12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?

[Eskimo Joe]

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Harford and Cecil probably deserved warnings…

Been saying this all day

[winter_warlock]

11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Harford and Cecil probably deserved warnings…

 

Yet LWX says 1 to 3  lol

[notvirga!]

Point click up to 3-5 inches now in Owings Mills 

[jnis]

36/30 in Damascus… We finished putting out Christmas lights out front. I’m looking forward to seeing them lit up in the snow.

[stormtracker]

dropped a degree. 40  Just need 2 degrees per hour…

[mappy]

37/28 WB 33

[SnowenOutThere]

Fair warning, I do not think the latest HRRR will be quite as good as the 20z

[T. August]

3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Fair warning, I do not think the latest HRRR will be quite as good as the 20z

Dry?

[CAPE]

38/29

Forecast here from Mount Holly is for 1-2" now, from 2-5 this morning. Most of the latest guidance is depicting the same, or more than the early am runs. They have their reasons. Probably temps at the beginning, and less likely to get in on the good banding- and a different crew making the forecast lol. Whatever falls, falls.

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, T. August said:

Dry?

Not catastrophically so. In fact it may just be a bit later in general. 

[HighStakes]

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Not catastrophically so. In fact it may just be a bit later in general. 

Take a break for a couple hours. You'll be ok!

[Terpeast]

36.9 as of 5:15p in ashburn

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, HighStakes said:

Take a break for a couple hours. You'll be ok!

It’s worse but better ah yes my favorite posts 

[HighStakes]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

It’s worse but better ah yes my favorite posts 

Youth lol.

[TSSN+]

Ya that run of hrrr is a smoke show. Who had the pretty maps? 

[SnowenOutThere]

3 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

Youth lol.

I mean I think this is a bit worse though not majorly so. It has weaker temp advection so the first band fails to take off till a little bit later. 

[bncho]

HRRR is fine. DC still gets 3.5 inches

[T. August]

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

I mean I think this is a bit worse though not majorly so. It has weaker temp advection so the first band fails to take off till a little bit later. 

It’s an ass hair drier but pretty consistent. Good thing to see. 

[NorthArlington101]

FWIW - Tomer Berg’s map is pretty bullish

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

I mean I think this is a bit worse though not majorly so. It has weaker temp advection so the first band fails to take off till a little bit later. 

Yeah use caution when saying things like that--this is a jumpy forum close to gametime, lol

[midatlanticweather]

Loudoun is slowly getting into the game for a 1-inch event, with some lollies to 2 or so. Obviously,  better east than west, though elevation is starting to show help. 

 

38.2/30 

 

 

[WxUSAF]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

FWIW - Tomer Berg’s map is pretty bullish

Tomer doesn’t weeniecast. That’s impressive.

[bncho]

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Yeah use caution when saying things like that--this is a jumpy forum close to gametime, lol

its okay. he made another classic @bncho mistake of overexaggerating by extrapolating

[SnowtoRain]

14 minutes ago, CAPE said:

38/29

Forecast here from Mount Holly is for 1-2" now, from 2-5 this morning. Most of the latest guidance is depicting the same, or more than the early am runs. They have their reasons. Probably temps at the beginning, and less likely to get in on the good banding- and a different crew making the forecast lol. Whatever falls, falls.

Seems reasonable. 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

31 minutes ago, GATECH said:

Gorgeous sunset, pink in every direction.

You mean like THIS?  (Took these not long ago, just in time to capture that amazing sunset...and yeah, I enhanced the color)...

[Eskimo Joe]

20z HRRR is fine. Just a touch of noise.

[Interstate]

35.8/30.9 here in 21057

[CAPE]

5 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

I mean I think this is a bit worse though not majorly so. It has weaker temp advection so the first band fails to take off till a little bit later. 

The HRRR is inherently variable run to run. If you don't like the current edition, wait an hour and the next one might make ya feel a bit more warm and fuzzy. Take the avg of 5 runs, or, don't bother looking at it. 

[jayyy]

Tomer doesn’t weeniecast. That’s impressive.

Was just about to say this. By far the most bullish map I’ve seen by a met so far

[GATECH]

6 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

You mean like THIS?  (Took these not long ago, just in time to capture that amazing sunset...and yeah, I enhanced the color)...

Yeps!  Exactly.  Nice shots!