First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Euro would get most in SNE on the board 

[dendrite]

7 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

I hate to be that guy, but when is this wave onshore for better sampling, tomorrow afternoon?

Looks like tomorrow morning. RAOBs are closer to 11z though so I would feel more confident with the 00z runs tomorrow. 

[CoastalWx]

Insane differences 

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Euro would get most in SNE on the board 

Translation: Euro would get most of EMATT on the board.

[Snowcrazed71]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Euro would get most in SNE on the board 

At this point, I won't be disappointed if we don't get snow Tuesday, although it would be nice. I'm more intrigued on which camp is going to be correct, GFS or Euro and its crew.

[dendrite]

TAN jacked and Foxboro grazed?

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

TAN jacked and Foxboro grazed?

Missed it by 6-7 miles?

[MJO812]

18z euro AI eps gives the coast and inland a few inches.

[dendrite]

Just now, MJO812 said:

18z euro AI eps gives the coast and inland a few inches.

How about NYC? Asking for a friend. 

[WxWatcher007]

31 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Missed it by 6-7 miles?

[George001]

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Ha it was in jest as a joke.

Personally, I want it over like metro-west of BOS, lol.

I feel like it’s my duty as a white walker north of the wall for a comment here and there… but in reality it is nice to see enthusiasm and hope again on the forum.

It feels a bit like the old days on here for the past 48 hours or so.

18z gfs looks great for you

[FXWX]

51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Insane differences 

Which has almost become

the norm 4 to 5 days out.

[moneypitmike]

I just watched The American Revolution.  The Euro caved.

[brooklynwx99]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Insane differences 

you know i’m not IMBY-ing, but i do think that the overall pattern favors less consolidation and an outcome more similar to the foreign guidance. it’s progressive 

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

you know i’m not IMBY-ing, but i do think it will be wintry IMBY.

Thanks for clearing that up.

[powderfreak]

10 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

you know i’m not IMBY-ing, but i do think that the overall pattern favors less consolidation and an outcome more similar to the foreign guidance. it’s progressive 

Agreed.  The default is certainly more progressive... it has to work to amplify, like all systems do.  It's why we know the Messenger ticks are a thing.  It's probably a more SNE/CNE event rather than NNE.

[kdxken]

43 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I just watched The American Revolution.  The Euro caved.

It's a good watch. Have only seen bits and pieces.

[RDRY]

First storm of the season -- Euro scrape, GFS upper-low runner. And our new overlord, AI, is making the ICON look like it has a clue.

[kdxken]

What are the first guesses for MetroWest? West of 95 that is.

[moneypitmike]

6 minutes ago, kdxken said:

It's a good watch. Have only seen bits and pieces.

It’s very good, though I was led to believe there were many more musical numbers.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

18z EPS are pretty far southeast 

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, kdxken said:

What are the first guesses for MetroWest? West of 95 that is.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/11/seasons-first-winter-storm-likely.html

FIRST CALL:

 

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Yeah. 4-8” for a lot of us Some sleet.   Right now I agree 

[brooklynwx99]

17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Thanks for clearing that up.

no problem, Ray! always glad to be of assistance 

[CoastalWx]

25 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

you know i’m not IMBY-ing, but i do think that the overall pattern favors less consolidation and an outcome more similar to the foreign guidance. it’s progressive 

Skynet sitting back smiling?

[brooklynwx99]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Skynet sitting back smiling?

i fucking hate the AIFS dude. it gets humped to no end and people rely on it too much 

sometimes analysis is just “well, the AIFS shows this, so…” and it’s the worst