vortex95 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 I can hear CoastalWx from here, "why can't the mean trough position be just 150 mi to the W!!!" But maybe PT action from the NORLUN the 00z ECMWF is explicitly showing, which is pretty amazing it is showing it so far out. Given the 500 low lagging the sfc low so much, this scenario is not unreasonable. And we may have a great line of TSW+ when the strong cold front moves through initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 4 hours ago, TheSnowman said: And of the people I met, song writer Paul Williams may be one you guys know. Dude is a genius who has written so many familiar things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 Euro AI not too interested in 5-6th except frontal squalls I think. Clipper on the 10th and then swfe string redeveloper 14-15th. Looks like high pressure holds to our north. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Euro AI not too interested in 5-6th except frontal squalls I think. Clipper on the 10th and then swfe string redeveloper 14-15th. Looks like high pressure holds to our north. 6z euro AI looked a little better. After that it gets dicey. We’re going to need to hope and pray that the -NAO is just enough to fight off the Conus torch coming. Especially in SNE. The Pacific is ugly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Friday night doesn’t seem like much. It gets going too late outside of an inv trough swinging down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Kudos to the cold and dry folks, nailed it.. We wasted 2/3rd of what could have been a very memorable period.. At least we got the one big dog. Next chance of bigger qpf looks to be around Valentines Day, as others have mentioned, hope there will be enough cold around by then.. After Valentines Day, I think most are ready for spring.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Kudos to the cold and dry folks, nailed it.. We wasted 2/3rd of what could have been a very memorable period.. At least we got the one big dog. Next chance of bigger qpf looks to be around Valentines Day, as others have mentioned, hope there will be enough cold around by then.. After Valentines Day, I think most are ready for spring.. Yep. A waste unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Kudos to the cold and dry folks, nailed it.. We wasted 2/3rd of what could have been a very memorable period.. At least we got the one big dog. Next chance of bigger qpf looks to be around Valentines Day, as others have mentioned, hope there will be enough cold around by then.. After Valentines Day, I think most are ready for spring.. This overall dry pattern has been persistent as hell for quite awhile now (started back in the fall of 2024). We’ve basically seen relentless cold with very few breaks since the end of November but the dryness has continued. The only real exception was last weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 -4F there have been at least 12 mornings below zero in Greenfield. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 9 minutes ago, snowman19 said: This overall dry pattern has been persistent as hell for quite awhile now (started back in the fall of 2024). We’ve basically seen relentless cold with very few breaks since the end of November but the dryness has continued. The only real exception was last weekend United Stein of America. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: United Stein of America. You hate to see it, but I’m still praying for a dry spring and summer. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Goofus AI shows how it can be done. Basically, the right interaction where there is just enough cold air in eastern Canada for a juicy storm. Call it luck, ha ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 6 more weeks of winter !! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 41 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: You hate to see it, but I’m still praying for a dry spring and summer. Do you not use water? Even if you are on municipal water, it got pretty tight last year in a lot of places. I'm on the board of my village water system and we had to buy water for several months last year. Right now, even though we have good snow cover and there is a lot in the mountains, I would venture a guess that the actual amount of water in the snow pack isn't all that impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 5 minutes ago, mreaves said: Do you not use water? Even if you are on municipal water, it got pretty tight last year in a lot of places. I'm on the board of my village water system and we had to buy water for several months last year. Right now, even though we have good snow cover and there is a lot in the mountains, I would venture a guess that the actual amount of water in the snow pack isn't all that impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Kudos to the cold and dry folks, nailed it.. We wasted 2/3rd of what could have been a very memorable period.. At least we got the one big dog. Next chance of bigger qpf looks to be around Valentines Day, as others have mentioned, hope there will be enough cold around by then.. After Valentines Day, I think most are ready for spring.. 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yep. A waste unfortunately. One storm does not represent a paradigm shift. Nothing comes easy (still). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 6z euro AI looked a little better. After that it gets dicey. We’re going to need to hope and pray that the -NAO is just enough to fight off the Conus torch coming. Especially in SNE. The Pacific is ugly. We flirt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 14 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: We flirt You and Scooter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: We flirt Let's just get rid of the Pacific. It always seems to be the problem. In all seriousness, I think it'll be a relief if we stop hearing about the Pacific getting in the way. What do we need to see and how long has this been an issue with the Pacific ( it seems like I've heard about this over the last several years getting in the way, especially when it comes to storm track for the Northeast Coast ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Let's just get rid of the Pacific. It always seems to be the problem. In all seriousness, I think it'll be a relief if we stop hearing about the Pacific getting in the way. What do we need to see and how long has this been an issue with the Pacific ( it seems like I've heard about this over the last several years getting in the way, especially when it comes to storm track for the Northeast Coast ) We had a good Pacific for weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, CoastalWx said: We had a good Pacific for weeks. If it wasn’t for last week’s storm, most of us would be looking at a pretty piss poor winter. Nothing I can do about it, but it’s really irritating to be wasting peak Climo with cold dry days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Kudos to the cold and dry folks, nailed it.. We wasted 2/3rd of what could have been a very memorable period.. At least we got the one big dog. Next chance of bigger qpf looks to be around Valentines Day, as others have mentioned, hope there will be enough cold around by then.. After Valentines Day, I think most are ready for spring.. Some/most may be ready for spring after V. Day…but ma nature says when she’s done. And 2/14 is much too early for her in SNE. Let’s not rush the 39-45 degree misery mist and drizzle that is with us from late March through all of April at the very least most every year(save 2012.. which is as rare as Feb 2015). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: If it wasn’t for last week’s storm, most of us would be looking at a pretty piss poor winter. Nothing I can do about it, but it’s really irritating to be wasting peak Climo with cold dry days. Preaching to the choir. I don’t get off on cold stats so for me it’s frustrating. It took a low ramming into an arctic dome to bring the biggie but we can’t get a coastal for whatever reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Everything still looks fine PNA NAO AO Maybe an Archambault event 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Preaching to the choir. I don’t get off on cold stats so for me it’s frustrating. It took a low ramming into an arctic dome to bring the biggie but we can’t get a coastal for whatever reason. Fast flow . It’s been there all winter . It’s the Pacific 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: If it wasn’t for last week’s storm, most of us would be looking at a pretty piss poor winter. Nothing I can do about it, but it’s really irritating to be wasting peak Climo with cold dry days. Sometimes a signature storm saves a season. Just how it goes in SNE. We’ve done well here(not everybody feels the same, understandably). And that 18+ inches solidified a good winter here…along with the consistent frigid weather. 10 more inches and we have our average snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 This winter sucks balls. Too F*cking cold. Other than a morbid interest, I don't care how much snow we get. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You and Scooter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 14 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Let's just get rid of the Pacific. It always seems to be the problem. In all seriousness, I think it'll be a relief if we stop hearing about the Pacific getting in the way. What do we need to see and how long has this been an issue with the Pacific ( it seems like I've heard about this over the last several years getting in the way, especially when it comes to storm track for the Northeast Coast ) Are you suggesting that we just fill it in maybe with concrete or something? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 56 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fast flow . It’s been there all winter . It’s the Pacific I guess VA, and NC and SC and the whole SE, and Nova Scotia, and Newfoundland, and the Midwest…the flow doesn’t bother them. It Only hurts SNE? I don’t know, I really don’t buy that. But it doesn’t really matter. We’ll get our turn with a good coastal…but for now we watch other areas get them. It’s not just one thing…it never is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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