January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The storm misses are close calls too which is a good sign. 18z GFS had a few just wide right. 

At least it’s showing some action…that’s the big takeaway. 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

On the flip side of that, We got a foot plus with no WSWarning…lol. Complete debacle on both ends of the spectrum with that one. 

you were def under a WSW for that storm. The whole state was. Watches were converted to warnings, no surprises. It looked iffy right up to go time but everything verified. 

they got downgraded north of the CT boarder and expanded into NYC/NJ/LI area. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

BOS under a WSW and got 0.1 LMAO. 

Haven't experienced a bust that bad here in a very long time, probably Mar 18. 

What a colossal model fail on that.  

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

you were def under a WSW for that storm. The whole state was. Watches were converted to warnings, no surprises. It looked iffy right up to go time but everything verified. 

they got downgraded north of the CT boarder and expanded into NYC/NJ/LI area. 

Thanks. I could have sworn they were dropped, and then hoisted almost after the fact…but maybe I’m thinking of another storm. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

No why? What's your call big boy? Put your comments where your mouth is.

Too bad. Yea, think the season ends +25% AN for WOR and 50% AN for EOR. 

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

What a colossal model fail on that.  

You could see that coming. I was adamant about that being a crap event. 

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You could see that coming. I was adamant about that being a crap event. 

That map is insane, I don’t remember that.

Weedwhacker worthy.

[WxWatcher007]

25 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Too bad. Yea, think the season ends +25% AN for WOR and 50% AN for EOR. 

That's pretty bullish. As cautiously optimistic as I am I think we finish 75-85% of normal. And that's still less than I thought in December. 

[CoastalWx]

18 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

That map is insane, I don’t remember that.

Weedwhacker worthy.

That was a Caterpillar front end loader into Fanny. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Pleasantly surprised at no precip here. Finally a win 

[dryslot]

Radar looks like shit, 1" as it appears right now would be a reach.

[powderfreak]

BTV with 3” so far this evening.  Dumping over there in the Champlain Valley.

Only 1.5” here.

Pretty good fronto band going NW-SE through BTV to the Mad River Valley.

[met_fan]

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

We all need to move near the lakes. What a season for them.

These maps seem to undercount, at least the upstate cities. For Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, Binghamton, and Albany, the listed totals are 32, 39, 67, 27, and 21. The official totals for those sites (as of 1/2) are 34, 44, 80, 34, and 26. Are the New England numbers similarly low?

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, met_fan said:

These maps seem to undercount, at least the upstate cities. For Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, Binghamton, and Albany, the listed totals are 32, 39, 67, 27, and 21. The official totals for those sites are 34, 44, 80, 34, and 26. Are the New England numbers similarly low?

I’d say. I can at least speak for my location in South Central CT, it’s a bit low

[HIPPYVALLEY]

It’s a little bit annoying because these regularly scheduled .5” - 1” events are way too light to clear,  so they just keep getting walked  on and driven on to add to the driveway glacier. 

[CoastalWx]

Hrrr ftw tonight. Of course it’s the one to minimize this.

[HoarfrostHubb]

There goes the big town plow.  For a half inch again

 

[dendrite]

15.4° SN

Decent growth right now

 

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

There goes the big town plow.  For a half inch again

 

Greenfield salted a few main roads and that was it.  I will say, a lot of the streets were pretty slick tonight.

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hrrr ftw tonight. Of course it’s the one to minimize this.

Hopefully it’s FTL tomorrow into Wednesday and NAM FTW

[Hoth]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

BOS under a WSW and got 0.1 LMAO. 

Haven't experienced a bust that bad here in a very long time, probably Mar 18. 

Fuck THAT storm.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

It’s kind of bizarre, it’s only 19° here but we have what seem like wet March flakes falling straight down right now.

Seems to be graupel mixed in(?) because they are loud hitting the car and evergreens.

[Damage In Tolland]

Light snow fired up again here . Probs brief 

[kdxken]

18 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

There goes the big town plow.  For a half inch again

 

Do you want me to send another complaint? Did you get the PO box set up yet?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

That's pretty bullish. As cautiously optimistic as I am I think we finish 75-85% of normal. And that's still less than I thought in December. 

It’s been a good start regardless of amounts and every warm look in the extended gets muted as we close in. I think the tenure of the season has been established which bodes well with our snowiest climo upcoming. 

[klw]

1.5 inches so far

[kdxken]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s been a good start regardless of amounts and every warm look in the extended gets muted as we close in. I think the tenure of the season has been established which bodes well with our snowiest climo upcoming. 

We will hold you to it. How about Boston? Sitting at 4 inches. Can we make a run at an all-time ratter. Pretty hard to beat 9.8 In 2023.

[HoarfrostHubb]

6 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Do you want me to send another complaint? Did you get the PO box set up yet?

Someday take a drive down what passes for a “road” here.  It’s bad enough without the plow destroying it more. Drop salt!  

[kdxken]

6 minutes ago, klw said:

1.5 inches so far

 

[Typhoon Tip]

heh … there’s definitely a speed surplus problem on this GFS run tho   

As this pattern turns you don’t no wanna end up compressed and velocity soaked