Storm potential January 18th-19th

[Snowfreak09]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Go away troll

i really do not understand why he is not blocked or post limited. it takes away from what this board actually is. 

[MJO812]

Nam has light snow for Saturday 

[NEG NAO]

4 minutes ago, Snowfreak09 said:

i really do not understand why he is not blocked or post limited. it takes away from what this board actually is. 

Agree and few Mets post much here anymore ..........

[MJO812]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

Agree and few Mets post much here anymore ..........

His posts doesn't even make sense. He has to be a sock.

[WeatherGeek2025]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

His posts doesn't even make sense. He has to be a sock.

it's probably snowman19 with his 2nd account!

[MJO812]

[NEG NAO]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam has light snow for Saturday 

The problem I have with this Saturday event is its only going to last a few hours earlier in the day so the daytime heating after that will probably melt the lss than an ich accumulation

[weatherpruf]

8 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Agree and few Mets post much here anymore ..........

people don't post much anywhere on places like these anymore.....most of the forums i went to on health topics and sports are either gone or have slow traffic. it kinda started with facebook then moved on to other things. there were three other weather forums back in the day that i recall, and anthony was on at least two of them......that's dedication. at least i think it was him.....you'll notice a lot of magazine and news sites have dropped comments as well. 

[weatherpruf]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

i wouldn't buy into this too much.....it's like saying hey, we could have an economic, military, or political event.....you're bound to be right at some point and never wrong about there being possibilities. the surest way to get a good grade in history is to start your essay with,  'it was a period of change and transition '.....can't go wrong.

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

people don't post much anywhere on places like these anymore.....most of the forums i went to on health topics and sports are either gone or have slow traffic. it kinda started with facebook then moved on to other things. there were three other weather forums back in the day that i recall, and anthony was on at least two of them......that's dedication. at least i think it was him.....you'll notice a lot of magazine and news sites have dropped comments as well. 

Facebook is so full of nonsense and bots and Ai garbage I have had to block hundreds of former friends and sites

[weatherpruf]

1 minute ago, NEG NAO said:

Facebook is so full of nonsense and bots and Ai garbage I have had to block hundreds of former friends and sites

agreed

[WeatherGeek2025]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

i would look for that high circled in red to either become stronger or move west if we have any chances of this going west!

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

i would look for that high circled in red to either become stronger or move west if we have any chances of this going west!

you need it to go to southeast Canada - its needed there along with a 50/50 low

[WeatherGeek2025]

reggie?

[eduggs]

1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

What I find most interesting (especially psychologically) is that if there were no GFS model (and is there, really? lol), we'd be looking at the 0Z/6Z situation differently with improvements on the AI models a nudge NW for the Euro (if still mostly a miss), decent RDPS/GDPS and a less snowy ICON and thinking 1-2" might be a decent middle ground guess right now (as per the NBM) - which I'd take in a heartbeat.

Yeah both GFS-AI and ECM-AI ticked better.

[eduggs]

RGEM pretty snowy Sat.

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, eduggs said:

RGEM pretty snowy Sat.

And sunday

[eduggs]

Ideally you don't want multiple shortwaves stacked such that the northerly ones are displaced right of the trof axis like the entire thing is toppling over. That inhibits neutral/negative tilting of the trof. Or more precisely it indicates that the overall flow isn't conducive to negative tilting. The RGEM isn't a bad run - we're still in the game - but it has clear flaws.

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

And sunday

the sunday event better than Sat  Sat is an inch or less Sun is 1-2 verbatim

[eduggs]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

the sunday event better than Sat  Sat is an inch or less Sun is 1-2 verbatim

Back to back daytime 1-2" events with lollis to 3" on a weekend. That would be enjoyable if it happened. A little less for eastern/coastal areas with the first and more with the second.

[WeatherGeek2025]

8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

the sunday event better than Sat  Sat is an inch or less Sun is 1-2 verbatim

saturday is 1-2 inches for the city and 2-3 for sunday! i'd be happy with that!

[Brian5671]

46 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

no high to the north and a front stalled to the west would be a recipe for rain

[jm1220]

I’m away, glad I’m not missing much.
 

 

[WeatherGeek2025]

GFS gonna show a snowstorm now watch lmao

[vegan_edible]

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

GFS gonna show a snowstorm now watch lmao

 

[mob1]

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I’m away, glad I’m not missing much.
 

 

Hopefully we'll get something on the tail end of the cold snap. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

 

[eduggs]

18 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

1-2" is hard to accumulate during daytime in CPK unless temps are cold. Verbatim, seems like temps are in mid 30s which would be white rain. 

Icon brought back some light snow on Sunday, with more moderate snowfall towards east New England. 

Let's see where rest of models fall on this. 

I don't think many people live in CPK.

But Manhattan - sure - and other urbanized locations have trouble accumulating unless it's either very cold or very heavy snow. There's also heavy salting of roads and sidewalks in urban areas. But Saturday isn't modeled to be warm. Snow should be able to accumulate just about anywhere outside the heavily urbanized areas (N&W). For anyone who enjoys experiencing accumulating snow, it's a good idea to move outside those areas.

[Franklin0529]

17 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

GFS gonna show a snowstorm now watch lmao

Nope

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said:

Nope

yeah looks east