February 2026 OBS & Discussion

[eduggs]

19 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

I respect your precision. I used "explains" in a statistically descriptive sense, not to talk about causation. I could have used more technical language talking about measuring the predictable variation (via linear relationship in this case) between the independent and dependent variable(s).

Keeping in mind that the Board has an audience, some of whom have yet to enter college, such terminology would create more confusion than clarity. Unfortunately, there are trade-offs involved in simplifying discussions.

I thought your language was good. And I'm not trying to talk down - there's plenty I don't know. It's just that at quick glance the plot and summary give the impression that warmer temps cause less snow. 

[eduggs]

The airmass today is actually pretty cold - seasonably cold at least. And yet the warmer spots in the City will tickle 50 and places like Poughkeepsie and Hartford will near or exceed 40. Classic winter feel in the mountains with springtime in the valleys. 

[SACRUS]

47 / 24 here - warmest since Jan 22nd (49)

[Stormlover74]

Beautiful out

[MJO812]

48 right now. Drip drip.

[dWave]

Snow is melting but fairly slow for mostly sunny and 46F day. That sleet content must have some real staying power. 

[Freezing Drizzle]

55 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Here you go:

Winter	State College	Williamsport
1892-93	48.3	N.A.
1893-94	66.4	N.A.
1894-95	54.5	15.3
1895-96	33.7	31.5
1896-97	31.6	26.0
1897-98	40.2	30.8
1898-99	53.5	41.8
1899-00	27.0	15.9
1900-01	39.7	18.9
1901-02	59.9	60.6
1902-03	34.1	40.0
1903-04	39.1	49.7
1904-05	48.0	39.7
1905-06	30.7	30.4
1906-07	57.1	42.6
1907-08	67.8	54.2
1908-09	42.6	39.6
1909-10	66.4	35.6
1910-11	52.0	31.2
1911-12	45.5	35.9
1912-13	20.4	15.2
1913-14	77.4	55.4
1914-15	56.0	45.8
1915-16	48.7	65.0
1916-17	39.4	37.6
1917-18	60.5	62.6
1918-19	18.1	14.3
1919-20	54.2	41.9
1920-21	30.2	27.5
1921-22	41.9	32.8
1922-23	65.9	64.4
1923-24	42.2	27.5
1924-25	41.0	35.0
1925-26	48.3	43.0
1926-27	43.2	40.0
1927-28	64.8	38.1
1928-29	21.6	15.2
1929-30	24.0	18.0
1930-31	30.3	26.0
1931-32	28.4	24.7
1932-33	22.1	19.3
1933-34	31.1	37.0
1934-35	42.7	38.5
1935-36	72.4	48.9
1936-37	31.4	22.7
1937-38	20.2	20.6
1938-39	42.4	36.7
1939-40	49.5	44.3
1940-41	45.9	58.1
1941-42	75.0	39.8
1942-43	42.3	41.1
1943-44	36.4	23.6
1944-45	52.2	46.3
1945-46	29.5	34.3
1946-47	44.7	30.6
1947-48	42.5	40.5
1948-49	28.0	22.3
1949-50	34.5	36.8
1950-51	51.4	43.2
1951-52	41.9	50.2
1952-53	31.7	21.0
1953-54	34.0	28.8
1954-55	26.1	34.0
1955-56	32.7	45.4
1956-57	58.2	50.7
1957-58	57.6	49.1
1958-59	44.7	39.1
1959-60	47.8	51.9
1960-61	91.9	80.2
1961-62	52.2	49.6
1962-63	61.2	55.8
1963-64	78.2	76.2
1964-65	46.2	24.9
1965-66	43.2	39.1
1966-67	59.5	64.7
1967-68	30.9	29.0
1968-69	38.9	18.3
1969-70	89.9	82.6
1970-71	68.4	61.4
1971-72	54.2	59.5
1972-73	31.4	30.6
1973-74	40.9	40.6
1974-75	50.1	38.8
1975-76	42.9	28.9
1976-77	40.8	42.1
1977-78	98.2	83.6
1978-79	39.9	37.3
1979-80	17.9	20.5
1980-81	38.8	41.6
1981-82	69.1	54.5
1982-83	22.6	17.6
1983-84	50.2	40.7
1984-85	31.6	25.0
1985-86	42.3	31.2
1986-87	52.3	53.5
1987-88	39.0	36.8
1988-89	23.7	7.0
1989-90	40.8	31.3
1990-91	34.4	27.9
1991-92	26.9	20.0
1992-93	92.5	55.8
1993-94	109.3	81.2
1994-95	23.5	12.8
1995-96	99.0	85.9
1996-97	41.4	15.2
1997-98	48.2	31.1
1998-99	35.2	37.1
1999-00	19.8	23.1
2000-01	32.1	37.8
2001-02	21.7	19.4
2002-03	83.6	63.9
2003-04	71.4	55.5
2004-05	36.2	38.3
2005-06	26.9	25.0
2006-07	37.6	29.4
2007-08	43.2	31.1
2008-09	26.3	24.2
2009-10	49.1	34.9
2010-11	38.4	45.6
2011-12	19.0	12.3
2012-13	43.6	32.7
2013-14	51.8	45.9
2014-15	52.0	44.4
2015-16	17.9	7.7
2016-17	37.8	41.1
2017-18	34.1	26.8
2018-19	40.1	32.4
2019-20	13.2	13.4
2020-21	45.7	54.3
2021-22	31.9	29.3
2022-23	24.3	19.9
2023-24	22.0	18.1
2024-25	20.5	15.3

This data will keep me busy for a while. lol  I am much obliged. @donsutherland1

[nycwinter]

lovely day today mid 40's this is what many of us needed..

[Freezing Drizzle]

Mount Pocono, Vernon, and some points on Long Island are the only locations shown that are currently in the 30s F.

[steve392]

Gorgeous out at the jersey shore. Asbury park was jumping. 

[psv88]

46 here and no wind. Beautiful mid February day. It’s coming (spring)

[sussexcountyobs]

15 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

Mount Pocono, Vernon, and some points on Long Island are the only locations shown that are currently in the 30s F.

I'm in Vernon. It's up to 41.4. This is the first real day of some melting with sun out.

[kat5hurricane]

Feeling like spring out there, feels really good, feels rejuvenating. I'll still root for snow when there's something to track but I'm just about done with winter at this point.