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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco


TheSnowman
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8 minutes ago, ariof said:

Wasn't the December 2020 storm a weak low setup that put that insane fronto band over CNE (and then all evaporated with one of the Grinchiest Grinches a few days later)? That setup was different, of course, without the huge storm impacting the SE, and came more up the coast, but might this have some kind of meso front that dumps 30" of fluff somewhere?

I don’t remember the exact set up, but I do remember several days of signals from multiple model suites that there would be a band up here  in Dendriteland.  

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1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I know this is a little OT, but oh my GOD, I just had an epic squall roll through here. Pure whiteout conditions. I ran outside barely clothed.

Let’s bring hours of this for all Sunday-Monday

M4kGfaT.jpeg
 

Absolute weenie dream in some of the numbers being spit out.

Wow.

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1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I know this is a little OT, but oh my GOD, I just had an epic squall roll through here. Pure whiteout conditions. I ran outside barely clothed.

Let’s bring hours of this for all Sunday-Monday

M4kGfaT.jpeg
 

Absolute weenie dream in some of the numbers being spit out.

ya those squalls to the west looks fun! hoping they hold.. ya hopefully we increase as we get closer 

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I tell you what I particularly like about this one at the moment. It looks like the snow starts in the morning. Feels like it’s been forever since we’ve had a big one do that. I remember the ‘96 blizzard was like that and it just made it all the more special. 

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5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I know this is a little OT, but oh my GOD, I just had an epic squall roll through here. Pure whiteout conditions. I ran outside barely clothed.

Let’s bring hours of this for all Sunday-Monday

M4kGfaT.jpeg
 

Absolute weenie dream in some of the numbers being spit out.

Just got some of that here in Albany 

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hm... man, relative to ambient surface pressure ( super synoptic foot at the time of this...) these sub 990mb members oblonging the spread back west on the GEFs are an impressive implication ... these are new as of this morning... 06z had more than 00z, but we're adding to

image.png.4591a3a090f44bc471217eb7df89cb3f.png

I think there's gotta be an upper limit to how much a coastal can take over in terms of lasting/impact.  The totality of the backgroung synopsis that all this is embedded in is still quite fast.  We could be looking at a regional scoped isentropic thump followed by a 4-6 hour Nor'easter snows and wind into eastern sections. 

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46 minutes ago, ariof said:

Wasn't the December 2020 storm a weak low setup that put that insane fronto band over CNE (and then all evaporated with one of the Grinchiest Grinches a few days later)? That setup was different, of course, without the huge storm impacting the SE, and came more up the coast, but might this have some kind of meso front that dumps 30" of fluff somewhere?

Intitially?  Not for the same sort of physical causes ... which you intimated.

Isentropic snow events tend to be more uniform in character.  They are caused by general flow up an elevated frontal slope...  Cold in the low levels, with an arriving warmer, potentially psuedo-adiabatic unstable air mass then forced up over the front;  eventually through it's unstable altitude/pressure level it starts rising and precipitating... etc.   That tends to be more linearly distribute action, such that you get a general rad display...

Those meso bands you are thinking of, like that 2020 Dec hyper version, are elevated convergence axis formed from differential mid tropospheric jets moving past and air moving preferentially toward the region of best synoptic forcing to rise over where that is happening.   Lots of pricey physical math later, then crossing that up with the aspects above, you can get huge results.  In this sense... yeah ... if the latter low does get more mechanically coherent, then some meso banding could set up associated with that.  There will be differential jet advection going on associated with that so it could.  Just about all defined low pressures have meso structures...  You can see them here on this 12z GFS regarding the later big dawg blizzard it has for the 31st

image.png.f0b702dd53ea138ab6dccf03a2745506.png

 

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22 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I tell you what I particularly like about this one at the moment. It looks like the snow starts in the morning. Feels like it’s been forever since we’ve had a big one do that. I remember the ‘96 blizzard was like that and it just made it all the more special. 

Up here GYX is saying we don’t start until after 5 PM on Sunday. That seems late based on what I’ve been seeing and reading. And I don’t think it would be more than maybe three or four hours after you start.

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1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

Up here GYX is saying we don’t start until after 5 PM on Sunday. That seems late based on what I’ve been seeing and reading. And I don’t think it would be more than maybe three or four hours after you start.

FWIW

image.thumb.png.75fe4d23daba08fdb2a21df291dbe9ab.png

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