MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 No warmth on the euro. Pretty cold and possibly wintry. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Now he loves the EURO. As predictable as the rising sun As predictable as you throwing him weenies on every post. 6 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Serious question Does Snowman19 have unlimited weenies ? It’s weirdly impressive how ready he is to drop those weenies on you. He’s a weenie assassin. 1 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It's not impossible for things to come together in this lead time and granted the Euro AI throwing us a bone is interested but it'd be tough to pull off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Serious question Does Snowman19 have unlimited weenies ? Anthony I pray Mama and the Bambino are doing well. If S19 wasn’t post limited his counter point posts during the cold season would rival Liberties output. Rob’s great response reminds me of the Equalizer and after reading Nibor’s post all I can think of is where will I find a tool like that if I ever get social again. Stay well, you and the family, as always …… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, rclab said: Anthony I pray Mama and the Bambino are doing well. If S19 wasn’t post limited his counter point posts during the cold season would rival Liberties output. Rob’s great response reminds me of the Equalizer and after reading Nibor’s post all I can think of is where will I find a tool like that if I ever get social again. Stay well, you and the family, as always …… Where is liberty bell? haven't seen him here in awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Looking at some buoy data, the ocean buoys from about Virginia/ north Carolina north all show water temps in the 30s, further north you go the closer to 32 they get. Only 1 well south/ east of montauk shows 41°F water temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I am back guys and i made a thread for Presidents' day storm potential 1 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 38 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No warmth on the euro. Pretty cold and possibly wintry. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: I am back guys and i made a thread for Presidents' day storm potential Snowman weenied this message and hates the idea of this event so much that he had to also click into the thread itself to send a weenie there. You know, to show how much he hates that thread and how he wants nothing to do with it. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 hours ago, TJW014 said: Incredible to see California being one of the only states without any drought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: No warmth on the euro. Pretty cold and possibly wintry. “Possibly” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Where is liberty bell? haven't seen him here in awhile He changed his name to PhiEaglesfan 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 upton has rain and mid 40's later next week-been a long time since we've seen that on a forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Where is liberty bell? haven't seen him here in awhile Maybe he’s very angry? Which isn’t good for the epidermis. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: upton has rain and mid 40's later next week-been a long time since we've seen that on a forecast Bring it ! Please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The 5-day NBM temperature forecast for NYC is below. Next week will likely see the mildest weather so far this month move into the NYC area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said: He changed his name to PhiEaglesfan Nope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Nice melting today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Whole winter's been dry with limited southern stream action nj.com has a piece today on the lack of rain; north jersey is under drought conditions. they need the snow to melt and feed the reservoirs. and we need rain, snow, sleet whatever we can get... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 hours ago, bluewave said: colorado is desperate for snow and warm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Could be a hot summer nationwide with such dry soils everywhere 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Somewhat cooler weather has returned to the region. Temperatures will mainly top out in the middle to upper 30s tomorrow. The weekend will see highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s. It could become even milder with highs in the lower to perhaps middle 40s next week. Some precipitation could arrive on Sunday or Monday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around February 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +7.93 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.731 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 93% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 31.5° (4.4° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.8° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Overall, Winter 2025-2026 is on track for a seasonal mean temperature of 31.9°. That would be the lowest winter mean temperature since Winter 2014-2015 when the mean temperature was 31.7°. Winter 2025-2026 would only become the fourth winter of the 21st century with a mean temperature of 32.0° or below. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Today's split EWR: 37 / 30 (-0) NYC: 36 / 29 (-2) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 A little dusting coming Saturday morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 17 hours ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: I am back guys and i made a thread for Presidents' day storm potential Of course you did. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: Definitely a more traditional Nina-like pattern coming up for the rest of February. But it’s really interesting that we see a piece of the cooler Northeast relative to other areas which has been in place since November continuing. So more of a close to average temperature pattern here with the warmest temperatures missing our area. Longer term the models are forecasting a transition to El Nino. Nina to Nino summer transitions typically haven’t been very warm here like we saw during years like 2023, 2009, 1997 and 1986. But the last strong drought La Nina to El Nino in 2002 was very warm. That year was a much warmer winter than we just had. So we can see competing influences this year with extreme drought across much of the CONUS and a lingering cold pool near the Northeast. So it will be interesting to see if the Northeast can hold onto the local cooler readings relative to other areas. Or the drought feedback ridge to our west eventually builds into the Northeast with the heat. Really hoping we can get some ridging here into the spring. Last thing I want is endless gunk on easterly winds. It just makes it miserable and doesn’t help the drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 10 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Really hoping we can get some ridging here into the spring. Last thing I want is endless gunk on easterly winds. It just makes it miserable and doesn’t help the drought. Feels like we haven't had a Spring with nice long lasting ridging in quite some time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Really hoping we can get some ridging here into the spring. Last thing I want is endless gunk on easterly winds. It just makes it miserable and doesn’t help the drought. This has been our coolest November to mid-February in over a decade. But since the Northern stream and Western ridge was so dominant, we couldn’t achieve the snowfall totals of 1996, 2014, 1994, 2003, and 2011. Some lingering influence from the longer term lower snowfall pattern since 2018-2019 even though this winter was much colder. But I am very happy we got our big benchmark snowstorm which brought many close to the long term 25 to 30 average with the more active STJ for a week in late January. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Coolest 11-1 to 2-12 periods since 1991Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1996-02-12 33.7 0 2 2014-02-12 35.1 0 3 1994-02-12 35.3 0 4 2026-02-12 35.4 0 - 2003-02-12 35.4 0 5 2011-02-12 35.8 0 6 2001-02-12 35.9 0 7 2015-02-12 36.1 0 8 2004-02-12 36.2 0 9 2009-02-12 36.8 0 10 2018-02-12 36.9 0 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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