Irish

Yup, the last 2 storms were misses by the models and in some cases really bad misses. And I wasn't saying that it's likely and I84 storm, just saying what the title reads.

Because it's likely for the I84 corridor?

Yeah next week isn't looking great. I'm not great at this stuff, so was wondering what others were seeing that I wasn't.

WTF?!? 4 am breakfast?

What are we thinking in regard to a storm for next Friday?

True but this was a laughable joke.

Wow, something must've shifted because here in Old Bridge, we have nothing. Light flakes, all wet outside, no coating at all.

Who's Def better and what job did they hire him to do?

Was reading on another board and saw this posted.

Pretty soon Bermuda will be in trouble!

Map?

And a day off from school tomorrow, leading into a 3-day weekend.

You can't make this stuff up. I'm in Old Bridge with a WWA, 2 minutes north of Manalapan, 5 minutes north of Englishtown, and 15 minutes north of Freehold, which all have WSW.

Posted by a met on another board named rb924119: All this talk about H5 and the latest NAM run, but nothing is being mentioned about the rest of the atmosphere??? Come on, my fellow snow-starved weather nut family, we’re better than this!! lol to me, the changes at H5 seem to be relatively minor compared to previous runs, but it’s what’s happening everywhere else that made the difference. Let’s work from the lower levels, upward, starting at the 850 hPa level. 850 hPa (and even further below): Notably stronger f-gen/isentropic forcing likely induced by enhanced low-level vortex tube stretching and associated cyclonic vorticity/curvature thanks to an anomalous westerly wind component coming across the Appalachians. We aren’t dealing with a regular trough here; it’s actually a lobe of the Tropospheric PV, which is highly anomalous at this latitude, and therefore, modeling has been under-representative of the effects that this will have on the atmosphere.This also goes for all levels above this as well. 700 hPa: similar to the changes seen at the 850 hPa level. 250 hPa: Notably stronger jet streak with our area located in the left exit region, which allows enhanced forcing for ascent. This is directly a result of the enhanced f-gen in the lower levels. All of these enhanced forcing mechanisms align, which resulted in the higher output. In my opinion, having only looked at this tonight, the enhanced solution would seem to fit the anomalousness of having a lobe of the tropospheric PV rotating overhead, and modeling being slow to pick up on that, and I would therefore not be surprised to see these trends continue across guidance over the next couple of runs. Carry on.

What exactly are you feeling tonight?!

Screw the euro, wasn't it off for this last storm too?

Norlun Trough: An axis of shifting winds on the NW side of a low. They are known to bring very localized, very heavy bands of snow so that one town gets buried and the next barely receives an inch. These features are wicked fickle and are very hard to forecast. Google... my friend.

I know he's trying to tell me something here, but what...

Same here for Edison and Old Bridge.

What app is that?

Action Recommended Execute a pre-planned activity identified in the instructions Issued By Philadelphia - PA, US, National Weather Service Affected Area Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey Description ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. WHERE...Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey. WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday. IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow expected this evening into tonight. A change over to mixed precipitation is likely Tuesday morning for more southeastern areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

And back to getting an inch again.

It came in Namplified.

Until it's not. lol

This guy brought the bad JuJu!! Off with his head, a sacrifice to the snow gods.