

Give me what the gfs has on Thursday night and that gets me a respectable winter.  Then it's March and bring on spring.

[jayyy]

If this was 30 years ago he would get 10” from this. 

That’s what she said