Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

954 just inside of the BM

I bet a Nam run one ups that at some point.........lol

[dryslot]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

We get that western edge to verify and it's a blizzard for many. 

Yeah, I would really enjoy seeing more members on that side.

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I bet a Nam run one ups that at some point.........lol

There will be an 1888 in one of the NAM runs.   Plus a whiff. 

[Hoth]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Id take that and run right now...run for the hills

Man that's a mauling for eastern areas.

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I bet a Nam run one ups that at some point.........lol

Isn't it sad we can't trust models That HH data ingest stabilized every model.

[SouthCoastMA]

I'd be more willing to toss the Euro OP if the EPS didn't make such a big shift. Could still be zonked a bit too much, and wouldn't be shocked to see 0z take a small step back. 

[Lava Rock]

18z EPS, Looks like a quite a few broke to the west of the mean.

Come to daddy

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Isn't it sad we can't trust models That HH data ingest stabilized every model.

Yup..said this earlier. Get them back out there, and we’ll know where this is really going in short order. 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

Man that's a mauling for eastern areas.

Let's spread the wealth and increase qpf every run. All jokes aside 1 run at happy hour isn't exactly a lock. I am going back to the 2022 thread something familiar 

[Torch Tiger]

2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Come to daddy

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

i dont like that SE of bench cluster...need to see that break NW the next run or two

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Man that's a mauling for eastern areas.

.60” on that run for here…not bad at all. If it’s real? 

[WinterWolf]

I think the NAM was first to start bringing the January ’16 mid Atlantic monster north…..

[mahk_webstah]

33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It was the 12z OP GFS on Christmas Eve. It was so outlandish that even the NCEP model diagnostic discussion tossed it! Lol. 

I remember it well. I was on the cycle at the gym and just started laughing out loud and people were kind of looking at me.

[Damage In Tolland]

This is so reminiscent of 2015. Gfs would go East and everything else would go west and you’d get people saying it gone, congrats Stellwagen , I’ll give it one more model cycle etc 

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I think the NAM was first to start bringing the January ’16 mid Atlantic monster north…..

Sref

[Chrisrotary12]

27 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z EPS, Looks like a quite a few broke to the west of the mean.

Are EPS LP tracks are product anywhere? Would be curious which of these are the primary from NC coast and which are the convective Bermuda bound.

[Hoth]

Just out of curiosity, could sparse data be affecting model outputs? How's the sampling in the source region for this thing?

[WinterWolf]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Sref

We dont count those lol. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

That looks quite a bit more favorable than 12z. A lot more runs that are dumping 1”+ of QPF around Boston and even metrowest. There’s obviously still plenty of scrapers and whiffs. I’m not sold yet but 18z Euro suite was def good. 

Let him go . He bailed two days ago 

[Go Kart Mozart]

29 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z EPS, Looks like a quite a few broke to the west of the mean.

Id' be curious to see how these got there...did they arc in from SE to NW?

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This is so reminiscent of 2015. Gfs would go East and everything else would go west and you’d get people saying it gone, congrats Stellwagen , I’ll give it one more model cycle etc 

Just looked at Jan 22 let's hope Jan 26 is a Pete rePete

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Are EPS LP tracks are product anywhere? Would be curious which of these are the primary from NC coast and which are the convective Bermuda bound.

I don't know if there is a product available for that info.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

I don't know if there is a product available for that info.

Give me a minute I have a link somewhere 

[Damage In Tolland]

20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Let's spread the wealth and increase qpf every run. All jokes aside 1 run at happy hour isn't exactly a lock. I am going back to the 2022 thread something familiar 

That look in reality would be WSW back to Southbury . South buried 

[wxsniss]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

The funny thing is it throws that convective low we’ve been tossing our way this run. It delivers snow so I suppose it’s correct now.

Just catching up... what a run

I posted earlier this morning about resemblance to March 2018:

Buckshot vorticity exiting Carolinas, spawning multiple lows, fujiwara of easternmost low swinging back NW towards benchmark, and consolidation of the entire gyre around benchmark yielding a big prolonged hit... 

This 18z Euro strongly resembles that handling

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Id' be curious to see how these got there...did they arc in from SE to NW?

They didn't appear too

[mahk_webstah]

What are you guys thinking Is the timeframe on this thing, particularly for Boston.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Just looked at Jan 22 let's hope Jan 26 is a Pete rePete

Yeah there were a few that year . This is that 

[Weather Mike]

5 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Just catching up... what a run

I posted earlier this morning about resemblance to March 2018:

Buckshot vorticity exiting Carolinas, spawning multiple lows, fujiwara of easternmost low swinging back NW towards benchmark, and consolidation of the entire gyre around benchmark yielding a big prolonged hit... 

This 18z Euro strongly resembles that handling

Cant wait to see if the trend continues tonight. I have to head to the cape friday night so excited to hopefully see this move further NW on future model runs and really give SE NE a big hit.  Good luck everyone ! 

[weathafella]

51 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

55kt in your hood. January 05?

That was a really nice winter.   Cleaning up the blizzard followed by the AFC Championship game.