Typhoon Tip Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The other thing I noticed is that some models are chasing convection. That might factor in too. 12z nam's doing that the 06z gfs left the conv alone and relies entirely on the synoptic q-g forcing not sure which is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Reggie a tic juiced this cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Ya IF this storm even happens for us, it looks like paste, temps are borderline.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: at work, did it spread wealth NW, or is it a scraper? A little bit less WOR, a tad better Emass. Predecessor looking decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 12z nam's doing that the 06z gfs left the conv alone and relies entirely on the synoptic q-g forcing not sure which is right The GFS is so much more amplified 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 If Reggie verifies that's a nice snowy Pats game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, ariof said: If Reggie verifies that's a nice snowy Pats game. Been a long time since that model scored a coup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: The GFS is so much more amplified that's probably why, yeah. the gfs' synoptic forcing overcomes the convection, and since the nam's deep layer kinematics are weak...the convection takes over. why not 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya IF this storm even happens for us, it looks like paste, temps are borderline.. yeah definitely some white rain here at the start. Honestly though I’d prefer 3” of paste vs 6” of fluff. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: The GFS is so much more amplified Looks like the whole thing is about to go neggy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, ariof said: If Reggie verifies that's a nice snowy Pats game. Yeah if its raining outside here, I can live vicariously through the Pats game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: yeah definitely some white rain here at the start. Honestly though I’d prefer 3” of paste vs 6” of fluff. Especially with the Arctic hounds coming. A lasting pack into February would do this forum some good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Especially with the Arctic hounds coming. A lasting pack into February would do this forum some good. I just can’t stand cold and bare ground. Just have it last until hopefully later next week when perhaps another threat looms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Gfs might be coming west here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 13 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Looks like the whole thing is about to go neggy Yeah 12z Nam is back to that convection lagging in the South that some of the models were showing yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs might be coming west here Yup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs might be coming west here I have a pitchfork ready if you're wrong. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs might be coming west here Not to cause confusion..but thought trough was a bit flatter at 48h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have a pitchfork ready if you're wrong. Just now, SouthCoastMA said: Not to cause confusion..but thought trough was a bit flatter at 48h 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The other thing I noticed is that some models are chasing convection. That might factor in too. This is what I was asking about the AI models yesterday. It looks like The GFS and Euro are chasing the stuff far off the coast and the AI's are not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Yeah it’s flatter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hey at least if I'm wrong it's a win for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: Not to cause confusion..but thought trough was a bit flatter at 48h Ya looked better initially Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well.. it is Friday.. just not the 13th. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 Stick to patrolling the parking meters in Times Square. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, ineedsnow said: Ya looked better initially Looked better at hr36. Flatter by 48. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, Lucy Pull said: Looked better at hr36. Flatter by 48. Yep . Skim job. Meanwhile the GFSAI is a good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 I think at this point I just want to fill CT with freshwater and wait for SW winds. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 AI was weaker vs 6z....not huge, maybe more noise than anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Yeah this isn't going to do it, however, should get at least light snows across a chunk of the region. Would have preferred to see a much better look here but I don't think it's a bad enough look to lean in the direction of not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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