February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z AI stays to the south for the weekend.

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z EURO much further north compared to AI.  Track still very uncertain.

[snowfan]

On 2/7/2026 at 11:06 AM, snowfan said:

Some areas S and W of DC might torch on Tue or Wed.

 

[JenkinsJinkies]

Cliff jumping has begun in the southeast board. We may be north enough to still get something but I’m not holding my breath after the recent runs.

[H2O]

Even our best winters had warm days and rain. Aint gonna sweat things

[CAPE]

5 minutes ago, H2O said:

Even our best winters had warm days and rain. Aint gonna sweat things

What's the avg total precip in DC for DJF? Probably about 9". Typically an inch or so of that is frozen. Seems like plenty of folks haven't learned their climo, and maybe should STFU. 

 

[Jebman]

7 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Learning about this stuff in my atmosphere and weather course this fall really shows how just objective it all is. I remember I had to learn and derive the whole solar forcing equation and calculate the temperate of earth based on the suns output. In the observed temp equation there are three variables. 1. Solar forcing 2. Albedo 3. Greenhouse gas absorption. That’s it. You can do the math and it all checks out. Then everything else falls from there. Storms ride baroclinic boundaries and the polar jet. Both of those shift north in response to our temperature. To emphasize it will snow again we will get a HECS again but gradually our chances slowly run dry until we’re all fighting for scraps over a 50 mile frozen shield on any storm that doesn’t have a great pattern. 

Me, I'd move to the Tug or to a northern or western ski resort location, kick back in my favorite lawn chair and enjoy the brobdingnagian dendrites.

[JenkinsJinkies]

37 minutes ago, H2O said:

Even our best winters had warm days and rain. Aint gonna sweat things

Yeah, but still we’re about to exit the peak snow window for our regional climo. Sun angle season and all that.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Everything looks a bit warm for this weekend, EPS and GEFS both return us to near average or below average temps after a brief warm up so perhaps some more chances, but I'm getting that feeling like I'm almost ready for spring.  One more window around Feb 20 then I'm rooting for 60 every day.