January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[MillvilleWx]

4 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said:

Tremendous storm with thundersnow. NOVA had one inch of snow in afternoon and I thought storm was a bust until lightning strike at 12:15a.m. And waking up to foot of snow and tree across the driveway.

Yup! I had just under 20” in Carney, MD from that storm with a lot of it falling in a 8 hr period. 4.75”/hr at one point I measured. Most intense snow I’ve ever seen. Couldn’t see the townhouses across the street from me less than 100 ft away. Incredible!!

[Terpeast]

19 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Feb 2006 was one of the greatest I-95 storms no one talks about. One of my all time favorites, hands down. 

It was awesome. Started out raining briefly, then flipped hard and the rates - oh man. I stayed up the whole night. Worth the sleep sacrifice.

[osfan24]

14 minutes ago, jayyy said:

At least it’s a Miller A and should be somewhat less tedious to track

Those still exist? Lol

[stormtracker]

Euro has it, but well s and e out to sea

[jayyy]

Those still exist? Lol

Sure do! Inside niño’esque type patterns. Which we haven’t seen much of in the past decade

[winter_warlock]

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro has it, but well s and e out to sea

After this current storm...  Probably good it's south and east at this point

[mitchnick]

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

Hmm, could be something to this one

It'll crush Altoona once inside 48 hours. Lol

[osfan24]

27 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Sure do! Inside niño’esque type patterns. Which we haven’t seen much of in the past decade

Would be great to get something simple. Some of the models also have an attempt at something small Thursday.

[winter_warlock]

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

I long for the days of a storm like this...uncomplicated Miller A

Seems like every storm we track is complicated anymore! 

[MN Transplant]

1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said:

Feb 2006 was one of the greatest I-95 storms no one talks about. One of my all time favorites, hands down. 

One of my disappointing storms.  My first chance at a big east coast storm and then it snizzles all day, snows overnight, and starts melting immediately in the morning.  <9" down at my rental near the Pentagon.

[osfan24]

5 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

One of my disappointing storms.  My first chance at a big east coast storm and then it snizzles all day, snows overnight, and starts melting immediately in the morning.  <9" down at my rental near the Pentagon.

I was at UMCP at the time and don't even remember that one, which is weird. Just looked at an accumulation map for that one and it does look like CP got shafted, which wasn’t unusual. Temps always seemed to run warm there to me.

I may vaguely remember this one now. I think it was a really heavy, wet snow that we probably got about eight inches out of but probably got less on paved surfaces and melted very quickly. Just surprised Baltimore got hit so hard and I don’t remember being disappointed I missed out. I guess I had other things on my mind at the time.

[NorthArlington101]

11 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

One of my disappointing storms.  My first chance at a big east coast storm and then it snizzles all day, snows overnight, and starts melting immediately in the morning.  <9" down at my rental near the Pentagon.

Wiki article says Falls Church got 13". I totally believe you though... classic DCA crummy elevation screw job.

[mattie g]

13 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

One of my disappointing storms.  My first chance at a big east coast storm and then it snizzles all day, snows overnight, and starts melting immediately in the morning.  <9" down at my rental near the Pentagon.

I was about to ask if that was the one that melted as soon as the sun came up.

We were in Fairlington at the time and I remember it well. Cool storm at night, but I remember looking at radar around NYC and accepting that we suck. That may have been the first time I ventured onto weather boards.

[EHoffman]

4 minutes ago, mattie g said:

I was about to ask if that was the one that melted as soon as the sun came up.

We were in Fairlington at the time and I remember it well. Cool storm at night, but I remember looking at radar around NYC and accepting that we suck. That may have been the first time I ventured onto weather boards.

All I remember about that storm was that insane band that hit NYC and having to hear all about it on Eastern.

[Heisy]

The pattern is very similar to this week. We just have to see if the northern stream can elongate after the ULL day 6-7 occurs. And then once again if any pac energy can escape under the ridge.


.

[MN Transplant]

47 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Wiki article says Falls Church got 13". I totally believe you though... classic DCA crummy elevation screw job.

I have no doubt that elevation was huge in 2006.  That storm is why I don't question the low amount at DCA in borderline events, though.  It really is warmer down there.