clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah that's not good...man I just don't wanna lose a warning level snowfall with this at the last minute. 6-10" bare minimum I dont think you have to worry about that. I think 6+ is a lock for everyone. The cold with this is legit. Gonna take some time to scour it out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Interpolating @stormtrackermaps, maybe snow until 21-22z Sunday? I’d take that for sure. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Lets get that coastal going at 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Looks like it's done 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, stormtracker said: Looks like it's done 6z Looooooooong duration. Now that that is locked in, we work on thermals. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Interpolating @stormtrackermaps, maybe snow until 21-22z Sunday? I’d take that for sure. yea def colder than the AI--even parts of loudoun is still snow till 0z 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: We get screwed by the transfer from the primary to the coastal. It causes a lull/minimum in precip. We've seen this happen many times in the past. Yep. We need it to jump at the Carolina coast or we are toast on the coastal part. It's becoming all about the thump at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Interpolating @stormtrackermaps, maybe snow until 21-22z Sunday? I’d take that for sure. If we can make it past 18z with snow, I'd be ecstatic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Ji said: yea def colder than the AI--even parts of loudoun is still snow till 0z BWI does better than DCA? Maybe one gets double digits and the other doesn't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zwyts Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 we really need 750mb temps for euro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Euro is colder at 850s this run, at least. It’s at least a stop the “bleeding” run Wouldn't really say that. Kind of a hold the line for now run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zwyts Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 8-12", then flip. easy forecast for DC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, balltermen said: we really need 750mb temps for euro Once Pivotal catches up, they have sounding plots by clicking on the location. That may be pay only, but they are only $99/year or $10-$12/month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zwyts Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, mitchnick said: Once Pivotal catches up, they have sounding plots by clicking on the location. That may be pay only, but they are only $99/year or $10-$12/month. R you sure 700-850 isn't implied? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Maps? Please and thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Once Pivotal catches up, they have sounding plots by clicking on the location. That may be pay only, but they are only $99/year or $10-$12/month. TT does also but won't have it updated for another 2 hours probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 God almighty i'm terrified to see ZR output based on maps slowly trickling out for southern peeps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 It all boils down to when we flip and I don't think we can know until we get better soundings. We're all kinda guessing at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Euro is definitely colder up top than the AI. Holds on at 700 quite a bit longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 I’ll take a foot but yeah, euro needs to chill with the NW trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Seems drier overall? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 The flip on the EURO happens about the same time, but rates before the flip are not as good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 A foot is solidly off the table for the metros then. 3 1 4 1 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Thank you -does the European model continue to show freezing rain for central Virginia? Obviously we are hoping for sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 DCA is still probably snow at 18z looking at sounding 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zwyts Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It all boils down to when we flip and I don't think we can know until we get better soundings. We're all kinda guessing at this point Go with 18z and adjust as neeeded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, yoda said: DCA is still probably snow at 18z looking at sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Seems drier overall? Classic La Nina roulette. You play against the warm nose, primary low, late transfer to the coastal, or drier overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Delaying the phase and flatter out front is causing some cut back on qpf for the thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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