Kick-Off '25-'26 Winter Storm Obs

[Brewbeer]

overcast and 28/21, up from a midnight low of 20.  no school cancellation here, daughter not happy

[moneypitmike]

9 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

24° overcast. Pretty bright cloud deck still so it might be a while before precip gets in here.

A number of the models were showing precipitation arching over the MA line into NH and Maine.  Based on reports (not radar), that might be what's happening.

[Boston Bulldog]

22 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

In some past noreasters have found that an early WAA band on the northern edge. It’s a good sign for the higher end amounts.

steady light snow here and coding. Small flakes. 21.3

The jack should be where the WAA portion of the storm is maximized, and the banding this afternoon overlaps the most.

I think the deformation is gonna come in a bit NW of modeling, seems like the atmosphere has it’s preferred deform location across Central NH based off prior events (aka congrats Dendrite)

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

A number of the models were showing precipitation arching over the MA line into NH and Maine.  Based on reports (not radar), that might be what's happening.

We arch. 
 

[wokeupthisam]

Yup 22.3F and a dusting of steady SN- 

[jculligan]

Overcast and 27/22 after a low of 19 here. We had a brief flurry around 7am but the real stuff is probably a couple hours away. My location will be uncomfortably close to the mixing line by late this afternoon but most guidance seems to keep it just a hair to my south. I'm just off exit 3 on I-93.

[Spanks45]

Watching the clouds race northward from Long Island, transporting those 50 degree water temps north. Still 28/21, off a low of 19.6...Ground is plenty cold, so whatever falls frozen to start should accumulate, just a matter of how quickly it changes over to just pure rain.

[Boston Bulldog]

11 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

We arch. 
 

H7 fronto is fueling this banding in the WAA. Once the 850mb low begins closing off this afternoon, banding will shift closer to the surface low

 

[ORH_wxman]

Ripping fatties and sticking quickly in this convective looking stuff 

 

[CoastalWx]

I think Kevin may squeeze a couple. 

[ORH_wxman]

Looks like CF is right near 128 maybe a little inside 128 once north of pike. We’ll see how this moves during the day. Could be meaningful early on. 

[alex]

Light snow but roads are slick 

[ma blizzard]

26.4 / 23, coating

[dryslot]

Off to an early start, -SN, 21/18°F, Expecting around 8" up here.

[ariof]

-SN in Cambridge, probably a remnant from that band of OES showing up on radar off of LIS.

The Good Storms start with OES on the South Shore from the ENE, not a line up RI from the south (I'm not sure I've ever seen that before)

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ariof said:

-SN in Cambridge, probably a remnant from that band of OES showing up on radar off of LIS.

The Good Storms start with OES on the South Shore from the ENE, not a line up RI from the south (I'm not sure I've ever seen that before)

Mesos had that. 

[WxWatcher007]

28.2/22.0 at WXW1 (East Hartford)

19.0/17.6 at WXW2 (Saranac Lake) with -SN and a coating so far

[ORH_wxman]

Wetbulbing down fast in this stuff. Down to 26.5F. Wonder if we can hold off 900-950 layer a little longer than originally advertised. HRRR and RAP have been getting stickier with that 0C line at 925 moving north with each run. I think ORH over to Ray is looking a little better than 6-12 hours ago. 

[mahk_webstah]

33 minutes ago, Boston Bulldog said:

The jack should be where the WAA portion of the storm is maximized, and the banding this afternoon overlaps the most.

I think the deformation is gonna come in a bit NW of modeling, seems like the atmosphere has it’s preferred deform location across Central NH based off prior events (aka congrats Dendrite)

That is the hope. I live just a few miles WSW of Brian.  The snow is slowly and steadily increasing and the flakes are getting bigger. Seems to be accumulating efficiently and temp still edging down. 21.2 steady light snow with visibility lowering. Probably on the verge of moderate snow at this point.

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

That is the hope. I live just a few miles WSW of Brian.  The snow is slowly and steadily increasing and the flakes are getting bigger. Seems to be accumulating efficiently and temp still edging down. 21.2 steady light snow with visibility lowering. Probably on the verge of moderate snow at this point.

Not that it matters at this point, but these are the smallest flakes I've ever seen.  lol

The main indication it's snowing is the slight reduction of visibility across the river and the increased coating.  Better than bare ground though.

[kdxken]

Temperature up to 29° but the roads are covered . So much for the warm pavement

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Temperature up to 29° but the roads are covered . So much for the warm pavement

I mean how effing dumb was that?

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

21.4°/19.8°, moderate SN, 0.5" new.

[Lava Rock]

21f/sn. LFG

[DomNH]

Perfect dendrites in the northern tip of that convective band. 

[ariof]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I mean how effing dumb was that?

Just wait, it's only 0800, the sun angle will start the melt going any second.

[WxWatcher007]

6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Not that it matters at this point, but these are the smallest flakes I've ever seen.  lol

The main indication it's snowing is the slight reduction of visibility across the river and the increased coating.  Better than bare ground though.

Started out like that here too before flake size improved.

[moneypitmike]

Flakes have now become legit....nice to see.  12z HRRR a little more promising for my hood (if I'm reading it correctly).

[dryslot]

Warm asphalt lol

[dryslot]

Nice band overhead here at the moment.