January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Sey-Mour Snow]

31 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

True whiteout conditions.

Just had thunder and lightning at the mountain.  2.5” in 30 minutes.  That was a legit squall.

That's epic! Wow, on my bucket list to catch something like that.. 

[ariof]

8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

That's epic! Wow, on my bucket list to catch something like that.. 

Not driving at night on I-89 you don't

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Holy fuck it is SNOWING SIDEWAYS

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it's a snow shower

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

It seems odd that all of these are in the "modern" era.

That's mainly because it's based on my personal obs and averages, and my records only go back to 1976.  Some older 40(+) cold runs:

Fort Kent (my obs):  Dec 11-31, 1981 thru Jan 18, 1981:  -11.5

NYC (Central Park) data, working backwards:
Dec 30, 1976 thru Feb 7, 1977:   -11.6
Feb 1 thru Mar 12, 1934:  -12.6    (Add Jan 29-31, and it's -12.9.  Mid-Jan was too warm to include Dec 29-31, 1933 in a '40'.)
Dec 29, 1917 thru Feb 6, 1918:  -15.0

Farmington, Maine co-op:
Dec 11, 1980 thru Jan 19, 1981:  -15.7
Nov 21 thru Dec 30, 1989:  -14.7

[Prismshine Productions]

it's a snow shower

Nah, it was a legit hard squall

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[tamarack]

4 hours ago, ariof said:

I could watch this all day.

964 mb bomb in Boothbay Harbor might be a bit too close for all snow in the foothills.  

[Torch Tiger]

hopefully the 1/31- 2/1 system works out, need an exciting, worthwhile/trackable event before Spring kicks in

[das]

4 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

since we are in storm mode and this is pretty much the banter thread til next week.. Both storms here  

CPC is not buying it.  They are going dry, dry, dry eastern half after this storm and have nothing in their experimental heavy snow risk probability map for 30 Jan thru 05 Feb.

[alex]

7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

hopefully the 1/31- 2/1 system works out, need an exciting, worthwhile/trackable event before Spring kicks in

Sadly, that’s a LONG time away for us. But yeah would be nice to have some good storms. Even nicer to have days and days of upslope

 

[mahk_webstah]

18 minutes ago, das said:

CPC is not buying it.  They are going dry, dry, dry eastern half after this storm and have nothing in their experimental heavy snow risk probability map for 30 Jan thru 05 Feb.

That’s not a good sign

[alex]

Squalls are here. Yikes 

[SouthCoastMA]

The day 6 look on the GFS op seems prime to deliver late month

[ORH_wxman]

5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

The day 6 look on the GFS op seems prime to deliver late month

That’s the storm the GGEM was trying to crank but ended up as just a scraper. GFS is robust this time around. 

[Heisy]

GFS about to go off with the next weeks wave. It’s crazy, this shortwave actually originates from the front that’s clearing next 1-2 days. It rotates back around the TPV and is forced back south because of the block. Wild


.

[George001]

yeah, that’s worth keeping an eye on. What really caught my attention is it is a miller B, not a miller A. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

yeah, that’s worth keeping an eye on. What really caught my attention is it is a miller B, not a miller A. 

Textbook Miller B

[MJO812]

Weeklies show an epic pattern for February 

[Go Kart Mozart]

21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That’s the storm the GGEM was trying to crank but ended up as just a scraper. GFS is robust this time around. 

A little bit 78ish in evolution?

And I tossed my snow rake this summer....

[Heisy]

Textbook Miller B

Need the ridge out west to hold as long as possible.


.

[ma blizzard]

kinda resembles the storm after march 01 at 500 anyway 

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, alex said:

Sadly, that’s a LONG time away for us. But yeah would be nice to have some good storms. Even nicer to have days and days of upslope

 

Yeah, you won't be melted out until May!

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 hour ago, das said:

CPC is not buying it.  They are going dry, dry, dry eastern half after this storm and have nothing in their experimental heavy snow risk probability map for 30 Jan thru 05 Feb.

Things can change, CPC had Sundays storm as a Mid Atlantic only storm just a few days ago. 

[das]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Things can change, CPC had Sundays storm as a Mid Atlantic only storm just a few days ago. 

Yep, I get it. I am actually excited about the ingredients for a significant storm rolling up the coast late next week.