January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[bncho]

CMC is 10-18+" across the area

[Paleocene]

12z CMC:

Man that low gets deeper... 976mb 100 miles off OCMD (06z sunday)

Then 963mb (jesus h) when it's moved towards benchmark

then 955mb (!!!!) when it's just south of Nantucket.  Goodbye southern new england lol

 

textbook KU uppercut punch?

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

CMC is 10-18+" across the area

That all? 

[LeesburgWx]

2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Bazinga!!!

Damn. What a panel

[bncho]

Start the Thread.

[LeesburgWx]

Just now, bncho said:

Start the Thread.

You want an Apps runner?

[jayyy]

holy fuck

[Eskimo Joe]

Only Randy should start a thread, if one at all at this point.

[Nomz]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

Start the Thread.

incoming cutter

[Shad]

nobody do anything please..... lets keep this one where it is

[rjvanals]

I trust the NWS forecast of Saturday being Sunny w a high of 22 more than any of these models 

[WxUSAF]

Canadian powder bomb

[clskinsfan]

Good lord what a beast. 

[anotherman]

[EHoffman]

In the teens the entire storm on GEM as well

[LeesburgWx]

Why do drugs exist when these panels and digital blue appear to be more addicting?

[clskinsfan]

CMC gets down to 955. Insanity

[catoctin wx]

4 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

That all? 

10:1 has me at 11" and kuchera at 21".  What a fun hobby/profession we all have

[Bob Chill]

Having h5 close off and dig so far west and south is RARE AF lol. This is pretty much a northern stream hybrid Miller A caused by a near perfect upper air pattern. Personally, closed upper level low snow is my favorite. I'd believe models spitting out 15-20:1 ratios. Prime setup for the fabled thundersnow haha. 

The closed upper level low allows for a much larger precip field than a cut off coastal scraper/runner. I'm starting to bite here. I originally thought it was all or none. Now I see a relatively easy path for an in-between solution. 

[bncho]

UK is a miss

[Weather Will]

NWS forecast for the weekend still says mostly sunny.

[Nomz]

2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Why do drugs exist when these panels and digital blue appear to be more addicting?

digital red

[Eskimo Joe]

Canadian and Euro were the first to hone in on the 2nd Feb 2010 event.

[ErinInTheSky]

Guess I am getting back into weather tracking again.

[rjvanals]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

UK is a miss

UK being a miss and the GFS-AI having zero interest in this are a red flag imo but the Canadian did a great job w the storm over The Weeknd 

[DDweatherman]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Canadian and Euro were the first to hone in on the 2nd Feb 2010 event.

That was a somewhat unusual evolution as well... and an awesome way to stack snow on the backside of the ULL. Insane ratios and all about blizzard conditions for a while. 

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Canadian and Euro were the first to hone in on the 2nd Feb 2010 event.

Wait seriously? Huh...

[Scraff]

4 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Thats my name! I’d say I’m more good than great though.  Holy CMC blizzard though! 

[anotherman]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

NWS forecast for the weekend still says mostly sunny.

Yeah, but guess what does have snow in the forecast?  Apple Weather.  Oh boy.

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Yeah, but guess what does have snow in the forecast?  Apple Weather.  Oh boy.

I'd like to fire that app into the sun right about now, lol