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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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36 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Slightly disappointed for sure. Just hoping 0z suite is good. If not then I think we can start tossing this one a tiny bit. Will definitely be out of the watching suite to suite if this isn't back tonight. 

Yea me too…see you tomorrow at 12z.

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Just now, RevWarReenactor said:

Too bad the models all went the wrong way today. We are under 140hours, which means I don't think this thing is coming back. It would take a huge shift West at this point. You don't usually see those at this range.

We don’t need a huge shift west. Just a small one. 

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Just now, RevWarReenactor said:

Too bad the models all went the wrong way today. We are under 140hours, which means I don't think this thing is coming back. It would take a huge shift West at this point. You don't usually see those at this range.

lol plz, we’ve seen storms shift 500 miles in 140 hours.  

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13 minutes ago, Ji said:


Yea but it’s Nina. We are lucky we for what we got

Fair enough.  Still don’t like this weekend deal. Too far west or east and it blows.  It’s gotta be perfect .  We don’t do perfect well. 

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Lol claiming that this thing is cooked is ridiculous. It could very well go the way we want it, miss just offshore, or miss further offshore. The trend this season has been for N and W shifts. We saw last week that NS interactions are very hard to pin down more than 72 hours in advance. We gotta be patient before we toss this or claim victory

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Just now, Paleocene said:

Lol claiming that this thing is cooked is ridiculous. It could very well go the way we want it, miss just offshore, or miss further offshore. The trend this season has been for N and W shifts. We saw last week that NS interactions are very hard to pin down more than 72 hours in advance. We gotta be patient before we toss this or claim victory

Well to quit already would be silly. A day ago this wasn't even a possibility, then we saw multiple model suites, ensembles, and AI models give varying solutions that were hits or close. I myself don't love this threat, but its a lot less dead right now than it was this time yesterday even...

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