Discussion OBS for minor to possibly moderate impact winter storm interior 4A Tue - midnight Tue 12/2/25, may bring first measurable snow-sleet to coastal areas including NYC

[gravitylover]

A headlined potential with ensuing discussion is being frowned upon? Someone needs to get over themselves... @wdragI appreciate your efforts every time I guess it doesn't matter for some but there's that one time that you step around the north side of a building, or what have you, and that unexpected patch of slipperiness bites you in the ass and you go down. Sidewalks are hard 

[psv88]

Man southern New Hampshire is going to get crushed 

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Man southern New Hampshire is going to get crushed 

Nice event there and interior Massachusetts

[wdrag]

all 12z modeling including the future FV3, REGEM, NAM and HRRR slightly warmer.  not good for reaching forecast snow values unless we can get some decent snow increase rates by 18z.  

[jm1220]

Yep, starting to look like you have to get into the Catskills before you see warning type snow amounts. 

[Snowlover11]

It was nice tracking something atleast, but still a bummer.

[WeatherGeek2025]

it's interesting how bad global warming has got... 20 years ago even though we don't have the most arctic blast in place in my opinion with almost a perfect track wed get at least some mixing in the city but now that the world has warmed quite a bit we're only getting rain! i feel like this is a perfect benchmark track

[snywx]

4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Yep, starting to look like you have to get into the Catskills before you see warning type snow amounts. 

I think 84 is still the marker. Even the warmer NAM is 5-7” in the area. Amounts do dramatically drop off to the SE

[jm1220]

16 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

it's interesting how bad global warming has got... 20 years ago even though we don't have the most arctic blast in place in my opinion with almost a perfect track wed get at least some mixing in the city but now that the world has warmed quite a bit we're only getting rain! i feel like this is a perfect benchmark track

We have a retreating high and southerly flow blasting us as the storm is coming in. Also the low is still forming in the mid levels near us and unable to wrap cold air back south in time. 

[North and West]

it's interesting how bad global warming has got... 20 years ago even though we don't have the most arctic blast in place in my opinion with almost a perfect track wed get at least some mixing in the city but now that the world has warmed quite a bit we're only getting rain! i feel like this is a perfect benchmark track

I don’t think this is a case of that. (No, I’m not denying AGW; Yes, I believe it is occurring.)

I think it’s more of a case of very early December and it just doesn’t happen that often at this time of year, especially in an enormous, concrete-heavy, oceanfront city.

Sometimes things just happen.


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