WxMan1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Well, with the north trends (more of a SW-NE oriented heavy snow axis, closer to climo), we know that means the MIX area gets close. This is a pretty picture now, but we're still 96+ hours away from the onset of the precip. LOVE the northern trends, yes, but for the metro area now would be a good time for the trends to STOP. I don't think they will though, lol. Oh, don't get me wrong, surface temps will stay in the 20s. But those 750-700 mb temps may flirt with 0C with a mix or period of sleet all the way up to Southern MD...maybe even Rte 50 for a little bit. Wouldn't surprise me. Still a hit, oh boy a big hit, but I don't think the northern trends are done either. 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago CMC is definitely quicker than GFS. Snow breaking out Saturday evening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 6 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: 1043mb reinforcing HP over Quebec. I might shed a tear My feelings exactly. I am blasting every track that ever reminded me of snow, including Gen Z tracks. Everything from 1964 clear to 2026. All I have EVER wanted, is for this sub to get completely, utterly demolished by snow and cold. That happens, everything is all good for me. I'll be cheering you all on! 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago CMC might be too amped LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: FOLKS... dude--i feel like we are living PD 2 again. Monster highs and a crazy STJ. I have dubbed this on FB as the cousin of PD2. This will fall short because PD2 had like 3 inches of liquid lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago CMC gets that mix up to DC south. Transfer would be great on the next panel. Not gonna sweat that tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Incredible GooFuS run! Is it wrong that I wanted 1 more full panel to keep it rolling after 132? How can we slow it down so we can make a run to BECSville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago CMC will be a sleet bomb. Shows the danger of having a complete NS phase in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, bncho said: CMC might be too amped LOL If these are the new goalposts I think we can throw suppression worries out the window, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Yeah CMC is too much of a good thing, honestly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago This place is like gooning central rn geez 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Bothe the gfs and the cmc build heights rapidly over the east coast and se canada from 84-102hrs. It went from slightly more risging to a lot more ridging fast. Thats what caused the shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Congrats to @brooklynwx99 on his CMC run! This run officially makes suppression no longer my biggest concern if we're going to have this much energy out west. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Canadian is def going to bring sleet into the picture. has a warm nose at around 700. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago We all go to sleet the next panel 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: CMC gets that mix up to DC south It’s up past Baltimore - Winchester for a time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Mix is part of it if you want the goods. Unfortunately. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago So yeah..one extreme is the CMC. Let's hope it remains the only one showing this..it's still a healthy amount of snow tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Look at the temps. 16 in Baltimore and 40s in OC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Look at the temps. 16 in Baltimore and 40s in OC Almost always see this w the good ones. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, clskinsfan said: Mix is part of it if you want the goods. Unfortunately. No it is not. Frankly its a ridiculous statement. In order to get the goods we don't need a huge ass full phase out west. Remember, the Ukmet has shown its HECS in part because the phase is so messy which leads to better moisture transport. We want to see less NS interaction going into the 6z suite for some of the models now. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Looks like about 14" on the CMC Kuchera..not sure if that includes sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Congrats to @brooklynwx99 on his CMC run! This run officially makes suppression no longer my biggest concern if we're going to have this much energy out west. I mean DC already has close to a foot on the ground at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Not sure I really buy the GFS or the Canadian at this point... we turn our eyes to the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago CMC takes the low close to the 40/70 benchmark, while the GFS is out to sea well before that. No idea which is closer to being right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Mix is part of it if you want the goods. Unfortunately. It doesn’t have to be. Just about every other model shows how we can get a foot plus of cold powder with no mix issues. For some reason you keep asking for it to amp up more and for what? The potential of 2-3 extra inches if you happen to fall on the right side of the mix? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Its the CMC and it's on it's own. Viable solution, but I'll wait for confirmation....up next Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: Looks like about 14" on the CMC Kuchera..not sure if that includes sleet sleet on top of 15 inches is such the cousin of PD2....i didnt want that part of it...but it will be impossible to dig out from once all that crap freezes 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: Its the CMC and it's on it's own. Viable solution, but I'll wait for confirmation....up next Euro Regardless i would take that run in a heartbeat. It’s still gorgeous. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, clskinsfan said: I mean DC already has close to a foot on the ground at that point. CMC is a coastal runner. We do need the north trends to slow down now. We got what we needed today. But we can’t have it keep going. Tomorrow is only Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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