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January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage


stormtracker
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10 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

FOLKS...

dude--i feel like we are living PD 2 again. Monster highs and a crazy STJ. I have dubbed this on FB as the cousin of PD2. This will fall short because PD2 had like 3 inches of liquid lol

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Just now, clskinsfan said:

Mix is part of it if you want the goods. Unfortunately. 

No it is not. Frankly its a ridiculous statement. In order to get the goods we don't need a huge ass full phase out west. Remember, the Ukmet has shown its HECS in part because the phase is so messy which leads to better moisture transport. We want to see less NS interaction going into the 6z suite for some of the models now. 

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Mix is part of it if you want the goods. Unfortunately. 

It doesn’t have to be. Just about every other model shows how we can get a foot plus of cold powder with no mix issues. For some reason you keep asking for it to amp up more and for what? The potential of 2-3 extra inches if you happen to fall on the right side of the mix?


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Just now, stormtracker said:

Looks like about 14" on the CMC Kuchera..not sure if that includes sleet

sleet on top of 15 inches is such the cousin of PD2....i didnt want that part of it...but it will be impossible to dig out from once all that crap freezes

 

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Just now, clskinsfan said:

I mean DC already has close to a foot on the ground at that point. 

CMC is a coastal runner. We do need the north trends to slow down now. We got what we needed today. But we can’t have it keep going. Tomorrow is only Wednesday 

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1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

No it is not. Frankly its a ridiculous statement. In order to get the goods we don't need a huge ass full phase out west. Remember, the Ukmet has shown its HECS in part because the phase is so messy which leads to better moisture transport. We want to see less NS interaction going into the 6z suite for some of the models now. 

Not ridiculous at all. We always mix with the big storms. Even out here.

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